ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 4 Texas over 72 Texas A&M 42.0 to 14.0 1 Southern California over 62 Notre Dame 31.5 to 3.5 80-90% chance of victory: 73 Richmond over 176 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 10.5 105 California Poly over 184 Weber State 38.5 to 21.0 38 Cincinnati over 106 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0 108 Montana over 194 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 17.5 101 Arkansas State over 212 North Texas 35.0 to 17.5 19 Virginia Tech over 66 Virginia 21.0 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 60 Ball State over 90 Western Michigan 28.0 to 17.5 40 Arizona State over 57 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 14.0 28 Boise State over 76 Fresno State 31.5 to 17.5 103 Buffalo over 139 Kent State 31.5 to 21.0 30 Mississippi over 91 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0 25 Nebraska over 77 Colorado 31.5 to 17.5 10 Alabama over 41 Auburn 21.0 to 10.5 81 Appalachian State over 122 South Carolina State 28.0 to 14.0 22 Boston College over 52 Maryland 24.5 to 14.0 102 Central Florida over 135 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 17.5 7 Clemson over 34 South Carolina 24.5 to 10.5 2 Florida over 14 Florida State 35.0 to 21.0 12 Georgia over 31 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 17.5 79 Hawaii over 113 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0 51 James Madison over 97 Wofford 35.0 to 21.0 27 Tulsa over 110 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5 134 Memphis over 159 Tulane 28.0 to 21.0 123 Florida Atlantic over 167 Florida International 24.5 to 17.5 56 Southern Mississippi over 149 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0 32 Tennessee over 64 Kentucky 24.5 to 14.0 213 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 242 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5 18 Texas Tech over 67 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 85 East Carolina over 93 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5 86 Central Michigan over 151 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 31.5 23 Louisiana State over 53 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5 68 Nevada - Reno over 124 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5 8 Missouri over 21 Kansas 31.5 to 24.5 45 North Carolina State over 46 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 21.0 109 Northern Iowa over 128 Maine 21.0 to 14.0 3 Oklahoma over 13 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 31.5 11 Oregon State over 20 Oregon 35.0 to 28.0 42 Houston over 88 Rice 42.0 to 38.5 83 New Hampshire over 118 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0 160 Utah State over 153 New Mexico State 28.0 to 24.5 95 Villanova over 99 Colgate 28.0 to 24.5 49 Wake Forest over 55 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 17.5 50-60% chance of victory: 69 Navy over 92 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0 115 Ohio over 141 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 24.5 15 West Virginia over 36 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5 144 Temple over 121 Akron 28.0 to 28.0 112 Toledo over 98 Bowling Green 24.5 to 24.5 80 Duke over 54 North Carolina 21.0 to 21.0 161 Southern over 164 Grambling 17.5 to 17.5
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