ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
79 Northern Illinois over 134 Ball State 31.5 to 10.5
109 Jacksonville State over 186 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 10.5
19 Penn State over 93 Indiana 38.5 to 10.5
4 Texas Christian over 38 Utah 31.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
57 Central Michigan over 120 Toledo 42.0 to 21.0
173 Grambling over 220 Texas Southern 42.0 to 21.0
83 Temple over 123 Akron 28.0 to 21.0
39 Air Force over 102 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 14.0
202 Alabama A&M over 211 Jackson State 28.0 to 17.5
176 Prairie View over 228 Alcorn State 31.5 to 17.5
23 Arkansas over 70 Troy State 45.5 to 24.5
129 Army over 210 Virginia Military 38.5 to 10.5
203 Austin Peay over 216 Tennessee State 21.0 to 14.0
1 Texas over 73 Baylor 45.5 to 14.0
6 Boise State over 98 Idaho 52.5 to 14.0
140 Brown over 190 Dartmouth 38.5 to 17.5
222 Bryant over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 14.0
147 California - Davis over 175 North Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
146 California Poly over 167 South Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
187 Central Connecticut over 204 Monmouth 31.5 to 21.0
184 Coastal Carolina over 233 Presbyterian 38.5 to 14.0
153 Colgate over 225 Bucknell 38.5 to 10.5
14 Georgia Tech over 75 Duke 38.5 to 24.5
142 Eastern Illinois over 193 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 17.5
165 Eastern Kentucky over 201 Western Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
113 Western Michigan over 168 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
112 Liberty over 197 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 14.0
61 Richmond over 238 Georgetown 49.0 to 3.5
106 Hawaii over 164 New Mexico State 35.0 to 14.0
213 Bethune - Cookman over 240 Howard 24.5 to 17.5
68 Illinois over 85 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
132 North Dakota State over 223 Indiana State 42.0 to 14.0
11 Louisiana State over 92 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 3.5
78 Louisville over 96 Syracuse 31.5 to 21.0
139 Maine over 179 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5
12 Virginia Tech over 99 Maryland 42.0 to 17.5
97 Massachusetts over 110 James Madison 24.5 to 14.0
88 Middle Tennessee State over 133 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
5 Alabama over 51 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0
104 Montana over 183 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 7.0
141 Montana State over 180 Sacramento State 31.5 to 17.5
218 San Diego over 242 Morehead State 28.0 to 17.5
199 Southern over 237 Alabama State 24.5 to 10.5
49 Navy over 108 Delaware 42.0 to 21.0
20 Brigham Young over 150 New Mexico 45.5 to 14.0
13 Clemson over 76 North Carolina State 38.5 to 24.5
143 Hofstra over 182 Northeastern 28.0 to 17.5
91 Northeast Louisiana over 181 Western Kentucky 49.0 to 17.5
62 Northern Iowa over 178 Western Illinois 45.5 to 7.0
7 Ohio State over 33 Iowa 24.5 to 7.0
9 Oklahoma over 55 Texas A&M 38.5 to 14.0
3 Oregon over 44 Arizona State 38.5 to 14.0
24 Oregon State over 50 Washington 35.0 to 24.5
21 Pittsburgh over 34 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0
160 Yale over 219 Princeton 24.5 to 10.5
2 Florida over 48 South Carolina 31.5 to 10.5
119 South Carolina State over 208 Morgan State 38.5 to 7.0
10 Southern California over 28 Stanford 35.0 to 17.5
67 Southern Illinois over 158 Missouri State 35.0 to 7.0
60 Villanova over 195 Towson 42.0 to 3.5
241 Campbell over 245 Valparaiso 28.0 to 21.0
45 Kentucky over 82 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
42 California - Los Angeles over 117 Washington State 31.5 to 14.0
230 Winston-Salem over 232 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
90 Bowling Green over 137 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
32 South Florida over 69 Rutgers 28.0 to 17.5
8 Cincinnati over 31 West Virginia 38.5 to 24.5
166 Stony Brook over 200 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
174 Norfolk State over 196 Delaware State 24.5 to 21.0
177 Fordham over 185 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0
131 Harvard over 136 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 14.0
77 Iowa State over 80 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0
215 Jacksonville over 234 Butler 31.5 to 21.0
66 Minnesota over 86 South Dakota State 31.5 to 21.0
15 Miami - Florida over 52 North Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
162 Central Arkansas over 189 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 24.5
217 Southeast Missouri State over 221 Murray State 24.5 to 21.0
100 Southern Methodist over 118 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
111 Utah State over 151 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
30 Boston College over 64 Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
87 William & Mary over 101 New Hampshire 31.5 to 24.5
35 Wisconsin over 59 Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
148 Wofford over 161 Samford 24.5 to 17.5
135 Youngstown State over 149 Illinois State 24.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
94 Ohio over 114 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
26 California over 27 Arizona 31.5 to 28.0
46 Houston over 72 Central Florida 35.0 to 31.5
231 Davidson over 229 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
191 Drake over 194 Dayton 31.5 to 24.5
81 Elon over 89 Appalachian State 35.0 to 28.0
145 Florida International over 156 North Texas 38.5 to 35.0
29 Georgia over 25 Auburn 35.0 to 28.0
155 Georgia Southern over 144 Furman 35.0 to 31.5
171 Florida A&M over 207 Hampton 31.5 to 24.5
126 Holy Cross over 128 Lafayette 35.0 to 28.0
192 Portland State over 212 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
22 Nebraska over 43 Kansas 24.5 to 21.0
84 Marshall over 74 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
214 Nicholls State over 224 Northwestern State 31.5 to 24.5
18 Oklahoma State over 17 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0
206 Wagner over 226 Robert Morris 24.5 to 24.5
239 Sacred Heart over 235 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
103 San Diego State over 107 Wyoming 28.0 to 24.5
138 Stephen F. Austin over 170 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
121 Eastern Washington over 152 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
163 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 159 The Citadel 24.5 to 24.5
71 Tulsa over 65 East Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
198 Cornell over 188 Columbia 24.5 to 24.5
105 Arkansas State over 125 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 31.5
37 Missouri over 58 Kansas State 28.0 to 28.0
122 Memphis over 115 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 31.5
16 Tennessee over 36 Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
40 Fresno State over 56 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 35.0
47 Michigan State over 63 Purdue 31.5 to 28.0
154 Tulane over 172 Rice 35.0 to 31.5
127 McNeese State over 157 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 35.0
54 Wake Forest over 41 Florida State 28.0 to 28.0
130 Weber State over 124 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
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