ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
27 Arizona State over 162 California - Davis 49.0 to 7.0
55 Connecticut over 203 Fordham 45.5 to 3.5
91 Florida International over 134 North Texas 35.0 to 21.0
65 Georgia Tech over 192 Western Carolina 45.5 to 7.0
83 Idaho over 153 Bowling Green 38.5 to 21.0
128 Jacksonville State over 183 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 14.0
53 Louisville over 148 Murray State 49.0 to 17.5
25 Mississippi State over 184 Memphis 45.5 to 3.5
104 Rutgers over 234 North Carolina Central 45.5 to 0.0
63 Syracuse over 101 Wake Forest 35.0 to 17.5
22 Utah over 119 Montana State 49.0 to 14.0
10 Wisconsin over 132 Nevada - Las Vegas 56.0 to 10.5
37 Michigan State over 140 Youngstown State 49.0 to 17.5
39 Air Force over 168 South Dakota 45.5 to 7.0
6 Alabama over 103 Kent State 42.0 to 0.0
23 Arizona over 98 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 10.5
14 Arkansas over 142 Missouri State 56.0 to 14.0
4 Auburn over 120 Utah State 63.0 to 10.5
59 Boston College over 75 Northwestern 24.5 to 14.0
31 California over 78 Fresno State 35.0 to 14.0
43 Central Florida over 226 Charleston Southern 59.5 to 0.0
64 Cincinnati over 225 Austin Peay 59.5 to 7.0
42 Clemson over 84 Troy State 38.5 to 21.0
165 Colgate over 201 Albany 31.5 to 17.5
18 Florida over 150 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 3.5
12 Florida State over 138 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 3.5
222 Georgetown over 239 Davidson 28.0 to 10.5
35 Illinois over 102 Arkansas State 42.0 to 17.5
28 Iowa over 174 Tennessee Tech 49.0 to 0.0
71 Iowa State over 116 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 14.0
51 Kansas State over 159 Eastern Kentucky 45.5 to 14.0
152 Maine over 188 Bryant 31.5 to 17.5
211 Alabama State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 7.0
16 Missouri over 99 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 3.5
15 Nebraska over 111 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 14.0
38 North Carolina over 86 James Madison 28.0 to 7.0
29 North Carolina State over 127 Liberty 49.0 to 14.0
46 Northern Illinois over 80 Army 35.0 to 21.0
30 Notre Dame over 50 South Florida 24.5 to 17.5
8 Ohio State over 198 Akron 63.0 to 0.0
9 Oklahoma State over 170 Louisiana - Lafayette 63.0 to 10.5
169 Old Dominion over 236 Campbell 45.5 to 14.0
26 Oregon State over 95 Sacramento State 42.0 to 14.0
54 Penn State over 156 Indiana State 42.0 to 10.5
34 Pittsburgh over 167 Buffalo 38.5 to 0.0
97 Wofford over 220 Presbyterian 42.0 to 10.5
100 Purdue over 136 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
41 San Diego State over 151 California Poly 49.0 to 17.5
113 South Dakota State over 129 Southern Utah 24.5 to 17.5
21 Southern California over 94 Minnesota 45.5 to 17.5
2 Stanford over 143 San Jose State 59.5 to 0.0
47 Tennessee over 122 Montana 38.5 to 14.0
218 Tennessee State over 235 Southern 35.0 to 21.0
58 Texas over 126 Rice 42.0 to 17.5
48 Texas Tech over 196 Texas State - San Marcos 56.0 to 14.0
147 Tulane over 210 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 21.0
17 Virginia Tech over 74 Appalachian State 45.5 to 17.5
208 Wagner over 237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 14.0
45 Washington over 89 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 17.5
88 Washington State over 215 Idaho State 45.5 to 10.5
20 Texas A&M over 76 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 10.5
24 West Virginia over 121 Marshall 35.0 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
114 Central Michigan over 166 South Carolina State 31.5 to 17.5
110 Massachusetts over 187 Holy Cross 35.0 to 17.5
66 Kentucky over 157 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 21.0
5 Texas Christian over 56 Baylor 42.0 to 17.5
204 Duquesne over 233 Bucknell 31.5 to 17.5
90 Duke over 117 Richmond 28.0 to 17.5
202 Eastern Michigan over 241 Howard 52.5 to 24.5
44 Hawaii over 68 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
123 Kansas over 141 McNeese State 28.0 to 21.0
131 Lehigh over 197 Monmouth 31.5 to 17.5
213 Hampton over 229 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 10.5
201 Albany over 243 Savannah State 38.5 to 10.5
40 Navy over 61 Delaware 28.0 to 17.5
81 Ohio over 176 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
3 Boise State over 32 Georgia 38.5 to 17.5
1 Oregon over 11 Louisiana State 42.0 to 24.5
108 North Dakota State over 209 Lafayette 35.0 to 7.0
19 South Carolina over 96 East Carolina 52.5 to 24.5
7 Oklahoma over 49 Tulsa 52.5 to 24.5
160 Robert Morris over 185 Dayton 38.5 to 24.5
223 Sacred Heart over 232 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
82 Georgia Southern over 155 Samford 24.5 to 10.5
124 Texas - El Paso over 161 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
199 Towson over 224 Morgan State 38.5 to 21.0
214 Virginia Military over 227 Delaware State 28.0 to 17.5
109 Wyoming over 133 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
164 Bethune - Cookman over 193 Prairie View 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
171 North Dakota over 207 Drake 28.0 to 17.5
105 Western Illinois over 149 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 24.5
62 Michigan over 77 Western Michigan 42.0 to 31.5
52 Brigham Young over 79 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
137 Colorado State over 178 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
173 Grambling over 206 Alcorn State 35.0 to 28.0
106 Indiana over 154 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
69 Southern Mississippi over 85 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
172 Illinois State over 200 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
57 Villanova over 67 Temple 24.5 to 24.5
73 New Hampshire over 92 Toledo 24.5 to 24.5
115 Furman over 144 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
60 California - Los Angeles over 72 Houston 31.5 to 31.5
139 Southeast Missouri State over 130 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
158 Jacksonville over 191 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
112 Vanderbilt over 107 Elon 28.0 to 28.0
70 William & Mary over 87 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
36 Maryland over 33 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 24.5
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