Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 6.96 13.0-1.0 6.0-8.0 IA SEC Louisiana State 2 2 6.66 12.0-1.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 3 2 6.31 12.0-1.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Alabama 4 2 5.73 12.0-2.0 6.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Oregon 5 3 5.13 11.0-2.0 5.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 Stanford 6 3 5.09 12.0-1.0 6.9-6.1 IA MWC Boise State 7 5 4.84 11.0-2.0 6.2-6.8 IA SEC Arkansas 8 5 4.83 13.0-1.0 8.2-5.8 IA CUSA Houston 9 5 4.82 11.0-2.0 6.2-6.8 IA SEC South Carolina 10 5 4.77 10.0-2.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Southern California 11 4 4.65 11.0-2.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Michigan 12 5 4.46 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 13 6 4.44 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Kansas State 14 5 4.37 11.0-3.0 6.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 15 4 4.26 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Baylor 16 7 4.10 11.0-3.0 6.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 17 4 3.95 12.0-2.0 8.1-5.9 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 18 4 3.84 11.0-2.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Texas Christian 19 8 3.81 11.0-3.0 7.2-6.8 IA ACC Virginia Tech 20 5 3.46 10.0-4.0 6.5-7.5 IA SEC Georgia 21 4 3.29 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_East West Virginia 22 4 3.20 10.0-4.0 6.8-7.2 IA ACC Clemson 23 4 3.11 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 24 5 2.97 10.0-3.0 7.0-6.0 IA Big_East Cincinnati 25 4 2.94 11.0-3.0 8.1-5.9 IA MAC Northern Illinois 26 4 2.92 9.0-4.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Penn State 27 4 2.84 10.0-3.0 7.2-5.8 IA Indep Brigham Young 28 5 2.36 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas 29 5 2.21 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Auburn 30 8 2.20 9.0-4.0 6.8-6.2 IA ACC Florida State 31 6 2.18 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Missouri 32 7 2.17 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA Indep Notre Dame 33 8 2.05 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IA Big_East Rutgers 34 8 2.02 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IA MAC Toledo 35 9 1.96 10.0-3.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 36 8 1.85 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Utah 37 7 1.60 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA CUSA Tulsa 38 14 1.39 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 39 9 1.36 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_10 Washington 40 15 1.21 10.0-4.0 8.8-5.2 IA MAC Ohio 41 9 1.15 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 42 11 1.13 9.0-4.0 7.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 43 9 1.11 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA ACC Virginia 44 11 1.10 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 45 11 1.03 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA PAC_10 California 46 11 1.00 9.0-4.0 8.0-5.0 IA MAC Temple 47 12 0.94 8.0-5.0 7.1-5.9 IA ACC North Carolina State 48 15 0.93 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA SEC Florida 49 11 0.89 8.0-5.0 7.1-5.9 IA ACC Georgia Tech 50 12 0.79 8.0-5.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Wyoming 51 12 0.73 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC San Diego State 52 10 0.68 7.0-6.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Iowa 53 13 0.66 7.0-6.0 6.3-6.7 IA SEC Mississippi State 54 11 0.64 6.0-7.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Iowa State 55 11 0.56 7.0-6.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Illinois 56 9 0.49 7.0-6.0 6.5-6.5 IA ACC North Carolina 57 10 0.32 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_East Louisville 58 13 0.32 7.0-6.0 6.7-6.3 IA CUSA Marshall 59 13 0.27 6.0-8.0 5.7-8.3 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 60 18 0.18 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 61 9 0.16 6.0-7.0 5.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 62 12 -0.02 7.0-6.0 7.0-6.0 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 63 12 -0.04 6.0-6.0 6.0-6.0 IA ACC Miami - Florida 64 12 -0.06 6.0-7.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 65 11 -0.16 6.0-7.0 6.2-6.8 IA SEC Vanderbilt 66 11 -0.17 7.0-5.0 7.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky 67 12 -0.22 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 68 12 -0.26 5.0-7.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Tennessee 69 10 -0.31 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IA MAC Ball State 70 14 -0.37 7.0-6.0 7.4-5.6 IA MWC Air Force 71 14 -0.39 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 72 12 -0.43 6.0-7.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 73 13 -0.46 7.0-6.0 7.5-5.5 IA WAC Utah State 74 14 -0.53 7.0-6.0 7.5-5.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 75 14 -0.59 6.0-7.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 76 14 -0.74 6.0-7.0 6.7-6.3 IA ACC Wake Forest 77 12 -0.88 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA SEC Kentucky 78 13 -1.11 5.0-7.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_East Syracuse 79 15 -1.12 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA PAC_10 Arizona 80 17 -1.22 6.0-6.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 81 14 -1.28 5.0-7.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_East South Florida 82 12 -1.33 5.0-7.0 6.3-5.7 IA WAC San Jose State 83 15 -1.38 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA Big_East Connecticut 84 16 -1.41 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA Indep Navy 85 17 -1.52 5.0-7.0 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA East Carolina 86 16 -1.73 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 87 16 -1.75 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 88 18 -1.76 5.0-7.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Kent State 89 16 -1.81 4.0-8.0 5.8-6.2 IA PAC_10 Washington State 90 15 -1.87 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Boston College 91 15 -1.88 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Bowling Green 92 16 -1.91 6.0-7.0 7.9-5.1 IA WAC Hawaii 93 15 -2.00 3.0-9.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 94 15 -2.06 4.0-8.0 6.1-5.9 IA CUSA Rice 95 15 -2.18 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Central Florida 96 12 -2.37 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 97 13 -2.52 3.0-*** 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Colorado 98 12 -2.66 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 99 12 -2.85 4.0-9.0 6.8-6.2 IA WAC Fresno State 100 13 -2.96 2.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Kansas 101 13 -3.03 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 102 11 -3.14 4.0-9.0 7.1-5.9 IA WAC New Mexico State 103 11 -3.15 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IA ACC Duke 104 13 -3.24 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA SEC Mississippi 105 12 -3.62 3.0-9.0 6.6-5.4 IA Indep Army 106 12 -3.64 3.0-9.0 6.6-5.4 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 107 11 -3.73 2.0-*** 5.7-6.3 IA ACC Maryland 108 11 -3.85 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Central Michigan 109 10 -3.91 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Buffalo 110 11 -3.96 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 111 11 -3.98 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA MWC Colorado State 112 11 -4.05 2.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 113 8 -4.60 2.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA WAC Idaho 114 8 -4.89 1.0-*** 5.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Indiana 115 8 -5.14 1.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA MWC New Mexico 116 8 -5.27 2.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 117 8 -5.32 2.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Memphis 118 7 -5.76 1.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 119 7 -5.90 2.0-*** 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Tulane 120 6 -6.08 1.0-*** 7.1-4.9 IA MAC Akron
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 7 3.63 14.0-1.0 10.4-4.6 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 9 2.69 14.0-1.0 11.3-3.7 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 3 9 1.72 10.0-3.0 8.3-4.7 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 4 11 1.59 10.0-3.0 8.4-4.6 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 5 11 1.25 10.0-3.0 8.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Montana 6 18 1.17 11.0-2.0 9.8-3.2 IAA Patriot Lehigh 7 12 0.96 9.0-3.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 8 17 0.89 9.0-1.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Ivy Harvard 9 21 0.37 10.0-3.0 9.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Old Dominion 10 18 0.33 9.0-3.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Towson 11 19 0.33 9.0-4.0 8.7-4.3 IAA Colonial Maine 12 17 -0.08 8.0-4.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 13 20 -0.30 8.0-4.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 14 26 -0.31 9.0-2.0 9.3-1.7 IAA NE Duquesne 15 17 -0.33 8.0-4.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Southern Appalachian State 16 16 -0.33 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Southern Wofford 17 15 -0.61 5.0-3.0 5.6-2.4 IAA Great_West North Dakota 18 26 -0.71 7.0-2.0 7.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Drake 19 26 -0.74 7.0-2.0 7.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer San Diego 20 24 -0.75 7.0-3.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Ivy Brown 21 23 -0.77 8.0-5.0 8.8-4.2 IAA Colonial James Madison 22 26 -0.82 8.0-2.0 8.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Jackson State 23 26 -0.84 8.0-3.0 8.8-2.2 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 24 20 -0.86 7.0-4.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 25 15 -0.93 5.0-4.0 5.9-3.1 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 26 31 -0.93 8.0-3.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Patriot Georgetown 27 28 -1.13 7.0-3.0 8.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 28 21 -1.14 6.0-4.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Colonial Delaware 29 20 -1.20 6.0-5.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 30 25 -1.22 8.0-4.0 9.2-2.8 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 31 22 -1.34 6.0-4.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 32 23 -1.35 7.0-4.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 33 19 -1.37 6.0-5.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 34 19 -1.40 5.0-5.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Great_West California Poly 35 21 -1.50 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Southern Furman 36 24 -1.55 7.0-4.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 37 20 -1.57 6.0-5.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 38 24 -1.60 6.0-4.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 39 28 -1.63 7.0-3.0 8.6-1.4 IAA SWAC Alabama State 40 16 -1.67 3.0-5.0 4.7-3.3 IAA Great_West South Dakota 41 24 -1.68 6.0-4.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Big_South Liberty 42 22 -1.71 6.0-5.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 43 21 -1.76 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Southern Samford 44 24 -1.79 7.0-5.0 8.8-3.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 45 32 -1.79 8.0-4.0 9.8-2.2 IAA NE Albany 46 18 -2.01 5.0-6.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 47 20 -2.04 4.0-4.0 6.0-2.0 IAA Indep South Alabama 48 28 -2.10 7.0-4.0 9.1-1.9 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 49 27 -2.16 6.0-4.0 8.2-1.8 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 50 26 -2.18 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 51 22 -2.19 5.0-5.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 52 20 -2.24 5.0-6.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 53 28 -2.25 5.0-4.0 7.3-1.7 IAA NE Bryant 54 28 -2.33 7.0-4.0 9.3-1.7 IAA SWAC Grambling 55 15 -2.35 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 56 30 -2.41 7.0-4.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 57 28 -2.43 7.0-4.0 9.4-1.6 IAA MEAC Hampton 58 19 -2.55 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Southland McNeese State 59 28 -2.57 7.0-4.0 9.6-1.4 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 60 18 -2.60 4.0-6.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Great_West California - Davis 61 25 -2.60 6.0-5.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Patriot Bucknell 62 20 -2.63 5.0-6.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Colonial Massachusetts 63 23 -2.72 5.0-5.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Ivy Yale 64 18 -2.78 4.0-6.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Southland Northwestern State 65 16 -2.82 4.0-6.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Southern Elon 66 23 -2.88 5.0-4.0 7.9-1.1 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 67 25 -2.90 5.0-5.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 68 19 -2.99 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Indep Texas State - San Marcos 69 24 -3.00 5.0-5.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ivy Cornell 70 17 -3.02 4.0-6.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Colonial William & Mary 71 22 -3.05 5.0-5.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 72 14 -3.26 1.0-5.0 4.3-1.7 IAA Indep Texas - San Antonio 73 18 -3.27 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 74 18 -3.37 4.0-6.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 75 21 -3.47 5.0-6.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Patriot Colgate 76 24 -3.48 5.0-5.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Pioneer Campbell 77 15 -3.54 4.0-7.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 78 17 -3.56 4.0-7.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Southern The Citadel 79 16 -3.63 2.0-6.0 5.6-2.4 IAA Indep Georgia State 80 14 -3.66 4.0-7.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 81 23 -3.69 5.0-5.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 82 12 -3.74 3.0-7.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 83 18 -3.90 4.0-7.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Patriot Lafayette 84 19 -3.96 5.0-6.0 9.0-2.0 IAA MEAC Morgan State 85 15 -3.97 3.0-7.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 86 20 -3.98 5.0-6.0 9.0-2.0 IAA NE Monmouth 87 18 -4.15 4.0-6.0 8.2-1.8 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 88 19 -4.27 5.0-6.0 9.3-1.7 IAA NE Sacred Heart 89 18 -4.33 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA MEAC Howard 90 11 -4.35 2.0-9.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 91 18 -4.37 5.0-6.0 9.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Prairie View 92 13 -4.47 3.0-8.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 93 12 -4.51 2.0-7.0 6.5-2.5 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 94 17 -4.65 3.0-6.0 7.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Butler 95 12 -4.79 2.0-7.0 6.8-2.2 IAA Southland Lamar 96 12 -4.80 3.0-8.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Colonial Richmond 97 12 -4.85 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 98 15 -4.97 4.0-7.0 9.0-2.0 IAA NE Wagner 99 14 -4.98 3.0-7.0 8.0-2.0 IAA NE Central Connecticut 100 11 -5.06 3.0-8.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 101 10 -5.31 2.0-8.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 102 10 -5.31 2.0-8.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 103 14 -5.37 4.0-7.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Marist 104 11 -5.41 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Colonial Villanova 105 8 -5.41 1.0-9.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 106 13 -5.47 4.0-7.0 9.5-1.5 IAA SWAC Southern 107 12 -5.71 2.0-7.0 7.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Davidson 108 11 -5.77 2.0-7.0 7.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 109 7 -6.06 2.0-9.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 110 10 -6.25 2.0-8.0 8.2-1.8 IAA MEAC Delaware State 111 11 -6.54 2.0-8.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 112 8 -6.55 0.0-*** 6.5-3.5 IAA Southern Western Carolina 113 11 -6.60 2.0-9.0 8.6-2.4 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 114 10 -6.65 1.0-9.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Ivy Princeton 115 9 -6.74 1.0-8.0 7.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 116 9 -6.78 2.0-9.0 8.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 117 8 -6.89 0.0-*** 6.9-3.1 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 118 9 -6.98 2.0-9.0 9.0-2.0 IAA NE Robert Morris 119 8 -7.00 0.0-*** 7.0-3.0 IAA Southland Nicholls State 120 8 -7.06 1.0-*** 8.1-2.9 IAA Patriot Fordham 121 8 -7.06 1.0-9.0 8.1-1.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 122 8 -7.07 1.0-9.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Ivy Columbia 123 8 -7.12 1.0-9.0 8.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Savannah State 124 8 -7.17 0.0-*** 7.2-2.8 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 125 8 -7.35 1.0-9.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 126 3 -8.34 1.0-*** 9.3-1.7 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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