ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
79 Ohio over 146 Kent State 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
54 Houston over 122 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 28.0
9 Texas Christian over 65 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 14.0
18 Arizona State over 73 Oregon State 35.0 to 14.0
3 Boise State over 47 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 17.5
179 Central Connecticut over 231 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 10.5
204 Drake over 241 Campbell 31.5 to 10.5
17 Georgia over 35 Mississippi State 35.0 to 24.5
26 Illinois over 87 Northwestern 35.0 to 14.0
38 Texas Tech over 105 Kansas 45.5 to 28.0
113 Lehigh over 177 Yale 42.0 to 21.0
4 Louisiana State over 95 Kentucky 45.5 to 3.5
77 Louisville over 117 Marshall 24.5 to 10.5
43 Miami - Florida over 141 Bethune - Cookman 45.5 to 14.0
48 Cincinnati over 100 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
32 Michigan over 108 Minnesota 45.5 to 17.5
131 Middle Tennessee State over 198 Memphis 38.5 to 17.5
81 Northern Iowa over 152 Missouri State 35.0 to 21.0
169 Monmouth over 203 Robert Morris 24.5 to 10.5
110 Montana over 219 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 14.0
85 Montana State over 111 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
228 Morgan State over 238 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 21.0
86 North Dakota State over 172 Illinois State 38.5 to 14.0
5 Oklahoma over 106 Ball State 52.5 to 7.0
195 Albany over 239 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 45.5 to 24.5
155 Samford over 216 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 7.0
218 San Diego over 242 Davidson 31.5 to 14.0
190 Southeast Louisiana over 232 Lamar 35.0 to 17.5
60 Southern Mississippi over 104 Rice 38.5 to 21.0
1 Stanford over 78 California - Los Angeles 52.5 to 7.0
64 Syracuse over 89 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
41 Temple over 57 Toledo 31.5 to 21.0
28 Tennessee over 137 Buffalo 42.0 to 7.0
82 Troy State over 174 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 21.0
50 Tulsa over 145 North Texas 45.5 to 17.5
14 Utah over 44 Washington 38.5 to 24.5
10 Virginia Tech over 21 Clemson 31.5 to 21.0
67 Arkansas State over 178 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
36 West Virginia over 97 Bowling Green 45.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
192 Alabama State over 214 Alcorn State 21.0 to 10.5
72 Boston College over 90 Wake Forest 28.0 to 21.0
61 Northern Illinois over 132 Central Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
63 Connecticut over 75 Western Michigan 24.5 to 21.0
200 Dayton over 226 Butler 31.5 to 17.5
84 Georgia Southern over 156 Elon 38.5 to 24.5
202 Florida A&M over 234 Delaware State 42.0 to 21.0
46 Penn State over 114 Indiana 31.5 to 14.0
34 Texas over 53 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
151 Harvard over 189 Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
175 Jacksonville over 233 Marist 42.0 to 21.0
58 Maryland over 142 Towson 42.0 to 17.5
230 Southern over 245 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 21.0
33 Navy over 52 Air Force 38.5 to 28.0
94 New Hampshire over 163 Holy Cross 42.0 to 21.0
31 Georgia Tech over 66 North Carolina State 38.5 to 24.5
24 Ohio State over 40 Michigan State 24.5 to 17.5
99 Southern Utah over 176 North Dakota 35.0 to 14.0
96 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 166 The Citadel 24.5 to 7.0
180 Texas State - San Marcos over 213 Nicholls State 35.0 to 21.0
235 Morehead State over 246 Valparaiso 59.5 to 35.0
70 Virginia over 109 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
6 Wisconsin over 12 Nebraska 42.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
30 South Florida over 56 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 28.0
62 Brigham Young over 71 Utah State 31.5 to 28.0
209 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 227 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
112 Army over 135 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5
205 Georgetown over 224 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
207 Wagner over 225 Cornell 28.0 to 21.0
42 North Carolina over 91 East Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
80 Florida International over 88 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
69 Fresno State over 98 Mississippi 38.5 to 28.0
158 Portland State over 196 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
199 Jackson State over 206 Texas Southern 28.0 to 21.0
119 Louisiana - Lafayette over 139 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
59 Hawaii over 92 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 31.5
74 Delaware over 127 Maine 28.0 to 17.5
138 South Carolina State over 191 Norfolk State 24.5 to 10.5
211 Grambling over 221 Prairie View 31.5 to 24.5
223 Columbia over 237 Princeton 28.0 to 21.0
23 Notre Dame over 83 Purdue 28.0 to 14.0
130 Sam Houston State over 240 Texas - San Antonio 56.0 to 14.0
16 South Carolina over 22 Auburn 35.0 to 31.5
129 Indiana State over 168 South Dakota State 35.0 to 28.0
181 Eastern Illinois over 212 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
27 Southern California over 29 Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
133 Villanova over 136 William & Mary 21.0 to 17.5
123 Furman over 185 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
208 Tennessee State over 222 Austin Peay 31.5 to 28.0
147 Rhode Island over 171 Brown 21.0 to 17.5
161 Central Arkansas over 157 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 28.0
187 Fordham over 201 Colgate 24.5 to 24.5
55 Washington State over 76 Colorado 38.5 to 31.5
124 Colorado State over 118 San Jose State 21.0 to 21.0
197 Dartmouth over 193 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 28.0
194 Duquesne over 186 Bryant 28.0 to 24.5
184 Eastern Michigan over 183 Akron 31.5 to 28.0
115 Eastern Washington over 116 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
7 Alabama over 11 Florida 28.0 to 24.5
103 James Madison over 107 Richmond 21.0 to 17.5
25 Baylor over 51 Kansas State 38.5 to 31.5
149 Murray State over 150 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 31.5
162 New Mexico State over 182 New Mexico 31.5 to 28.0
144 McNeese State over 170 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
15 Texas A&M over 20 Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0
126 Massachusetts over 160 Old Dominion 38.5 to 31.5
243 Savannah State over 244 Howard 31.5 to 28.0
153 Tennessee - Martin over 148 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 28.0
140 Southern Illinois over 167 Western Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
101 Wofford over 102 Appalachian State 35.0 to 31.5
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