ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
45 Hawaii over 156 San Jose State 42.0 to 7.0
34 Michigan State over 96 Purdue 35.0 to 10.5
70 New Hampshire over 195 Towson 42.0 to 7.0
157 Samford over 204 The Citadel 24.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
111 Miami - Ohio over 193 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
38 Air Force over 126 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
2 Boise State over 79 Fresno State 56.0 to 17.5
4 Alabama over 230 Georgia State 66.5 to 0.0
199 Prairie View over 231 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 14.0
112 Alabama - Birmingham over 180 Memphis 42.0 to 21.0
58 Northern Illinois over 137 Ball State 35.0 to 17.5
7 Oklahoma over 54 Baylor 38.5 to 21.0
59 Boston College over 83 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
47 Brigham Young over 179 New Mexico 45.5 to 7.0
125 Brown over 154 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
175 Bryant over 202 Duquesne 31.5 to 17.5
174 Central Connecticut over 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 49.0 to 21.0
158 Coastal Carolina over 215 Charleston Southern 45.5 to 24.5
75 Pennsylvania over 208 Cornell 38.5 to 3.5
170 Eastern Kentucky over 232 Austin Peay 45.5 to 17.5
109 Eastern Washington over 222 Idaho State 45.5 to 10.5
108 Elon over 197 Western Carolina 38.5 to 14.0
12 Florida over 77 Appalachian State 45.5 to 17.5
210 Georgetown over 228 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
97 Harvard over 149 Yale 28.0 to 14.0
153 Holy Cross over 217 Bucknell 31.5 to 10.5
20 Missouri over 80 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
10 Oklahoma State over 98 Kansas 45.5 to 17.5
11 Louisiana State over 76 Mississippi 42.0 to 14.0
173 Murray State over 226 Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
37 Navy over 106 Arkansas State 42.0 to 21.0
21 Nevada - Reno over 181 New Mexico State 59.5 to 10.5
147 South Carolina State over 239 North Carolina A&T 38.5 to 10.5
177 Old Dominion over 238 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 17.5
135 Northern Arizona over 196 Portland State 38.5 to 21.0
36 Penn State over 110 Indiana 38.5 to 17.5
172 Sam Houston State over 207 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
209 Norfolk State over 242 Savannah State 35.0 to 10.5
15 South Carolina over 93 Troy State 45.5 to 14.0
122 South Dakota State over 187 North Dakota 31.5 to 10.5
101 Stephen F. Austin over 218 Northwestern State 45.5 to 10.5
49 Texas over 116 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 7.0
51 Texas Tech over 141 Weber State 45.5 to 17.5
61 Central Florida over 143 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
60 Tulsa over 123 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
39 Tennessee over 90 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 17.5
29 Clemson over 104 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
66 William & Mary over 92 Richmond 24.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
52 Temple over 81 Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
100 Toledo over 124 Bowling Green 35.0 to 28.0
183 Albany over 191 Monmouth 28.0 to 21.0
146 Buffalo over 188 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
6 Stanford over 25 California 31.5 to 24.5
119 Sacramento State over 176 California - Davis 35.0 to 24.5
62 Cincinnati over 78 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
53 Georgia Tech over 86 Duke 38.5 to 24.5
225 Delaware State over 241 Howard 35.0 to 24.5
5 Ohio State over 23 Iowa 24.5 to 17.5
192 Jackson State over 213 Alcorn State 38.5 to 28.0
117 Lehigh over 169 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
87 Florida International over 161 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 28.0
28 West Virginia over 63 Louisville 21.0 to 17.5
84 James Madison over 131 Maine 21.0 to 14.0
121 Montana over 129 Montana State 35.0 to 24.5
206 Hampton over 223 Morgan State 24.5 to 17.5
35 Notre Dame over 82 Army 31.5 to 17.5
160 Bethune - Cookman over 190 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
227 Presbyterian over 233 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
164 Dartmouth over 198 Princeton 31.5 to 24.5
95 Massachusetts over 139 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
74 East Carolina over 151 Rice 52.5 to 35.0
194 Wagner over 224 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 21.0
26 Utah over 68 San Diego State 38.5 to 28.0
138 Southern Illinois over 171 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
85 Southern Methodist over 102 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
136 Jacksonville State over 201 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
184 Texas Southern over 221 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
103 Western Michigan over 107 Kent State 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
211 Nicholls State over 216 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
57 California - Los Angeles over 72 Washington 24.5 to 24.5
166 Central Arkansas over 159 McNeese State 21.0 to 21.0
43 Kansas State over 73 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
142 Colgate over 163 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
120 Furman over 114 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 24.5
220 Gardner - Webb over 214 Virginia Military 24.5 to 21.0
130 Liberty over 133 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
19 Florida State over 41 Maryland 31.5 to 28.0
17 Miami - Florida over 9 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
13 Wisconsin over 44 Michigan 42.0 to 38.5
18 Arkansas over 33 Mississippi State 28.0 to 24.5
127 North Dakota State over 165 Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
32 North Carolina over 30 North Carolina State 24.5 to 24.5
16 Southern California over 42 Oregon State 31.5 to 28.0
69 Southern Mississippi over 71 Houston 42.0 to 35.0
48 Connecticut over 67 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
99 Northern Iowa over 128 Western Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
118 Wofford over 113 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 28.0
134 Wyoming over 132 Colorado State 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
64 Delaware over 56 Villanova 24.5 to 24.5
240 Morehead State over 237 Campbell 28.0 to 24.5
145 Northeast Louisiana over 140 North Texas 24.5 to 21.0
50 Illinois over 65 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
31 Pittsburgh over 46 South Florida 24.5 to 24.5
22 Texas A&M over 14 Nebraska 28.0 to 28.0
105 Idaho over 115 Utah State 35.0 to 35.0
155 Western Kentucky over 144 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
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