ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
19 Boise State over 200 Idaho 42.0 to 10.5
70 Northern Iowa over 239 Indiana State 42.0 to 7.0
112 Montana over 226 Idaho State 42.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
9 Alabama over 103 Mississippi State 28.0 to 7.0
139 Albany over 221 Wagner 24.5 to 7.0
59 Appalachian State over 135 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
167 Bethune - Cookman over 236 Howard 35.0 to 10.5
230 Valparaiso over 245 Campbell 24.5 to 10.5
14 Clemson over 76 Duke 31.5 to 14.0
115 Dayton over 191 Morehead State 31.5 to 14.0
180 Eastern Kentucky over 227 Murray State 31.5 to 14.0
2 Florida over 29 South Carolina 31.5 to 10.5
126 Fordham over 202 Georgetown 28.0 to 14.0
13 Iowa over 68 Purdue 28.0 to 14.0
6 Missouri over 95 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
45 James Madison over 104 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 91 Troy State 38.5 to 17.5
44 Mississippi over 141 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
131 North Dakota State over 240 Missouri State 38.5 to 10.5
7 Penn State over 100 Indiana 38.5 to 14.0
188 Prairie View over 228 Alcorn State 24.5 to 7.0
174 Coastal Carolina over 242 Presbyterian 35.0 to 17.5
122 San Diego over 217 Butler 38.5 to 14.0
31 Utah over 155 San Diego State 35.0 to 17.5
1 Southern California over 53 Stanford 28.0 to 10.5
160 The Citadel over 223 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
81 Villanova over 179 Towson 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
39 Ball State over 137 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
43 Arizona State over 106 Washington State 28.0 to 14.0
214 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 231 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 17.5
108 California Poly over 177 California - Davis 38.5 to 21.0
190 Eastern Illinois over 220 Austin Peay 24.5 to 14.0
90 Fresno State over 156 New Mexico State 38.5 to 24.5
133 Furman over 153 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 28.0
8 Ohio State over 54 Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
89 Lehigh over 152 Bucknell 31.5 to 17.5
128 Liberty over 182 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
132 Louisiana Tech over 151 Utah State 28.0 to 17.5
84 Marshall over 125 Central Florida 24.5 to 14.0
176 Montana State over 207 Portland State 28.0 to 21.0
140 South Carolina State over 208 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
184 Southern over 222 Alabama State 28.0 to 17.5
74 Nevada - Reno over 129 San Jose State 28.0 to 17.5
78 Richmond over 124 Delaware 24.5 to 14.0
203 Sacramento State over 215 Northern Colorado 21.0 to 14.0
178 Robert Morris over 232 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 14.0
183 Sam Houston State over 219 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0
113 Southern Illinois over 146 South Dakota State 31.5 to 24.5
55 Southern Mississippi over 80 East Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
216 Southern Utah over 234 South Dakota 31.5 to 21.0
162 Stony Brook over 198 Virginia Military 35.0 to 24.5
42 Connecticut over 114 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
98 Texas - El Paso over 157 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 28.0
142 Western Illinois over 189 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
85 Western Michigan over 136 Toledo 31.5 to 21.0
25 Wisconsin over 79 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
60 Yale over 107 Princeton 21.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
96 Nevada - Las Vegas over 118 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5
36 Cincinnati over 69 Louisville 24.5 to 24.5
15 Brigham Young over 61 Air Force 28.0 to 21.0
22 Oklahoma State over 77 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
73 New Mexico over 111 Colorado State 24.5 to 21.0
92 Brown over 150 Dartmouth 24.5 to 17.5
195 Davidson over 196 Marist 24.5 to 21.0
166 Duquesne over 161 Monmouth 21.0 to 17.5
164 Eastern Washington over 185 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
17 Florida State over 26 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
149 Hofstra over 158 Northeastern 24.5 to 17.5
229 Iona over 235 Bryant 24.5 to 17.5
194 Jackson State over 204 Alabama A&M 17.5 to 14.0
171 Jacksonville State over 181 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
3 Texas over 18 Kansas 31.5 to 28.0
49 Michigan over 62 Northwestern 24.5 to 17.5
86 New Hampshire over 105 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
159 McNeese State over 210 Northwestern State 28.0 to 21.0
10 Oregon State over 24 California 28.0 to 21.0
123 Maine over 168 Rhode Island 21.0 to 17.5
120 Wofford over 169 Samford 28.0 to 21.0
192 Tennessee - Martin over 225 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
34 South Florida over 40 Rutgers 21.0 to 14.0
213 Stephen F. Austin over 218 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
201 Texas State - San Marcos over 199 Nicholls State 31.5 to 28.0
134 Tulane over 148 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 21.0
121 Western Kentucky over 143 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
145 Kent State over 138 Temple 17.5 to 17.5
109 Northern Illinois over 87 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
110 Akron over 99 Buffalo 31.5 to 28.0
33 Miami - Florida over 23 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 21.0
16 Georgia over 37 Auburn 21.0 to 17.5
71 Baylor over 63 Texas A&M 28.0 to 24.5
119 Cornell over 144 Columbia 24.5 to 24.5
173 Hampton over 205 Florida A&M 24.5 to 24.5
130 Florida Atlantic over 117 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
27 Tulsa over 64 Houston 38.5 to 38.5
193 Jacksonville over 175 Drake 21.0 to 21.0
48 Kansas State over 32 Nebraska 35.0 to 31.5
66 Kentucky over 50 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 21.0
83 Lafayette over 75 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
35 North Carolina over 56 Maryland 24.5 to 24.5
57 Notre Dame over 67 Navy 24.5 to 24.5
209 Norfolk State over 197 Delaware State 21.0 to 21.0
238 Winston-Salem over 244 North Carolina Central 17.5 to 17.5
58 North Carolina State over 41 Wake Forest 21.0 to 21.0
30 Oregon over 20 Arizona 35.0 to 31.5
65 Harvard over 93 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 17.5
163 Central Connecticut over 186 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 24.5
72 California - Los Angeles over 102 Washington 21.0 to 21.0
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