ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
200 Alabama A&M over 243 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 7.0
78 Appalachian State over 189 Western Carolina 49.0 to 10.5
11 Clemson over 64 Virginia 31.5 to 10.5
110 Jacksonville State over 175 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 10.5
106 James Madison over 202 Towson 35.0 to 3.5
169 Norfolk State over 233 Winston-Salem 31.5 to 7.0
170 Prairie View over 211 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 10.5
25 Tennessee over 85 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
57 Central Michigan over 131 Ball State 35.0 to 14.0
142 Eastern Illinois over 223 Tennessee State 35.0 to 3.5
15 Oklahoma State over 82 Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
87 Bowling Green over 138 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
122 Toledo over 168 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 28.0
7 Boise State over 113 Utah State 49.0 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 157 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 0.0
30 Boston College over 41 North Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
125 Holy Cross over 222 Bucknell 38.5 to 14.0
38 California - Los Angeles over 47 Arizona State 21.0 to 14.0
208 Jacksonville over 241 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
66 Central Florida over 161 Tulane 38.5 to 7.0
191 Dartmouth over 213 Princeton 28.0 to 17.5
192 Dayton over 226 Marist 28.0 to 10.5
197 Delaware State over 240 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
56 East Carolina over 108 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 17.5
2 Florida over 143 Florida International 56.0 to 0.0
40 Florida State over 96 Maryland 45.5 to 21.0
53 Fresno State over 86 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 21.0
181 Fordham over 235 Georgetown 31.5 to 17.5
196 Hampton over 212 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0
51 Houston over 123 Memphis 49.0 to 24.5
61 Northern Iowa over 150 Illinois State 35.0 to 17.5
35 Iowa over 63 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
215 Jackson State over 228 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
129 Lafayette over 179 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0
88 Marshall over 93 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 21.0
126 McNeese State over 164 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 17.5
19 Miami - Florida over 81 Duke 42.0 to 17.5
89 Middle Tennessee State over 114 Arkansas State 28.0 to 17.5
32 Missouri over 72 Iowa State 31.5 to 14.0
201 Monmouth over 218 Robert Morris 21.0 to 10.5
103 Montana over 140 Montana State 24.5 to 17.5
16 Arkansas over 52 Mississippi State 38.5 to 24.5
17 Nebraska over 67 Kansas State 31.5 to 10.5
99 New Hampshire over 139 Maine 35.0 to 17.5
48 Nevada - Reno over 162 New Mexico State 42.0 to 10.5
227 North Carolina Central over 244 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
34 Wisconsin over 84 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0
127 Stephen F. Austin over 229 Northwestern State 42.0 to 14.0
130 Pennsylvania over 203 Cornell 31.5 to 3.5
183 Central Connecticut over 237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 17.5
91 Elon over 149 Samford 24.5 to 10.5
107 Hawaii over 153 San Jose State 31.5 to 24.5
119 South Carolina State over 224 North Carolina A&T 42.0 to 7.0
68 Southern Illinois over 210 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 7.0
45 South Florida over 74 Louisville 28.0 to 14.0
109 Liberty over 172 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
77 Temple over 116 Kent State 28.0 to 17.5
190 Tennessee Tech over 230 Murray State 35.0 to 17.5
1 Texas over 49 Kansas 49.0 to 14.0
79 Troy State over 117 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 28.0
39 Utah over 105 San Diego State 42.0 to 17.5
59 Villanova over 111 Delaware 38.5 to 17.5
9 Virginia Tech over 76 North Carolina State 45.5 to 14.0
21 Oregon State over 121 Washington State 42.0 to 14.0
124 Weber State over 158 California Poly 31.5 to 21.0
90 South Dakota State over 178 Western Illinois 28.0 to 7.0
4 Texas Christian over 104 Wyoming 38.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
174 Southeast Louisiana over 214 Nicholls State 38.5 to 21.0
5 Oregon over 29 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
31 Brigham Young over 37 Air Force 28.0 to 21.0
198 Drake over 238 Butler 31.5 to 17.5
145 Brown over 185 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
137 Furman over 146 Wofford 38.5 to 28.0
28 Georgia over 44 Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
151 Georgia Southern over 160 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
102 Massachusetts over 148 Hofstra 24.5 to 14.0
97 Northeast Louisiana over 133 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
10 Ohio State over 62 Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
177 Florida A&M over 217 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 17.5
94 Colorado State over 144 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0
128 North Dakota State over 135 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
36 Notre Dame over 50 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
194 Gardner - Webb over 231 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
120 Texas - El Paso over 166 Rice 42.0 to 31.5
65 Richmond over 83 William & Mary 31.5 to 21.0
147 California - Davis over 182 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
155 Southern Utah over 221 San Diego 38.5 to 21.0
70 Southern Mississippi over 75 Tulsa 31.5 to 24.5
58 Rutgers over 100 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
154 Texas State - San Marcos over 187 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 28.0
242 Morehead State over 245 Valparaiso 24.5 to 14.0
167 Albany over 216 Wagner 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
115 Buffalo over 141 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
69 Purdue over 95 Indiana 35.0 to 31.5
18 Stanford over 24 California 31.5 to 28.0
204 Tennessee - Martin over 207 Austin Peay 31.5 to 28.0
60 Texas A&M over 71 Baylor 35.0 to 28.0
6 Oklahoma over 22 Texas Tech 31.5 to 24.5
136 Harvard over 165 Yale 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
193 Charleston Southern over 188 Coastal Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
220 Bryant over 234 Duquesne 21.0 to 21.0
26 Penn State over 43 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5
13 Louisiana State over 23 Mississippi 21.0 to 21.0
132 Northern Arizona over 118 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 31.5
134 Army over 152 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0
92 Ohio over 80 Northern Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
186 Rhode Island over 180 Northeastern 31.5 to 31.5
206 Virginia Military over 205 Old Dominion 31.5 to 28.0
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