ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
53 Central Florida over 102 Marshall 28.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
135 Middle Tennessee State over 177 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0
2 Oregon over 39 California 52.5 to 21.0
3 Boise State over 82 Fresno State 49.0 to 17.5
83 Florida International over 191 Akron 42.0 to 17.5
7 Alabama over 64 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 3.5
226 Alabama A&M over 243 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 10.5
35 Mississippi State over 171 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 7.0
52 Temple over 115 Ball State 31.5 to 17.5
61 Brigham Young over 111 San Jose State 31.5 to 14.0
106 Lehigh over 212 Bucknell 38.5 to 14.0
73 Ohio over 133 Buffalo 28.0 to 17.5
10 Clemson over 81 Boston College 35.0 to 7.0
167 Coastal Carolina over 227 Virginia Military 35.0 to 10.5
122 Harvard over 214 Cornell 31.5 to 7.0
93 Delaware over 132 William & Mary 24.5 to 10.5
180 Norfolk State over 239 Delaware State 35.0 to 10.5
201 Florida A&M over 242 Howard 38.5 to 14.0
110 Furman over 148 Samford 31.5 to 21.0
125 Liberty over 221 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 14.0
70 Georgia Southern over 103 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 21.0
157 Murray State over 217 Georgia State 38.5 to 24.5
183 Hampton over 233 Princeton 42.0 to 17.5
112 Montana over 195 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0
31 Illinois over 114 Indiana 42.0 to 17.5
4 Louisiana State over 11 Florida 38.5 to 17.5
196 Drake over 236 Morehead State 38.5 to 21.0
237 Morgan State over 245 Savannah State 35.0 to 17.5
47 Nevada - Reno over 142 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 17.5
138 Bethune - Cookman over 232 North Carolina A&T 45.5 to 17.5
76 Arkansas State over 127 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
116 Sacramento State over 218 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 21.0
69 Northern Illinois over 134 Kent State 38.5 to 17.5
65 Northern Iowa over 119 Indiana State 42.0 to 24.5
20 Notre Dame over 51 Air Force 35.0 to 21.0
6 Oklahoma over 26 Texas 35.0 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma State over 101 Kansas 59.5 to 21.0
91 Purdue over 128 Minnesota 31.5 to 17.5
117 Rice over 194 Memphis 42.0 to 21.0
200 Robert Morris over 241 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 14.0
19 South Carolina over 98 Kentucky 38.5 to 10.5
145 South Carolina State over 238 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 3.5
1 Stanford over 77 Colorado 52.5 to 7.0
152 Tennessee - Martin over 220 Austin Peay 42.0 to 17.5
49 Toledo over 179 Eastern Michigan 49.0 to 10.5
208 San Diego over 246 Valparaiso 52.5 to 10.5
22 Virginia Tech over 42 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 14.0
25 West Virginia over 75 Connecticut 38.5 to 17.5
149 Youngstown State over 173 South Dakota State 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
34 Baylor over 62 Iowa State 42.0 to 31.5
215 Butler over 240 Campbell 35.0 to 24.5
235 Marist over 244 Davidson 24.5 to 14.0
28 Georgia Tech over 59 Maryland 42.0 to 28.0
178 Jackson State over 210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 42.0 to 24.5
174 Jacksonville over 205 Dayton 38.5 to 24.5
96 James Madison over 100 Maine 24.5 to 17.5
9 Missouri over 50 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5
170 Northwestern State over 209 Lamar 31.5 to 17.5
140 Massachusetts over 202 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 21.0
146 McNeese State over 175 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 24.5
44 Navy over 60 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
12 Nebraska over 30 Ohio State 28.0 to 17.5
97 New Hampshire over 155 Villanova 42.0 to 24.5
166 Central Arkansas over 216 Nicholls State 35.0 to 21.0
37 North Carolina over 89 Louisville 28.0 to 7.0
72 North Carolina State over 120 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
13 Michigan over 74 Northwestern 38.5 to 21.0
84 Montana State over 168 Portland State 42.0 to 24.5
38 Pittsburgh over 78 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
176 Stony Brook over 219 Presbyterian 45.5 to 28.0
90 Wofford over 156 The Citadel 24.5 to 14.0
68 Syracuse over 154 Tulane 31.5 to 14.0
23 Florida State over 80 Wake Forest 38.5 to 24.5
66 Western Michigan over 108 Bowling Green 42.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
188 Albany over 193 Duquesne 35.0 to 28.0
153 Brown over 151 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
159 Eastern Kentucky over 186 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
55 Houston over 94 East Carolina 56.0 to 38.5
164 Missouri State over 172 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
181 Monmouth over 189 Colgate 28.0 to 24.5
136 North Texas over 143 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 21.0
36 Arizona over 71 Oregon State 31.5 to 21.0
190 Pennsylvania over 206 Fordham 28.0 to 17.5
16 Texas Christian over 40 San Diego State 35.0 to 28.0
92 North Dakota State over 137 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
184 Alabama State over 228 Texas Southern 24.5 to 14.0
79 Utah State over 88 Wyoming 35.0 to 31.5
161 Elon over 198 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
185 Yale over 187 Dartmouth 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
21 Arkansas over 18 Auburn 35.0 to 31.5
54 Washington State over 63 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
229 Columbia over 224 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
99 Louisiana Tech over 104 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
87 Troy State over 118 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 38.5
95 Army over 113 Miami - Ohio 21.0 to 17.5
126 Northern Arizona over 107 Eastern Washington 17.5 to 17.5
139 Sam Houston State over 165 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 24.5
48 Penn State over 43 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
158 Rhode Island over 150 Old Dominion 31.5 to 31.5
121 South Dakota over 109 Southern Utah 28.0 to 28.0
223 Prairie View over 230 Southern 31.5 to 31.5
14 Georgia over 29 Tennessee 31.5 to 31.5
207 Tennessee State over 204 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
197 South Alabama over 234 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 21.0
15 Texas A&M over 41 Texas Tech 35.0 to 31.5
130 Richmond over 147 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
24 Utah over 17 Arizona State 28.0 to 24.5
211 Georgetown over 225 Wagner 28.0 to 28.0
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