ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
33 Utah over 200 Utah State 49.0 to 7.0
21 Arizona State over 203 Idaho State 59.5 to 14.0
20 Auburn over 184 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 7.0
5 Florida over 228 Charleston Southern 70.0 to 7.0
59 Holy Cross over 224 Georgetown 52.5 to 14.0
9 Kansas over 233 Northern Colorado 63.0 to 7.0
24 Louisville over 240 Indiana State 73.5 to 14.0
23 Penn State over 160 Akron 42.0 to 10.5
4 Southern California over 152 San Jose State 49.0 to 7.0
8 Texas over 153 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 14.0
2 West Virginia over 120 Liberty 52.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
105 Ball State over 204 North Texas 45.5 to 21.0
68 Villanova over 198 Temple 38.5 to 14.0
31 Hawaii over 207 Central Arkansas 59.5 to 21.0
61 Air Force over 150 Nicholls State 38.5 to 14.0
56 Arizona over 112 Central Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
163 Arkansas State over 238 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 14.0
17 Boston College over 128 Northeastern 38.5 to 10.5
52 California - Los Angeles over 129 San Diego State 38.5 to 17.5
72 Central Florida over 229 Samford 56.0 to 17.5
13 Clemson over 137 Middle Tennessee State 45.5 to 14.0
54 Richmond over 156 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
110 Elon over 186 Davidson 42.0 to 24.5
100 Furman over 214 Presbyterian 45.5 to 21.0
50 Georgia Tech over 165 Jacksonville State 42.0 to 14.0
102 Hampton over 211 North Carolina Central 45.5 to 21.0
93 Houston over 201 Northwestern State 45.5 to 21.0
89 Lehigh over 173 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
22 Michigan over 107 Western Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
48 Michigan State over 159 Montana State 42.0 to 17.5
83 Mississippi State over 187 Jackson State 42.0 to 14.0
29 Arkansas over 210 Missouri State 56.0 to 17.5
53 Nebraska over 134 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 24.5
43 New Hampshire over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 63.0 to 17.5
40 Kentucky over 148 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 21.0
7 Missouri over 66 Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
6 Ohio State over 74 Navy 49.0 to 21.0
34 Oregon State over 168 Portland State 49.0 to 17.5
57 Purdue over 133 Toledo 49.0 to 28.0
94 Southern Mississippi over 231 Alcorn State 42.0 to 7.0
16 South Florida over 78 Wofford 38.5 to 21.0
25 Tennessee over 121 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 17.5
15 Texas Tech over 212 North Dakota 63.0 to 14.0
71 Vanderbilt over 202 Western Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
47 Virginia over 127 William & Mary 42.0 to 21.0
44 Wake Forest over 154 Baylor 42.0 to 14.0
1 Louisiana State over 63 Washington 42.0 to 24.5
209 Winston-Salem over 242 North Carolina A&T 42.0 to 21.0
30 Wisconsin over 162 Northern Illinois 45.5 to 14.0
118 Wyoming over 182 Weber State 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
96 Indiana over 140 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
39 North Dakota State over 123 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
64 Tulsa over 175 Tulane 42.0 to 28.0
27 California over 45 Maryland 31.5 to 24.5
90 Colgate over 158 Monmouth 35.0 to 17.5
18 Appalachian State over 95 East Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
155 Delaware State over 218 Florida A&M 28.0 to 17.5
76 Fresno State over 131 California - Davis 42.0 to 24.5
91 Hofstra over 139 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
60 Southern Illinois over 132 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5
10 Virginia Tech over 42 Alabama 28.0 to 17.5
149 Nevada - Las Vegas over 197 Sacramento State 31.5 to 17.5
3 Oklahoma over 19 Brigham Young 35.0 to 24.5
86 North Carolina over 125 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
106 Northwestern over 136 Towson 28.0 to 21.0
87 Notre Dame over 103 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
62 Connecticut over 138 Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
65 Pittsburgh over 99 Youngstown State 28.0 to 21.0
171 Southern Methodist over 219 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5
55 Texas A&M over 75 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0
144 Texas - El Paso over 166 Buffalo 38.5 to 28.0
222 Prairie View over 244 Texas Southern 31.5 to 17.5
195 Robert Morris over 237 Virginia Military 35.0 to 24.5
73 Washington State over 113 Stanford 31.5 to 21.0
70 Colorado over 109 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
49 Florida State over 79 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
81 Troy State over 130 Bowling Green 35.0 to 28.0
111 Illinois State over 164 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
38 South Carolina over 85 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
145 Sam Houston State over 141 Western Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
176 Alabama - Birmingham over 167 Rice 38.5 to 35.0
169 Duquesne over 178 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
170 Eastern Michigan over 179 Army 28.0 to 24.5
97 Georgia Southern over 108 Albany 31.5 to 24.5
28 Massachusetts over 67 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
189 New Mexico State over 196 Idaho 35.0 to 31.5
12 Georgia over 36 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 28.0
226 Sacred Heart over 232 Marist 35.0 to 28.0
177 Alabama A&M over 220 Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
115 Mississippi over 146 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0
122 South Carolina State over 157 Grambling 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
14 Boise State over 11 Oregon 38.5 to 35.0
135 Coastal Carolina over 161 Kent State 28.0 to 28.0
58 Northern Iowa over 80 Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
172 Southern over 191 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 28.0
119 Fordham over 151 Rhode Island 31.5 to 28.0
116 Minnesota over 142 Syracuse 31.5 to 31.5
35 Rutgers over 26 Cincinnati 28.0 to 24.5
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