ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
5 Alabama over 154 North Texas 52.5 to 0.0
14 Arkansas over 90 Troy State 49.0 to 21.0
64 Cincinnati over 189 Akron 49.0 to 14.0
111 Purdue over 173 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
210 Alcorn State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 10.5
100 Appalachian State over 243 Savannah State 66.5 to 3.5
2 Stanford over 22 Arizona 38.5 to 17.5
23 Baylor over 116 Stephen F. Austin 59.5 to 28.0
70 Boston College over 95 Duke 28.0 to 17.5
26 California over 214 Presbyterian 59.5 to 3.5
194 Dayton over 229 Marist 35.0 to 14.0
68 Delaware over 221 Delaware State 49.0 to 3.5
200 Duquesne over 245 Valparaiso 59.5 to 7.0
15 Florida over 37 Tennessee 35.0 to 21.0
32 Central Florida over 77 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
25 Georgia over 139 Coastal Carolina 49.0 to 14.0
51 Georgia Tech over 91 Kansas 42.0 to 28.0
152 Jacksonville State over 219 Georgia State 42.0 to 17.5
67 Kansas State over 123 Kent State 28.0 to 10.5
197 Memphis over 228 Austin Peay 45.5 to 24.5
46 Michigan over 203 Eastern Michigan 59.5 to 14.0
21 Missouri over 125 Western Illinois 38.5 to 3.5
16 Nebraska over 45 Washington 35.0 to 21.0
44 Hawaii over 161 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 17.5
50 Texas Tech over 179 New Mexico 49.0 to 14.0
8 Wisconsin over 48 Northern Illinois 45.5 to 28.0
144 Elon over 236 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 10.5
163 Old Dominion over 207 Hampton 35.0 to 17.5
1 Oregon over 150 Missouri State 70.0 to 7.0
121 Pennsylvania over 218 Lafayette 38.5 to 7.0
124 Lehigh over 227 Princeton 49.0 to 17.5
112 Richmond over 220 Virginia Military 31.5 to 0.0
34 Nevada - Reno over 136 San Jose State 45.5 to 21.0
30 Southern California over 66 Syracuse 31.5 to 14.0
80 Southern Methodist over 180 Northwestern State 38.5 to 10.5
84 Southern Mississippi over 187 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 17.5
42 South Florida over 201 Florida A&M 45.5 to 0.0
13 Texas A&M over 98 Idaho 45.5 to 10.5
9 Texas Christian over 128 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 7.0
11 Virginia Tech over 86 Arkansas State 42.0 to 10.5
82 Wake Forest over 213 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
3 Boise State over 57 Toledo 45.5 to 21.0
134 Maine over 204 Albany 38.5 to 21.0
72 Fresno State over 176 North Dakota 42.0 to 10.5
205 Norfolk State over 242 Howard 38.5 to 17.5
141 Louisiana - Lafayette over 196 Nicholls State 38.5 to 21.0
114 Massachusetts over 132 Rhode Island 28.0 to 21.0
183 Robert Morris over 231 Morgan State 31.5 to 14.0
145 Murray State over 211 Tennessee State 38.5 to 14.0
69 Colorado over 143 Colorado State 31.5 to 14.0
127 Texas - El Paso over 164 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5
36 North Carolina over 60 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
85 Ohio over 106 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
105 Northern Arizona over 181 Portland State 38.5 to 21.0
190 Bryant over 235 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 14.0
19 South Carolina over 28 Navy 38.5 to 28.0
188 Jackson State over 232 Southern 42.0 to 24.5
10 Oklahoma State over 54 Tulsa 45.5 to 31.5
113 Villanova over 198 Monmouth 35.0 to 10.5
94 Sacramento State over 158 Weber State 38.5 to 28.0
184 Yale over 222 Georgetown 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
133 Alabama - Birmingham over 157 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0
29 Utah over 56 Brigham Young 21.0 to 17.5
166 California - Davis over 209 San Diego 31.5 to 14.0
6 Auburn over 41 Clemson 42.0 to 28.0
4 Oklahoma over 17 Florida State 35.0 to 28.0
130 Indiana over 156 South Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
40 Iowa over 47 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
174 Jacksonville over 225 Charleston Southern 49.0 to 28.0
12 Ohio State over 35 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 17.5
43 San Diego State over 59 Washington State 42.0 to 31.5
110 Southern Utah over 241 Texas - San Antonio 52.5 to 0.0
170 Central Connecticut over 206 Wagner 31.5 to 24.5
153 Western Kentucky over 169 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
87 Western Michigan over 120 Central Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
138 Youngstown State over 177 Illinois State 45.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
7 Louisiana State over 18 Mississippi State 31.5 to 24.5
63 Connecticut over 61 Iowa State 28.0 to 28.0
185 Grambling over 212 Alabama State 21.0 to 14.0
74 Northwestern over 88 Army 28.0 to 28.0
149 Ball State over 137 Buffalo 21.0 to 21.0
115 Bowling Green over 107 Wyoming 31.5 to 31.5
53 Texas over 65 California - Los Angeles 21.0 to 21.0
140 South Dakota State over 155 California Poly 28.0 to 24.5
226 Bucknell over 230 Cornell 21.0 to 21.0
178 Dartmouth over 182 Colgate 28.0 to 24.5
167 Tennessee Tech over 186 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
104 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 135 Eastern Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
193 Fordham over 195 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
151 Harvard over 168 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
192 Northern Colorado over 215 Idaho State 35.0 to 31.5
20 Illinois over 24 Arizona State 35.0 to 31.5
76 Kentucky over 71 Louisville 17.5 to 17.5
117 Liberty over 109 James Madison 24.5 to 21.0
62 Houston over 92 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 35.0
27 Maryland over 31 West Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
78 Miami - Ohio over 108 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0
119 Montana over 103 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 28.0
38 Notre Dame over 33 Michigan State 21.0 to 21.0
217 Prairie View over 216 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 24.5
237 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 238 Morehead State 35.0 to 31.5
126 Sam Houston State over 122 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
171 Stony Brook over 165 Brown 28.0 to 28.0
49 Temple over 55 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
81 Vanderbilt over 75 Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
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