ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 8 Cincinnati over 73 Illinois 42.0 to 14.0 3 Texas Christian over 139 New Mexico 52.5 to 3.5 80-90% chance of victory: 113 Western Michigan over 136 Ball State 31.5 to 17.5 1 Texas over 54 Texas A&M 45.5 to 24.5 138 Akron over 172 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0 6 Boise State over 45 Nevada - Reno 49.0 to 28.0 52 Central Michigan over 88 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5 17 Nebraska over 76 Colorado 28.0 to 10.5 81 Tulsa over 126 Memphis 38.5 to 21.0 162 Central Arkansas over 171 North Dakota 24.5 to 17.5 47 Connecticut over 89 Syracuse 35.0 to 21.0 2 Florida over 42 Florida State 45.5 to 17.5 46 Houston over 160 Rice 59.5 to 21.0 71 Troy State over 127 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 21.0 36 Boston College over 95 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0 23 Mississippi over 56 Mississippi State 28.0 to 21.0 12 Texas Tech over 79 Baylor 42.0 to 17.5 9 Oklahoma over 22 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 14.0 13 Clemson over 44 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5 19 Southern California over 35 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 14.0 94 Southern Methodist over 164 Tulane 42.0 to 17.5 7 Virginia Tech over 61 Virginia 28.0 to 14.0 58 Washington over 125 Washington State 42.0 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 4 Alabama over 28 Auburn 31.5 to 21.0 85 Bowling Green over 119 Toledo 45.5 to 28.0 98 Colorado State over 103 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0 60 Central Florida over 106 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0 115 Arkansas State over 151 North Texas 38.5 to 24.5 27 Brigham Young over 37 Utah 31.5 to 24.5 55 Wake Forest over 77 Duke 28.0 to 21.0 53 East Carolina over 68 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5 118 Florida Atlantic over 182 Western Kentucky 52.5 to 28.0 11 Georgia Tech over 32 Georgia 38.5 to 28.0 43 Navy over 107 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0 96 Nevada - Las Vegas over 108 San Diego State 31.5 to 28.0 33 North Carolina over 75 North Carolina State 31.5 to 21.0 152 San Jose State over 168 New Mexico State 24.5 to 17.5 24 Stanford over 40 Notre Dame 35.0 to 24.5 90 Marshall over 121 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 104 Buffalo over 120 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5 74 Louisville over 63 Rutgers 21.0 to 21.0 69 Temple over 93 Ohio 28.0 to 24.5 29 Arizona over 50 Arizona State 24.5 to 24.5 97 Idaho over 112 Utah State 38.5 to 31.5 15 Louisiana State over 14 Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0 30 Missouri over 49 Kansas 31.5 to 28.0 86 Middle Tennessee State over 102 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0 173 Grambling over 197 Southern 42.0 to 31.5 18 Miami - Florida over 48 South Florida 28.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 31 West Virginia over 20 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5 26 Tennessee over 39 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0 218 Texas Southern over 221 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 24.5
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