ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
37 Houston over 123 Texas - El Paso 56.0 to 24.5
97 Appalachian State over 182 Jacksonville 52.5 to 21.0
20 Arizona over 156 The Citadel 49.0 to 3.5
62 Arizona State over 126 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 17.5
46 Boston College over 125 Kent State 35.0 to 7.0
81 Montana over 158 California Poly 38.5 to 21.0
24 Cincinnati over 233 Indiana State 63.0 to 0.0
29 Clemson over 225 Presbyterian 63.0 to 0.0
59 Connecticut over 208 Texas Southern 49.0 to 0.0
52 East Carolina over 136 Memphis 45.5 to 17.5
75 Jacksonville State over 139 Tennessee - Chattanooga 52.5 to 28.0
63 Kansas State over 143 Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
43 Kentucky over 172 Western Kentucky 56.0 to 14.0
130 Lafayette over 232 Georgetown 42.0 to 7.0
51 Villanova over 171 Lehigh 38.5 to 7.0
93 Louisville over 187 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 3.5
74 Maryland over 204 Morgan State 45.5 to 0.0
98 Massachusetts over 148 Holy Cross 42.0 to 21.0
120 Miami - Ohio over 178 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 21.0
82 Middle Tennessee State over 206 Austin Peay 49.0 to 7.0
56 Minnesota over 153 South Dakota 45.5 to 10.5
40 Missouri over 168 McNeese State 45.5 to 7.0
18 Arkansas over 106 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 14.0
57 Navy over 154 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 3.5
19 Nebraska over 79 Idaho 38.5 to 14.0
47 Nevada - Reno over 116 Colorado State 42.0 to 17.5
16 Texas Tech over 166 New Mexico 52.5 to 10.5
49 Michigan State over 107 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 28.0
95 Northern Illinois over 180 North Dakota 35.0 to 7.0
67 Northwestern over 150 Illinois State 42.0 to 14.0
15 Oklahoma State over 76 Troy State 45.5 to 21.0
23 Pittsburgh over 96 New Hampshire 38.5 to 14.0
70 Purdue over 186 Western Illinois 42.0 to 3.5
118 South Carolina State over 243 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 0.0
60 Southern Methodist over 114 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 21.0
87 Southern Mississippi over 173 Prairie View 42.0 to 14.0
138 Southern Utah over 222 San Diego 45.5 to 17.5
8 Texas over 110 Wyoming 42.0 to 0.0
3 Texas Christian over 174 Tennessee Tech 59.5 to 0.0
42 Mississippi over 165 Tulane 45.5 to 14.0
27 Utah over 103 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
85 Utah State over 207 Idaho State 52.5 to 14.0
6 Virginia Tech over 113 James Madison 45.5 to 3.5
112 Weber State over 179 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 10.5
121 Western Michigan over 230 Nicholls State 45.5 to 7.0
77 William & Mary over 203 Virginia Military 45.5 to 3.5
26 Wisconsin over 147 San Jose State 49.0 to 7.0
131 Youngstown State over 221 Butler 42.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
145 Akron over 190 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 10.5
1 Alabama over 21 Penn State 31.5 to 10.5
31 California over 72 Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
210 Old Dominion over 241 Campbell 38.5 to 17.5
5 Florida over 41 South Florida 35.0 to 14.0
61 Rutgers over 132 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
124 Furman over 162 Colgate 45.5 to 31.5
32 Iowa over 64 Iowa State 24.5 to 10.5
10 Georgia Tech over 88 Kansas 35.0 to 14.0
102 San Diego State over 161 New Mexico State 28.0 to 14.0
169 Norfolk State over 218 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 10.5
78 Northern Iowa over 117 North Dakota State 35.0 to 17.5
151 Samford over 219 Northwestern State 35.0 to 17.5
90 Ohio over 133 Toledo 35.0 to 17.5
45 Texas A&M over 94 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 17.5
9 Louisiana State over 92 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
36 Mississippi State over 28 Auburn 35.0 to 35.0
54 West Virginia over 100 Marshall 24.5 to 17.5
17 Brigham Young over 48 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
214 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 237 Alabama State 17.5 to 17.5
109 Hawaii over 129 Army 31.5 to 24.5
111 Liberty over 140 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
89 Baylor over 101 Buffalo 21.0 to 14.0
163 California - Davis over 197 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
34 Stanford over 58 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 28.0
66 Central Florida over 69 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
157 Wofford over 188 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 28.0
108 Delaware over 105 South Dakota State 28.0 to 24.5
159 Florida A&M over 215 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
189 Dayton over 231 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
142 Eastern Illinois over 160 Central Arkansas 24.5 to 14.0
192 Hampton over 239 Howard 24.5 to 10.5
83 Illinois over 84 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
115 Arkansas State over 137 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
146 Maine over 196 Monmouth 21.0 to 10.5
198 Southeast Missouri State over 227 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
127 North Texas over 128 Rice 38.5 to 35.0
38 Notre Dame over 53 Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
201 Tennessee State over 226 Jackson State 17.5 to 10.5
7 Ohio State over 11 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 17.5
13 Oklahoma over 14 Florida State 31.5 to 28.0
185 Southeast Louisiana over 194 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 28.0
35 Southern California over 50 Virginia 31.5 to 21.0
144 Stephen F. Austin over 141 Albany 24.5 to 21.0
55 Temple over 65 Central Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
2 Oregon over 30 Tennessee 38.5 to 28.0
181 Coastal Carolina over 199 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
86 Tulsa over 91 Bowling Green 38.5 to 35.0
73 Wake Forest over 68 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
44 Washington over 71 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
195 Fordham over 184 Rhode Island 35.0 to 31.5
234 Marist over 223 Bucknell 17.5 to 17.5
236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 240 Morehead State 24.5 to 21.0
209 Robert Morris over 224 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 24.5
25 South Carolina over 12 Georgia 24.5 to 24.5
134 Montana State over 152 Washington State 24.5 to 24.5
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