prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
68% 162 Grambling 41 22.8, 202 Jackson State 9 16.1
54% 71 Richmond 21 19.7, 99 Northern Iowa 20 18.9
21% 109 Montana 35 16.3, 55 James Madison 27 29.2
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 1.86 1 1.48 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 3 2 2.0 1.00
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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