ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 54 Brigham Young over 119 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 14.0 12 Nebraska over 58 Washington 35.0 to 17.5 8 Alabama over 28 Michigan State 31.5 to 17.5 15 Florida over 45 Penn State 28.0 to 17.5 6 Oklahoma over 50 Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5 16 Nevada - Reno over 60 Boston College 38.5 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 48 Northern Illinois over 73 Fresno State 35.0 to 28.0 4 Boise State over 22 Utah 38.5 to 24.5 41 Hawaii over 62 Tulsa 42.0 to 31.5 17 Missouri over 25 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5 40 Maryland over 86 East Carolina 45.5 to 31.5 47 Kansas State over 69 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0 36 Clemson over 52 South Florida 21.0 to 17.5 27 Georgia over 49 Central Florida 31.5 to 21.0 44 Texas Tech over 77 Northwestern 35.0 to 24.5 2 Stanford over 10 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 28.0 7 Ohio State over 18 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5 96 Miami - Ohio over 124 Middle Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0 32 Pittsburgh over 61 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 78 Ohio over 89 Troy State 35.0 to 31.5 55 Louisville over 67 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0 87 Toledo over 97 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0 39 Air Force over 59 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0 21 West Virginia over 31 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0 42 Illinois over 56 Baylor 31.5 to 28.0 11 Oklahoma State over 23 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5 75 Southern Methodist over 84 Army 24.5 to 21.0 37 North Carolina over 43 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0 26 Miami - Florida over 33 Notre Dame 21.0 to 21.0 35 Mississippi State over 53 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 3 Texas Christian over 9 Wisconsin 38.5 to 31.5 13 Louisiana State over 19 Texas A&M 24.5 to 24.5 1 Oregon over 5 Auburn 45.5 to 38.5 50-60% chance of victory: 38 Navy over 57 San Diego State 35.0 to 31.5 14 Florida State over 20 South Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
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