ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 3 Texas Christian over 179 New Mexico 59.5 to 3.5 48 Hawaii over 175 New Mexico State 42.0 to 7.0 80-90% chance of victory: 58 Temple over 117 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 17.5 38 Arizona State over 62 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 14.0 49 Northern Illinois over 182 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 17.5 69 Ohio over 121 Kent State 31.5 to 17.5 14 Nebraska over 68 Colorado 38.5 to 14.0 1 Oregon over 21 Arizona 45.5 to 21.0 32 California over 61 Washington 31.5 to 21.0 35 North Carolina over 83 Duke 35.0 to 21.0 28 Georgia over 59 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 21.0 109 Marshall over 151 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0 43 Central Florida over 178 Memphis 42.0 to 7.0 23 Miami - Florida over 52 South Florida 28.0 to 14.0 22 Iowa over 93 Minnesota 35.0 to 14.0 17 Missouri over 108 Kansas 38.5 to 7.0 46 Kansas State over 142 North Texas 42.0 to 17.5 183 Grambling over 238 Southern 45.5 to 21.0 7 Ohio State over 51 Michigan 49.0 to 21.0 57 San Diego State over 123 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 24.5 85 Louisiana Tech over 152 San Jose State 31.5 to 17.5 26 Southern California over 36 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0 4 Stanford over 25 Oregon State 42.0 to 21.0 24 Utah over 54 Brigham Young 35.0 to 17.5 11 Virginia Tech over 80 Virginia 45.5 to 10.5 15 Wisconsin over 73 Northwestern 42.0 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 155 Buffalo over 189 Akron 28.0 to 21.0 5 Alabama over 8 Auburn 38.5 to 28.0 81 Western Michigan over 131 Bowling Green 31.5 to 24.5 2 Boise State over 20 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 31.5 64 Louisville over 87 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0 33 Mississippi State over 76 Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5 133 Northeast Louisiana over 166 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5 89 Purdue over 112 Indiana 35.0 to 24.5 42 Tennessee over 56 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0 44 Texas Tech over 72 Houston 49.0 to 35.0 101 Troy State over 161 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 31.5 60-70% chance of victory: 18 Texas A&M over 45 Texas 28.0 to 21.0 30 Pittsburgh over 27 West Virginia 21.0 to 17.5 88 Toledo over 97 Central Michigan 31.5 to 24.5 65 Tulsa over 67 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 35.0 13 South Carolina over 31 Clemson 24.5 to 21.0 50 Connecticut over 53 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0 91 Florida International over 102 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0 79 Fresno State over 82 Idaho 35.0 to 28.0 29 North Carolina State over 47 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5 12 Louisiana State over 19 Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0 41 Penn State over 34 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5 94 Vanderbilt over 100 Wake Forest 28.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 86 East Carolina over 78 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5 16 Florida State over 9 Florida 28.0 to 28.0 140 Middle Tennessee State over 125 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 24.5 6 Oklahoma over 10 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0 129 Rice over 114 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 35.0 66 Boston College over 70 Syracuse 17.5 to 17.5
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