ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 33 South Florida over 112 Memphis 31.5 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 55 James Madison over 109 Montana 28.0 to 17.5 12 California over 44 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 21.0 9 Missouri over 49 Northwestern 28.0 to 21.0 17 Kansas over 82 Minnesota 31.5 to 21.0 45 Connecticut over 100 Buffalo 28.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 162 Grambling over 202 Jackson State 24.5 to 17.5 93 Central Michigan over 130 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 31.5 15 Florida State over 37 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0 22 West Virginia over 40 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0 97 Northern Illinois over 125 Louisiana Tech 24.5 to 21.0 16 Rutgers over 47 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0 50 Maryland over 72 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5 89 Rice over 90 Western Michigan 38.5 to 35.0 56 Houston over 67 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0 23 Boston College over 61 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 21.0 7 Clemson over 32 Nebraska 28.0 to 21.0 20 Georgia over 41 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5 18 Iowa over 36 South Carolina 17.5 to 14.0 1 Southern California over 5 Penn State 17.5 to 14.0 25 Virginia Tech over 42 Cincinnati 21.0 to 17.5 10 Alabama over 30 Utah 21.0 to 17.5 11 Texas Tech over 28 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0 4 Texas over 6 Ohio State 21.0 to 14.0 43 Tulsa over 64 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 71 Richmond over 99 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5 26 Arizona over 27 Brigham Young 28.0 to 28.0 92 Colorado State over 95 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0 35 Navy over 38 Wake Forest 24.5 to 21.0 60 Southern Mississippi over 62 Troy State 21.0 to 21.0 8 Texas Christian over 13 Boise State 17.5 to 17.5 74 Hawaii over 58 Notre Dame 24.5 to 24.5 14 Oregon over 19 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 35.0 31 Georgia Tech over 24 Louisiana State 24.5 to 24.5 21 Oregon State over 29 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5 65 East Carolina over 73 Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0 2 Florida over 3 Oklahoma 31.5 to 31.5
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