ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
44 Cincinnati over 83 Louisville 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
57 Hawaii over 108 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5
181 Alabama State over 225 Prairie View 38.5 to 17.5
179 Albany over 195 Robert Morris 31.5 to 21.0
141 Jacksonville State over 216 Austin Peay 42.0 to 21.0
146 Brown over 233 Princeton 38.5 to 7.0
229 Butler over 246 Valparaiso 52.5 to 14.0
123 Central Michigan over 173 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
1 Boise State over 126 Colorado State 49.0 to 0.0
51 South Florida over 80 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
207 Dayton over 244 Davidson 35.0 to 7.0
93 Delaware over 142 Massachusetts 31.5 to 17.5
139 Eastern Kentucky over 223 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 10.5
105 Eastern Washington over 212 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
154 Florida Atlantic over 183 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
102 Lehigh over 209 Fordham 38.5 to 14.0
67 Georgia Southern over 119 Furman 38.5 to 21.0
128 Harvard over 208 Bucknell 35.0 to 7.0
49 Iowa over 81 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
172 Jacksonville over 239 Morehead State 56.0 to 24.5
98 James Madison over 163 Villanova 24.5 to 10.5
6 Oklahoma over 103 Kansas 59.5 to 17.5
96 Maine over 168 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5
11 Clemson over 56 Maryland 31.5 to 21.0
7 Alabama over 89 Mississippi 45.5 to 10.5
161 Jackson State over 243 Mississippi Valley State 49.0 to 10.5
12 Missouri over 73 Iowa State 38.5 to 17.5
104 Montana over 162 Portland State 42.0 to 28.0
87 Montana State over 136 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
144 Murray State over 197 Eastern Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
48 Nevada - Reno over 190 New Mexico 52.5 to 10.5
213 North Carolina A&T over 241 Delaware State 35.0 to 17.5
92 North Dakota State over 178 Missouri State 35.0 to 10.5
165 Northwestern State over 202 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 21.0
74 Ohio over 129 Ball State 38.5 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 10 Arizona State 49.0 to 28.0
43 Penn State over 84 Purdue 28.0 to 7.0
219 Sacred Heart over 242 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 21.0
130 Samford over 158 Elon 31.5 to 21.0
111 Sam Houston State over 210 Nicholls State 38.5 to 10.5
214 Florida A&M over 245 Savannah State 42.0 to 21.0
159 South Carolina State over 211 Georgia State 35.0 to 14.0
79 Northern Iowa over 169 South Dakota State 28.0 to 10.5
42 Temple over 127 Buffalo 35.0 to 7.0
4 Louisiana State over 29 Tennessee 38.5 to 17.5
107 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 193 Western Carolina 45.5 to 21.0
145 Tennessee Tech over 188 Tennessee State 38.5 to 24.5
176 Texas State - San Marcos over 218 Lamar 38.5 to 17.5
94 Troy State over 131 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
53 Tulsa over 174 Alabama - Birmingham 45.5 to 10.5
9 Georgia over 66 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
30 Washington over 78 Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
2 Stanford over 60 Washington State 49.0 to 21.0
116 Weber State over 203 Idaho State 45.5 to 17.5
5 Wisconsin over 113 Indiana 59.5 to 7.0
101 Wyoming over 147 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
222 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 234 Southern 31.5 to 24.5
39 Toledo over 117 Bowling Green 45.5 to 24.5
184 Bryant over 189 Monmouth 28.0 to 21.0
186 Colgate over 206 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
187 Pennsylvania over 230 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
27 Florida State over 91 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
149 Holy Cross over 198 Dartmouth 28.0 to 10.5
125 Indiana State over 166 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
120 Liberty over 155 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
97 Louisiana - Lafayette over 132 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
95 Marshall over 114 Rice 28.0 to 21.0
112 East Carolina over 191 Memphis 38.5 to 21.0
15 South Carolina over 47 Mississippi State 28.0 to 21.0
182 Norfolk State over 192 Hampton 28.0 to 21.0
8 Oklahoma State over 35 Texas 42.0 to 28.0
100 Appalachian State over 167 The Citadel 24.5 to 17.5
226 Virginia Military over 235 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 24.5
20 Virginia Tech over 72 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
160 California - Davis over 231 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 14.0
152 Central Arkansas over 164 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
201 Duquesne over 200 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
205 Georgetown over 240 Howard 31.5 to 21.0
24 Illinois over 25 Ohio State 24.5 to 21.0
175 Yale over 194 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
13 Michigan over 32 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
64 Oregon State over 69 Brigham Young 24.5 to 21.0
215 Presbyterian over 220 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 28.0
133 Tennessee - Martin over 196 South Alabama 35.0 to 21.0
148 Southern Illinois over 150 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
17 Texas A&M over 26 Baylor 42.0 to 35.0
28 Georgia Tech over 68 Virginia 38.5 to 31.5
85 New Hampshire over 143 William & Mary 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
45 San Diego State over 54 Air Force 31.5 to 31.5
40 California over 34 Southern California 28.0 to 28.0
227 Alabama A&M over 224 Texas Southern 24.5 to 21.0
23 Auburn over 21 Florida 31.5 to 28.0
121 California Poly over 118 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
59 Utah State over 90 Fresno State 42.0 to 38.5
109 South Dakota over 153 Illinois State 28.0 to 21.0
110 Miami - Ohio over 138 Kent State 17.5 to 14.0
238 Marist over 236 Campbell 28.0 to 24.5
115 Idaho over 157 New Mexico State 24.5 to 21.0
36 North Carolina over 41 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
232 North Carolina Central over 237 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
70 Northern Illinois over 65 Western Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
137 Old Dominion over 134 Towson 35.0 to 31.5
31 Utah over 52 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 21.0
62 Rutgers over 61 Navy 31.5 to 28.0
204 San Diego over 199 Drake 21.0 to 21.0
55 Southern Methodist over 58 Central Florida 21.0 to 17.5
37 Texas Tech over 38 Kansas State 35.0 to 31.5
124 Texas - El Paso over 151 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
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