ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 3 Boise State over 124 Utah State 59.5 to 3.5 80-90% chance of victory: 37 Northern Illinois over 98 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 14.0 50 Central Florida over 73 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0 69 Delaware over 125 Lehigh 31.5 to 10.5 106 Eastern Washington over 153 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5 48 Hawaii over 131 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5 84 Idaho over 149 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5 1 Oregon over 30 Oregon State 42.0 to 24.5 22 West Virginia over 94 Rutgers 38.5 to 7.0 64 William & Mary over 104 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 21 Arizona over 32 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5 36 Illinois over 81 Fresno State 35.0 to 24.5 78 Appalachian State over 113 Western Illinois 38.5 to 24.5 76 New Hampshire over 164 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 17.5 26 Southern California over 65 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0 92 Florida International over 127 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0 16 Nevada - Reno over 87 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 28.0 46 South Florida over 49 Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0 53 Washington over 96 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 39 Pittsburgh over 62 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0 99 Troy State over 133 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 28.0 102 Wofford over 136 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 24.5 117 Montana State over 120 North Dakota State 24.5 to 21.0 8 Auburn over 12 South Carolina 35.0 to 31.5 5 Oklahoma over 11 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0 61 Villanova over 89 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 10 Florida State over 13 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 28.0
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