ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
2 Boise State over 87 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 10.5
6 Utah over 38 Air Force 38.5 to 28.0
84 Appalachian State over 129 Furman 45.5 to 28.0
50 Arizona State over 105 Washington State 38.5 to 17.5
26 Arkansas over 80 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 14.0
88 Army over 205 Virginia Military 42.0 to 3.5
158 Bethune - Cookman over 235 North Carolina A&T 42.0 to 14.0
146 California Poly over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 3.5
161 Central Arkansas over 202 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 10.5
111 Colorado State over 171 New Mexico 38.5 to 17.5
197 Dayton over 240 Davidson 31.5 to 14.0
151 South Carolina State over 230 Delaware State 31.5 to 7.0
89 Toledo over 177 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 28.0
181 Florida A&M over 220 Morgan State 31.5 to 14.0
185 Fordham over 223 Georgetown 31.5 to 14.0
49 Hawaii over 79 Idaho 42.0 to 28.0
204 Norfolk State over 241 Howard 35.0 to 14.0
132 Montana State over 216 Idaho State 42.0 to 17.5
36 Illinois over 91 Purdue 31.5 to 10.5
106 South Dakota State over 180 Indiana State 31.5 to 17.5
60 Iowa State over 119 Kansas 35.0 to 14.0
94 James Madison over 122 Massachusetts 24.5 to 10.5
97 Kent State over 138 Ball State 28.0 to 14.0
163 McNeese State over 218 Nicholls State 38.5 to 17.5
59 Houston over 154 Memphis 49.0 to 21.0
7 Ohio State over 92 Minnesota 42.0 to 14.0
191 Monmouth over 233 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 14.0
148 Jacksonville over 236 Morehead State 49.0 to 24.5
179 Grambling over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
37 Navy over 95 Duke 38.5 to 17.5
4 Texas Christian over 120 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 3.5
32 Nevada - Reno over 116 Utah State 49.0 to 17.5
29 North Carolina over 76 William & Mary 31.5 to 10.5
165 North Dakota over 231 Lamar 45.5 to 17.5
51 Notre Dame over 68 Tulsa 35.0 to 24.5
77 Ohio over 160 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 10.5
5 Oklahoma over 69 Colorado 42.0 to 10.5
125 Pennsylvania over 150 Brown 28.0 to 17.5
113 Liberty over 224 Presbyterian 45.5 to 17.5
149 Robert Morris over 213 Duquesne 38.5 to 14.0
20 South Carolina over 61 Tennessee 35.0 to 14.0
157 Southeast Missouri State over 201 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 14.0
66 Southern Mississippi over 103 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 24.5
101 Stephen F. Austin over 198 Texas State - San Marcos 49.0 to 17.5
170 Stony Brook over 219 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 21.0
46 Temple over 186 Akron 49.0 to 7.0
200 Texas Southern over 243 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 7.0
238 Butler over 244 Valparaiso 35.0 to 14.0
56 Villanova over 107 Richmond 31.5 to 10.5
16 Miami - Florida over 83 Virginia 35.0 to 14.0
112 Wofford over 193 The Citadel 35.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
12 Florida State over 35 North Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5
222 Alcorn State over 232 Southern 42.0 to 35.0
33 Clemson over 74 Boston College 28.0 to 17.5
182 Lafayette over 229 Bucknell 28.0 to 14.0
19 Arizona over 63 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 14.0
183 Central Connecticut over 203 Wagner 35.0 to 24.5
99 Central Michigan over 123 Bowling Green 35.0 to 24.5
140 Harvard over 184 Dartmouth 31.5 to 24.5
67 Maryland over 82 Wake Forest 35.0 to 24.5
9 Auburn over 52 Mississippi 42.0 to 28.0
31 Mississippi State over 48 Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
8 Nebraska over 13 Missouri 31.5 to 21.0
73 Troy State over 136 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 21.0
110 Northern Arizona over 143 Sacramento State 38.5 to 24.5
24 Pittsburgh over 57 Louisville 35.0 to 17.5
159 South Dakota over 192 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
30 Texas over 47 Baylor 31.5 to 21.0
14 Stanford over 62 Washington 42.0 to 28.0
135 Western Illinois over 169 Illinois State 38.5 to 24.5
134 Western Kentucky over 152 North Texas 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
40 West Virginia over 64 Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
142 Southern Utah over 168 California - Davis 24.5 to 21.0
55 Central Florida over 54 East Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
44 Cincinnati over 70 Syracuse 31.5 to 21.0
206 Drake over 215 San Diego 28.0 to 21.0
211 Eastern Illinois over 221 Austin Peay 35.0 to 24.5
187 Eastern Kentucky over 178 Murray State 31.5 to 31.5
98 Florida International over 131 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 24.5
190 Coastal Carolina over 208 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 24.5
124 Georgia Southern over 145 Samford 24.5 to 14.0
72 Northwestern over 93 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
23 Iowa over 27 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5
17 Oklahoma State over 43 Kansas State 45.5 to 38.5
162 Lehigh over 155 Colgate 24.5 to 24.5
114 Marshall over 117 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
126 Southern Illinois over 156 Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
137 San Jose State over 167 New Mexico State 21.0 to 17.5
10 Florida over 22 Georgia 28.0 to 21.0
153 Sam Houston State over 199 Northwestern State 28.0 to 21.0
41 Penn State over 45 Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
118 Eastern Washington over 166 Portland State 38.5 to 28.0
1 Oregon over 15 Southern California 42.0 to 31.5
127 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 130 Elon 31.5 to 28.0
34 Texas A&M over 42 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0
164 Rhode Island over 188 Towson 31.5 to 28.0
81 Southern Methodist over 121 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5
108 Montana over 147 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
58 Northern Illinois over 90 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
71 San Diego State over 96 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0
174 Yale over 172 Columbia 21.0 to 17.5
100 Northern Iowa over 144 Youngstown State 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
209 Bryant over 195 Albany 24.5 to 24.5
128 Buffalo over 115 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
239 Campbell over 237 Marist 24.5 to 24.5
214 Princeton over 225 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
175 Old Dominion over 196 Hampton 24.5 to 24.5
194 Prairie View over 212 Jackson State 24.5 to 21.0
226 Alabama A&M over 227 Alabama State 17.5 to 17.5
28 Oregon State over 21 California 35.0 to 35.0
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