ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
37 Air Force over 178 New Mexico 49.0 to 7.0
156 Bethune - Cookman over 239 Howard 45.5 to 7.0
30 Louisiana State over 134 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 0.0
11 Nebraska over 120 Kansas 45.5 to 7.0
7 Ohio State over 34 Penn State 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
5 Boise State over 91 Idaho 56.0 to 21.0
4 Alabama over 36 Mississippi State 31.5 to 7.0
69 Appalachian State over 118 Wofford 42.0 to 24.5
6 Stanford over 41 Arizona State 38.5 to 21.0
19 Arkansas over 126 Texas - El Paso 49.0 to 14.0
142 Robert Morris over 185 Bryant 24.5 to 17.5
149 Colgate over 214 Bucknell 31.5 to 17.5
151 Columbia over 206 Cornell 31.5 to 14.0
219 San Diego over 238 Davidson 21.0 to 14.0
208 Drake over 235 Butler 24.5 to 10.5
60 Boston College over 102 Duke 31.5 to 17.5
207 Duquesne over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 21.0
8 Florida over 22 South Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
109 Florida Atlantic over 161 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 21.0
122 Lehigh over 215 Georgetown 35.0 to 10.5
129 Sacramento State over 218 Idaho State 38.5 to 17.5
38 Illinois over 105 Minnesota 35.0 to 14.0
144 Jacksonville over 241 Campbell 52.5 to 10.5
108 Jacksonville State over 155 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 21.0
50 Kentucky over 88 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 17.5
154 South Dakota over 240 Lamar 45.5 to 14.0
176 Dayton over 227 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
110 Marshall over 174 Memphis 35.0 to 14.0
114 Middle Tennessee State over 145 North Texas 28.0 to 17.5
225 Alabama A&M over 242 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 10.5
12 Missouri over 57 Kansas State 35.0 to 14.0
113 Montana over 181 North Dakota 35.0 to 14.0
236 Morehead State over 244 Valparaiso 38.5 to 10.5
148 South Carolina State over 222 Morgan State 31.5 to 14.0
82 Louisiana Tech over 173 New Mexico State 31.5 to 10.5
209 Norfolk State over 231 Delaware State 24.5 to 14.0
39 North Carolina State over 98 Wake Forest 45.5 to 24.5
89 Northern Iowa over 163 Missouri State 42.0 to 17.5
14 Iowa over 61 Northwestern 28.0 to 14.0
2 Oklahoma over 46 Texas Tech 49.0 to 17.5
15 Oregon State over 150 Washington State 56.0 to 10.5
81 Pennsylvania over 99 Harvard 24.5 to 14.0
190 Prairie View over 229 Alcorn State 31.5 to 17.5
87 Richmond over 160 Rhode Island 35.0 to 14.0
233 North Carolina Central over 243 Savannah State 31.5 to 17.5
123 Stephen F. Austin over 216 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 14.0
167 Stony Brook over 204 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
3 Texas Christian over 76 San Diego State 49.0 to 10.5
124 Maine over 189 Towson 31.5 to 17.5
33 Villanova over 73 New Hampshire 31.5 to 17.5
96 Western Michigan over 195 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 17.5
25 Wisconsin over 97 Indiana 45.5 to 17.5
159 Yale over 183 Princeton 28.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
68 Northern Illinois over 101 Toledo 35.0 to 21.0
103 Bowling Green over 135 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 21.0
43 East Carolina over 104 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 28.0
28 Pittsburgh over 58 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
192 Albany over 200 Wagner 24.5 to 21.0
17 Arizona over 31 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5
117 Arkansas State over 166 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5
13 Auburn over 20 Georgia 38.5 to 28.0
1 Oregon over 27 California 42.0 to 28.0
165 California Poly over 180 California - Davis 35.0 to 28.0
168 Central Arkansas over 170 Sam Houston State 21.0 to 17.5
48 Central Florida over 74 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
107 Liberty over 182 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
77 Brigham Young over 115 Colorado State 24.5 to 17.5
125 Brown over 162 Dartmouth 24.5 to 17.5
106 Eastern Washington over 152 Southern Utah 35.0 to 24.5
16 Florida State over 29 Clemson 31.5 to 24.5
24 Nevada - Reno over 85 Fresno State 45.5 to 31.5
179 Illinois State over 199 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
64 William & Mary over 86 James Madison 17.5 to 14.0
66 Louisville over 67 South Florida 21.0 to 17.5
172 McNeese State over 184 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 24.5
49 Navy over 84 Central Michigan 31.5 to 17.5
95 Wyoming over 132 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 21.0
10 Virginia Tech over 26 North Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
119 North Dakota State over 128 South Dakota State 21.0 to 14.0
212 Northwestern State over 220 Nicholls State 28.0 to 21.0
9 Utah over 53 Notre Dame 38.5 to 24.5
175 Old Dominion over 193 Virginia Military 28.0 to 21.0
111 Utah State over 157 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0
213 Tennessee State over 224 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 17.5
90 Troy State over 112 Florida International 38.5 to 28.0
141 Georgia Southern over 177 Western Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
40 West Virginia over 54 Cincinnati 28.0 to 17.5
140 Youngstown State over 194 Indiana State 45.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
133 Buffalo over 139 Ball State 24.5 to 21.0
203 Jackson State over 217 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 21.0
202 Murray State over 226 Austin Peay 38.5 to 31.5
210 Charleston Southern over 223 Presbyterian 35.0 to 28.0
201 Florida A&M over 188 Hampton 17.5 to 17.5
56 Houston over 79 Tulsa 45.5 to 35.0
196 Portland State over 205 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
47 Michigan over 92 Purdue 38.5 to 28.0
62 Rutgers over 63 Syracuse 17.5 to 17.5
228 Southern over 230 Alabama State 28.0 to 24.5
130 Southern Illinois over 138 Western Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
131 Samford over 146 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
187 Tennessee Tech over 197 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
21 Texas over 18 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0
171 Grambling over 211 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
45 Texas A&M over 55 Baylor 31.5 to 31.5
72 Colorado over 65 Iowa State 21.0 to 21.0
121 Elon over 116 Furman 31.5 to 28.0
32 Georgia Tech over 23 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 28.0
100 Kent State over 94 Army 21.0 to 21.0
158 Lafayette over 153 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
78 Delaware over 93 Massachusetts 24.5 to 21.0
169 Central Connecticut over 186 Monmouth 28.0 to 24.5
127 Weber State over 147 Northern Arizona 24.5 to 24.5
44 Mississippi over 71 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0
143 Tulane over 137 Rice 28.0 to 28.0
59 Maryland over 70 Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
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