ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
11 Oklahoma State over 31 Texas A&M 49.0 to 35.0
174 Tennessee Tech over 221 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
57 Brigham Young over 121 Utah State 31.5 to 17.5
33 Air Force over 59 Navy 31.5 to 17.5
78 Northern Illinois over 158 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
17 Auburn over 133 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 10.5
28 California - Los Angeles over 146 Washington State 42.0 to 3.5
50 Central Michigan over 138 Ball State 35.0 to 7.0
6 Texas Christian over 129 Colorado State 45.5 to 7.0
193 Dayton over 243 Valparaiso 42.0 to 7.0
197 Hampton over 231 Delaware State 28.0 to 21.0
95 Ohio over 176 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
58 Fresno State over 140 California Poly 42.0 to 17.5
7 Ohio State over 67 Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
25 Michigan over 90 Indiana 45.5 to 28.0
167 Jacksonville over 214 San Diego 35.0 to 17.5
107 Jacksonville State over 196 Murray State 49.0 to 17.5
119 Liberty over 242 Savannah State 56.0 to 0.0
10 Louisiana State over 55 Tennessee 38.5 to 14.0
71 Maryland over 105 Duke 45.5 to 31.5
32 Mississippi State over 209 Alcorn State 56.0 to 0.0
195 Prairie View over 244 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 3.5
15 Nevada - Reno over 94 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 21.0
111 Texas - El Paso over 177 New Mexico 38.5 to 21.0
4 Boise State over 170 New Mexico State 63.0 to 3.5
40 North Carolina over 60 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
108 North Dakota State over 145 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
110 Pennsylvania over 202 Dartmouth 38.5 to 7.0
42 Pittsburgh over 114 Florida International 38.5 to 14.0
178 Portland State over 213 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0
66 Southern Methodist over 139 Rice 42.0 to 21.0
102 Richmond over 186 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
73 Rutgers over 135 Tulane 28.0 to 7.0
150 San Jose State over 171 California - Davis 28.0 to 17.5
147 South Dakota over 160 North Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
26 Southern California over 69 Washington 42.0 to 24.5
70 Southern Mississippi over 101 Marshall 35.0 to 21.0
56 South Florida over 124 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 10.5
89 Toledo over 103 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0
98 Massachusetts over 201 Towson 45.5 to 21.0
76 Idaho over 131 Western Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
115 Furman over 164 Wofford 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 3 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
157 Grambling over 219 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 17.5
39 Temple over 92 Army 28.0 to 14.0
235 Butler over 241 Campbell 28.0 to 10.5
9 Miami - Florida over 41 Clemson 31.5 to 21.0
35 Georgia over 79 Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
44 Connecticut over 65 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5
223 Drake over 236 Marist 31.5 to 24.5
128 Elon over 156 Samford 24.5 to 10.5
137 South Carolina State over 173 Florida A&M 31.5 to 24.5
87 Hawaii over 97 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 24.5
16 Iowa over 21 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
83 Tulsa over 127 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
47 Northwestern over 91 Minnesota 31.5 to 21.0
113 Montana over 172 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
106 Northern Iowa over 116 South Dakota State 17.5 to 10.5
142 North Texas over 151 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
179 Old Dominion over 208 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
2 Oregon over 5 Stanford 45.5 to 38.5
29 Oregon State over 43 Arizona State 35.0 to 24.5
185 Central Connecticut over 239 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 24.5
168 Robert Morris over 216 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 17.5
20 Florida State over 63 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
37 Georgia Tech over 85 Wake Forest 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
206 Texas Southern over 228 Alabama State 24.5 to 21.0
88 Louisville over 118 Arkansas State 28.0 to 24.5
74 Baylor over 77 Kansas 24.5 to 17.5
64 Boston College over 52 Notre Dame 21.0 to 17.5
104 Bowling Green over 112 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
181 Colgate over 191 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
180 Columbia over 194 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
211 Duquesne over 210 Monmouth 31.5 to 24.5
159 Southeast Missouri State over 187 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
220 Georgia State over 225 Morehead State 45.5 to 38.5
184 Holy Cross over 182 Fordham 24.5 to 21.0
130 Illinois State over 134 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
36 Texas Tech over 62 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0
68 James Madison over 75 Delaware 21.0 to 17.5
144 Harvard over 162 Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
207 Sam Houston State over 233 Lamar 38.5 to 35.0
117 New Hampshire over 154 Maine 24.5 to 21.0
99 Kent State over 123 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
27 Wisconsin over 51 Michigan State 31.5 to 28.0
54 Mississippi over 48 Kentucky 35.0 to 31.5
120 Youngstown State over 149 Missouri State 38.5 to 35.0
190 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Morgan State 21.0 to 17.5
14 Virginia Tech over 30 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
188 McNeese State over 227 Northwestern State 38.5 to 31.5
198 Tennessee State over 230 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 14.0
8 Oklahoma over 23 Texas 31.5 to 24.5
132 Brown over 166 Rhode Island 31.5 to 24.5
109 Montana State over 148 Sacramento State 28.0 to 21.0
232 Southern over 229 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 31.5
125 Northern Arizona over 153 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
163 The Citadel over 165 Western Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
203 Virginia Military over 218 Presbyterian 38.5 to 31.5
53 Villanova over 82 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
175 Yale over 199 Albany 24.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
237 Bucknell over 234 Cornell 14.0 to 14.0
212 Wagner over 200 Bryant 31.5 to 28.0
136 Weber State over 126 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 28.0
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