ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 70-80% chance of victory: 33 South Florida over 115 Memphis 31.5 to 17.5 8 Missouri over 51 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0 17 Kansas over 81 Minnesota 31.5 to 21.0 44 Connecticut over 104 Buffalo 28.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 10 Texas Christian over 13 Boise State 17.5 to 17.5 93 Central Michigan over 131 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 28.0 12 California over 46 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0 15 Florida State over 36 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0 16 West Virginia over 43 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0 100 Northern Illinois over 126 Louisiana Tech 24.5 to 21.0 22 Rutgers over 48 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0 50 Maryland over 73 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5 91 Rice over 90 Western Michigan 38.5 to 35.0 54 Houston over 66 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0 20 Oregon State over 31 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5 23 Boston College over 58 Vanderbilt 21.0 to 21.0 7 Clemson over 30 Nebraska 28.0 to 21.0 18 Georgia over 41 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5 19 Iowa over 34 South Carolina 17.5 to 14.0 1 Southern California over 5 Penn State 21.0 to 14.0 25 Virginia Tech over 38 Cincinnati 21.0 to 17.5 9 Alabama over 29 Utah 21.0 to 17.5 11 Texas Tech over 28 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0 4 Texas over 6 Ohio State 21.0 to 14.0 37 Tulsa over 60 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5 2 Florida over 3 Oklahoma 31.5 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 80 Richmond over 89 Montana 21.0 to 17.5 24 Brigham Young over 27 Arizona 28.0 to 28.0 92 Colorado State over 97 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0 39 Wake Forest over 42 Navy 24.5 to 24.5 63 Troy State over 64 Southern Mississippi 21.0 to 21.0 70 Hawaii over 57 Notre Dame 24.5 to 24.5 14 Oregon over 21 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 35.0 32 Georgia Tech over 26 Louisiana State 24.5 to 24.5 67 East Carolina over 72 Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
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