2009 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  59 Fresno State              over  101 Wyoming                    35.0 to 21.0
  40 Nevada - Reno             over   93 Southern Methodist         45.5 to 28.0
  27 Auburn                    over   79 Northwestern               38.5 to 21.0
  14 Arkansas                  over   53 East Carolina              38.5 to 24.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  54 Villanova                 over   80 Montana                    31.5 to 24.5
  22 Pittsburgh                over   34 North Carolina             24.5 to 17.5
  85 Ohio                      over   95 Marshall                   24.5 to 21.0
  20 Southern California       over   38 Boston College             24.5 to 17.5
  19 Clemson                   over   43 Kentucky                   31.5 to 24.5
  12 Miami - Florida           over   36 Wisconsin                  35.0 to 24.5
  45 California - Los Angeles  over   70 Temple                     28.0 to 17.5
  62 Minnesota                 over   74 Iowa State                 24.5 to 21.0
  30 Missouri                  over   51 Navy                       31.5 to 24.5
   6 Oklahoma                  over   18 Stanford                   31.5 to 24.5
   7 Virginia Tech             over   26 Tennessee                  31.5 to 21.0
   2 Florida                   over    9 Cincinnati                 35.0 to 28.0
  57 South Florida             over   88 Northern Illinois          28.0 to 17.5
  15 Texas Tech                over   56 Michigan State             38.5 to 28.0
  11 Georgia Tech              over   33 Iowa                       31.5 to 21.0
  49 Central Michigan          over   71 Troy State                 31.5 to 24.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  68 Southern Mississippi      over   78 Middle Tennessee State     28.0 to 28.0
  21 Oregon State              over   28 Brigham Young              31.5 to 28.0
  31 California                over   42 Utah                       28.0 to 24.5
  29 Georgia                   over   55 Texas A&M                  38.5 to 31.5
  16 Nebraska                  over   25 Arizona                    21.0 to 21.0
  86 Bowling Green             over   99 Idaho                      35.0 to 31.5
  32 West Virginia             over   46 Florida State              31.5 to 28.0
  13 Louisiana State           over   17 Penn State                 17.5 to 17.5
   5 Oregon                    over   10 Ohio State                 31.5 to 24.5
  35 South Carolina            over   44 Connecticut                28.0 to 24.5
   4 Texas Christian           over    8 Boise State                35.0 to 31.5
   1 Texas                     over    3 Alabama                    28.0 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  60 Central Florida           over   61 Rutgers                    21.0 to 21.0
  37 Houston                   over   39 Air Force                  35.0 to 31.5
  23 Mississippi               over   24 Oklahoma State             24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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