ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
45 Temple over 184 Akron 45.5 to 10.5
95 Appalachian State over 239 North Carolina A&T 63.0 to 7.0
97 Arkansas State over 189 Memphis 45.5 to 17.5
121 Bowling Green over 232 Morgan State 49.0 to 7.0
61 California - Los Angeles over 145 San Jose State 35.0 to 14.0
39 Clemson over 117 Wofford 35.0 to 7.0
143 Colorado State over 193 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
1 Stanford over 105 Duke 56.0 to 14.0
18 Florida over 124 Alabama - Birmingham 49.0 to 10.5
14 Florida State over 225 Charleston Southern 70.0 to 0.0
38 Illinois over 115 South Dakota State 35.0 to 10.5
6 Louisiana State over 199 Northwestern State 59.5 to 0.0
88 Louisiana Tech over 139 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 14.0
44 Michigan State over 152 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 3.5
77 Minnesota over 174 New Mexico State 42.0 to 14.0
146 Murray State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 10.5
13 Arkansas over 182 New Mexico 56.0 to 7.0
17 Nebraska over 75 Fresno State 38.5 to 14.0
107 North Dakota State over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 45.5 to 0.0
65 Northwestern over 192 Eastern Illinois 45.5 to 7.0
85 Ohio over 219 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 7.0
43 Pittsburgh over 155 Maine 38.5 to 7.0
102 Richmond over 211 Wagner 35.0 to 3.5
36 South Florida over 140 Ball State 42.0 to 10.5
62 Syracuse over 149 Rhode Island 35.0 to 10.5
33 Navy over 158 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 10.5
87 Western Michigan over 194 Nicholls State 38.5 to 10.5
26 West Virginia over 216 Norfolk State 45.5 to 0.0
112 Wyoming over 196 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 17.5
134 Youngstown State over 245 Valparaiso 70.0 to 0.0
70-80% chance of victory:
28 California over 71 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
176 Dayton over 214 Duquesne 38.5 to 24.5
9 Virginia Tech over 90 East Carolina 59.5 to 31.5
114 Idaho over 170 North Dakota 28.0 to 10.5
180 Illinois State over 238 Morehead State 49.0 to 21.0
162 Indiana State over 230 Butler 35.0 to 3.5
35 Iowa over 73 Iowa State 28.0 to 17.5
99 James Madison over 183 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 14.0
41 Northern Illinois over 113 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
120 Liberty over 171 Robert Morris 35.0 to 17.5
59 Georgia Tech over 136 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
122 Montana over 153 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5
106 Montana State over 161 California - Davis 35.0 to 21.0
30 North Carolina over 101 Rutgers 38.5 to 14.0
68 Houston over 151 North Texas 42.0 to 28.0
10 Ohio State over 60 Toledo 42.0 to 17.5
5 Alabama over 49 Penn State 31.5 to 14.0
83 Eastern Washington over 156 South Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
205 Southeast Louisiana over 241 Savannah State 49.0 to 21.0
80 Southern Methodist over 126 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5
92 Stephen F. Austin over 111 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
175 Texas Southern over 217 Prairie View 28.0 to 14.0
55 Tulsa over 159 Tulane 49.0 to 24.5
100 William & Mary over 222 Virginia Military 31.5 to 0.0
31 North Carolina State over 96 Wake Forest 42.0 to 24.5
12 Wisconsin over 46 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
63 Louisville over 81 Florida International 28.0 to 17.5
7 Texas Christian over 54 Air Force 38.5 to 21.0
47 San Diego State over 89 Army 38.5 to 28.0
8 Auburn over 22 Mississippi State 42.0 to 24.5
129 Bethune - Cookman over 166 South Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
224 Bucknell over 229 Marist 24.5 to 21.0
154 Buffalo over 163 Stony Brook 28.0 to 24.5
42 Central Florida over 64 Boston College 24.5 to 10.5
69 Virginia over 123 Indiana 38.5 to 24.5
103 Kent State over 144 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5
76 Kentucky over 116 Central Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
70 Southern Mississippi over 109 Marshall 31.5 to 24.5
79 Mississippi over 108 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
132 Northeast Louisiana over 172 Grambling 28.0 to 14.0
186 Jackson State over 212 Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 11 Nevada - Reno 49.0 to 35.0
72 Sacramento State over 133 Southern Utah 38.5 to 24.5
110 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 142 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 28.0
128 Furman over 173 The Citadel 28.0 to 17.5
74 Villanova over 181 Towson 38.5 to 14.0
78 Utah State over 138 Weber State 45.5 to 28.0
58 Connecticut over 91 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 17.5
86 Washington State over 127 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 28.0
131 Western Illinois over 178 Jacksonville 35.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
15 Oklahoma State over 20 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
27 Arizona State over 21 Missouri 24.5 to 24.5
204 Alcorn State over 215 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 31.5
147 Eastern Kentucky over 148 Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
201 Eastern Michigan over 206 Alabama State 28.0 to 24.5
213 Lafayette over 220 Georgetown 24.5 to 24.5
23 Georgia over 19 South Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
169 Old Dominion over 202 Georgia State 35.0 to 28.0
190 Florida A&M over 210 Hampton 17.5 to 17.5
165 Colgate over 187 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
94 New Hampshire over 125 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0
37 Notre Dame over 52 Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
104 Purdue over 130 Rice 31.5 to 28.0
228 Alabama A&M over 237 Southern 28.0 to 24.5
24 Southern California over 25 Utah 28.0 to 24.5
48 Tennessee over 57 Cincinnati 35.0 to 28.0
56 Texas over 51 Brigham Young 17.5 to 14.0
40 Hawaii over 50 Washington 28.0 to 28.0
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