ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
4 Missouri over 132 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 10.5
41 Air Force over 133 San Diego State 42.0 to 14.0
9 Auburn over 159 Ball State 49.0 to 7.0
84 Baylor over 211 Northwestern State 45.5 to 10.5
100 Duke over 223 North Carolina Central 45.5 to 10.5
106 Youngstown State over 235 Indiana State 42.0 to 10.5
11 Kansas over 74 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 17.5
50 Massachusetts over 144 Stony Brook 35.0 to 7.0
37 Northern Iowa over 194 Missouri State 42.0 to 7.0
52 Navy over 178 Western Kentucky 49.0 to 17.5
31 Nebraska over 123 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 10.5
28 Richmond over 204 Virginia Military 56.0 to 3.5
122 South Carolina State over 233 Winston-Salem 38.5 to 3.5
10 Southern California over 116 Washington State 42.0 to 7.0
21 Tennessee over 109 Ohio 38.5 to 14.0
7 Texas over 129 Texas - El Paso 52.5 to 14.0
45 Texas A&M over 160 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 14.0
170 Texas State - San Marcos over 244 Texas Southern 52.5 to 10.5
98 The Citadel over 220 Presbyterian 45.5 to 10.5
68 Villanova over 188 Northeastern 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
73 Harvard over 120 Brown 35.0 to 17.5
151 Albany over 240 Sacred Heart 56.0 to 17.5
128 Eastern Illinois over 232 Austin Peay 31.5 to 7.0
5 Boise State over 92 Bowling Green 38.5 to 14.0
29 Brigham Young over 85 Colorado State 38.5 to 17.5
181 Coastal Carolina over 234 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 7.0
97 Colgate over 180 Fordham 42.0 to 17.5
53 Connecticut over 145 Rhode Island 38.5 to 10.5
136 Dayton over 209 Duquesne 31.5 to 10.5
99 Iowa State over 150 Army 28.0 to 14.0
63 Kansas State over 219 Tennessee Tech 52.5 to 7.0
26 Michigan over 79 Indiana 38.5 to 17.5
224 Morehead State over 243 Butler 35.0 to 7.0
163 Eastern Kentucky over 238 Murray State 42.0 to 14.0
90 New Hampshire over 158 Dartmouth 38.5 to 21.0
108 Jacksonville State over 216 Nicholls State 35.0 to 10.5
88 Northern Illinois over 147 Idaho 31.5 to 14.0
6 Ohio State over 60 Illinois 31.5 to 7.0
49 Oklahoma State over 149 Grambling 45.5 to 17.5
78 Vanderbilt over 171 Rice 35.0 to 17.5
187 Southern over 237 Alcorn State 35.0 to 10.5
101 McNeese State over 199 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
64 Tulsa over 153 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 24.5
127 Utah State over 197 Southern Utah 42.0 to 21.0
105 Furman over 226 Western Carolina 42.0 to 17.5
62 Yale over 142 Cornell 35.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
18 Alabama over 40 Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
186 Alabama A&M over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 17.5
75 Appalachian State over 185 Samford 45.5 to 17.5
200 Bucknell over 236 Marist 28.0 to 10.5
81 Central Michigan over 126 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
12 Cincinnati over 46 Fresno State 42.0 to 28.0
17 Clemson over 39 Texas Christian 28.0 to 17.5
87 Elon over 141 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 17.5
113 Toledo over 189 Florida International 38.5 to 28.0
206 Georgetown over 231 Howard 28.0 to 17.5
67 South Dakota State over 155 Illinois State 35.0 to 21.0
157 Kent State over 184 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 17.5
2 Florida over 35 Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
8 Louisiana State over 59 Mississippi State 31.5 to 17.5
135 New Mexico over 202 New Mexico State 35.0 to 14.0
229 Alabama State over 242 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 10.5
86 Montana over 140 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
102 Middle Tennessee State over 177 North Texas 35.0 to 21.0
165 Florida A&M over 222 Tennessee State 28.0 to 14.0
117 Eastern Washington over 201 Sacramento State 31.5 to 14.0
196 Tennessee - Martin over 230 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 21.0
51 Utah over 76 Louisville 35.0 to 21.0
107 Western Michigan over 134 Hofstra 31.5 to 21.0
32 Wisconsin over 57 Michigan State 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
47 South Carolina over 55 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
118 Arkansas State over 114 Troy State 24.5 to 21.0
36 Boston College over 44 Wake Forest 21.0 to 17.5
179 Columbia over 176 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
71 East Carolina over 93 Central Florida 31.5 to 21.0
20 Georgia over 30 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
110 Lafayette over 115 Pennsylvania 17.5 to 10.5
66 Maryland over 91 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
112 Marshall over 137 Memphis 28.0 to 28.0
172 Towson over 218 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0
198 Norfolk State over 203 Bethune - Cookman 24.5 to 21.0
33 Pittsburgh over 80 North Carolina State 24.5 to 14.0
191 Northern Colorado over 195 Montana State 14.0 to 7.0
173 Monmouth over 208 Old Dominion 28.0 to 24.5
3 California over 15 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5
61 Oregon State over 58 Arizona 21.0 to 17.5
143 Weber State over 183 Portland State 35.0 to 31.5
215 Robert Morris over 205 Bryant 24.5 to 21.0
190 South Dakota over 207 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
27 Washington over 65 Stanford 31.5 to 24.5
111 Syracuse over 148 Maine 24.5 to 14.0
119 Wofford over 174 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 21.0
13 Virginia Tech over 22 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 17.5
72 Delaware over 104 William & Mary 31.5 to 28.0
94 Nevada - Las Vegas over 131 Wyoming 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
121 Northeast Louisiana over 138 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
19 Florida State over 16 South Florida 28.0 to 28.0
38 Georgia Tech over 34 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
169 Hampton over 166 Delaware State 21.0 to 21.0
23 Texas Tech over 42 Houston 35.0 to 31.5
146 Princeton over 164 Lehigh 24.5 to 24.5
69 James Madison over 89 Liberty 28.0 to 28.0
70 Minnesota over 95 Northwestern 35.0 to 31.5
43 Penn State over 24 Iowa 17.5 to 17.5
56 Purdue over 48 Notre Dame 31.5 to 31.5
125 California Poly over 156 San Jose State 28.0 to 28.0
103 Southern Illinois over 82 North Dakota State 38.5 to 38.5
182 Stephen F. Austin over 168 North Dakota 28.0 to 28.0
124 Buffalo over 152 Temple 28.0 to 24.5
193 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 214 Wagner 21.0 to 17.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net