ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
72 Troy State over 114 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 28.0
89 Appalachian State over 232 North Carolina Central 59.5 to 10.5
222 Bethune - Cookman over 243 Savannah State 38.5 to 10.5
130 Central Arkansas over 236 Murray State 42.0 to 3.5
198 Dayton over 238 Morehead State 35.0 to 14.0
85 Delaware over 223 Duquesne 49.0 to 7.0
2 Alabama over 73 Duke 45.5 to 17.5
60 Central Michigan over 179 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 10.5
86 Jacksonville State over 235 Georgia State 66.5 to 24.5
159 Grambling over 219 Jackson State 35.0 to 14.0
161 Florida A&M over 239 Howard 38.5 to 14.0
61 Illinois over 100 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
49 Kentucky over 157 Akron 45.5 to 10.5
43 Michigan over 91 Massachusetts 38.5 to 17.5
37 Missouri over 98 San Diego State 42.0 to 17.5
141 Montana State over 213 Drake 35.0 to 7.0
28 Utah over 154 New Mexico 45.5 to 10.5
116 North Dakota State over 220 Morgan State 38.5 to 3.5
7 Ohio State over 105 Ohio 38.5 to 0.0
23 Oklahoma State over 78 Tulsa 49.0 to 24.5
71 William & Mary over 200 Old Dominion 42.0 to 7.0
1 Oregon over 184 Portland State 77.0 to 3.5
27 Oregon State over 101 Louisville 38.5 to 10.5
20 Penn State over 115 Kent State 38.5 to 3.5
164 Prairie View over 234 Alabama State 31.5 to 7.0
82 Purdue over 144 Ball State 35.0 to 14.0
88 New Hampshire over 190 Rhode Island 42.0 to 14.0
63 Northwestern over 133 Rice 42.0 to 24.5
84 Richmond over 97 Elon 28.0 to 21.0
109 Liberty over 209 Robert Morris 42.0 to 14.0
123 Weber State over 165 Sacramento State 45.5 to 35.0
18 South Carolina over 112 Furman 42.0 to 10.5
107 Southern Illinois over 196 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
58 Southern Methodist over 148 Washington State 45.5 to 14.0
9 Stanford over 66 Wake Forest 45.5 to 24.5
79 Syracuse over 150 Maine 31.5 to 7.0
3 Florida over 44 Tennessee 35.0 to 17.5
140 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 183 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 17.5
31 Texas A&M over 125 Florida International 52.5 to 17.5
5 Texas Christian over 67 Baylor 38.5 to 10.5
118 Texas - El Paso over 163 New Mexico State 35.0 to 17.5
215 Texas Southern over 227 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 21.0
158 The Citadel over 217 Presbyterian 49.0 to 28.0
32 Fresno State over 99 Utah State 42.0 to 28.0
47 Villanova over 197 Towson 56.0 to 7.0
102 Indiana over 166 Western Kentucky 49.0 to 31.5
46 West Virginia over 69 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
4 Boise State over 92 Wyoming 45.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
24 Auburn over 42 Clemson 35.0 to 24.5
149 Brown over 170 Stony Brook 35.0 to 24.5
70 Central Florida over 111 Buffalo 21.0 to 14.0
139 Georgia Southern over 191 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
137 Harvard over 151 Holy Cross 28.0 to 21.0
169 Lehigh over 210 Princeton 28.0 to 10.5
10 Louisiana State over 38 Mississippi State 28.0 to 14.0
50 Mississippi over 87 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
231 Alcorn State over 241 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 17.5
83 Northern Iowa over 113 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 21.0
122 Pennsylvania over 160 Lafayette 28.0 to 10.5
121 South Dakota State over 152 Illinois State 28.0 to 10.5
185 Southeast Louisiana over 214 Lamar 42.0 to 31.5
22 Virginia Tech over 54 East Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
39 Wisconsin over 57 Arizona State 28.0 to 17.5
173 Yale over 207 Georgetown 24.5 to 10.5
142 Youngstown State over 180 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
40 Cincinnati over 59 North Carolina State 35.0 to 35.0
11 California over 30 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 35.0
62 Kansas over 81 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 24.5
14 Arizona over 13 Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
104 Northeast Louisiana over 126 Arkansas State 28.0 to 21.0
135 Army over 146 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
95 Bowling Green over 90 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
204 Dartmouth over 229 Bucknell 21.0 to 17.5
36 Houston over 77 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0
240 Davidson over 242 Campbell 24.5 to 14.0
94 Colorado over 106 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
175 Columbia over 189 Fordham 31.5 to 24.5
34 Florida State over 35 Brigham Young 35.0 to 31.5
174 Gardner - Webb over 188 Western Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
21 Georgia over 17 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
201 Hampton over 216 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 14.0
76 Idaho over 108 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 28.0
65 Navy over 96 Louisiana Tech 21.0 to 14.0
93 Middle Tennessee State over 131 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
132 Miami - Ohio over 128 Colorado State 24.5 to 21.0
55 Michigan State over 51 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0
29 Southern California over 80 Minnesota 28.0 to 17.5
68 Kansas State over 74 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
167 Northern Colorado over 202 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma over 19 Air Force 35.0 to 21.0
230 Sacred Heart over 237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 28.0
182 California - Davis over 225 San Diego 28.0 to 17.5
138 San Jose State over 145 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
53 Temple over 48 Connecticut 28.0 to 28.0
181 Eastern Illinois over 203 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 24.5
192 Austin Peay over 218 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
136 California Poly over 153 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 35.0
8 Texas over 16 Texas Tech 31.5 to 31.5
211 Wagner over 205 Cornell 31.5 to 28.0
15 Nebraska over 41 Washington 21.0 to 17.5
178 Western Illinois over 195 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 21.0
119 Western Michigan over 117 Toledo 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
103 Montana over 120 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 35.0
33 North Carolina over 26 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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