ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 20 California over 98 Washington 31.5 to 14.0 1 Southern California over 81 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 10.5 64 Navy over 151 Army 24.5 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 33 Rutgers over 63 Louisville 28.0 to 21.0 50 Ball State over 115 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0 137 Albany over 172 Jacksonville 24.5 to 17.5 2 Florida over 6 Alabama 28.0 to 17.5 3 Oklahoma over 10 Missouri 38.5 to 28.0 67 Troy State over 105 Arkansas State 31.5 to 21.0 32 Tulsa over 69 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0 12 West Virginia over 37 South Florida 24.5 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 122 Middle Tennessee State over 158 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5 30 Arizona over 29 Arizona State 24.5 to 21.0 36 Connecticut over 40 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 21.0 35 Cincinnati over 77 Hawaii 28.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 135 Western Kentucky over 161 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0 21 Virginia Tech over 22 Boston College 21.0 to 21.0
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