ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
91 Montana State over 207 Idaho State 45.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
90 Florida International over 120 Troy State 31.5 to 24.5
54 Pittsburgh over 82 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
23 Houston over 116 Rice 59.5 to 24.5
28 Miami - Florida over 68 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
12 Texas Christian over 61 Brigham Young 38.5 to 21.0
10 Arizona State over 88 Colorado 45.5 to 14.0
66 Arkansas State over 132 North Texas 35.0 to 17.5
29 Auburn over 85 Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
69 Central Florida over 187 Memphis 35.0 to 3.5
106 Lehigh over 192 Colgate 38.5 to 21.0
182 Yale over 237 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0
218 Campbell over 244 Davidson 35.0 to 17.5
219 Morgan State over 243 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
17 Virginia Tech over 93 Duke 38.5 to 14.0
92 East Carolina over 176 Tulane 45.5 to 21.0
26 Florida State over 64 North Carolina State 35.0 to 17.5
213 Gardner - Webb over 236 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0
110 Harvard over 193 Dartmouth 38.5 to 14.0
155 Holy Cross over 196 Georgetown 31.5 to 17.5
166 South Carolina State over 232 Howard 31.5 to 14.0
142 Jacksonville State over 162 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 28.0
42 Mississippi State over 100 Kentucky 31.5 to 14.0
186 Lafayette over 205 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
109 Liberty over 206 Presbyterian 52.5 to 21.0
78 Louisiana Tech over 97 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
98 Marshall over 159 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 14.0
58 Maryland over 86 Boston College 28.0 to 17.5
16 Michigan over 72 Purdue 38.5 to 14.0
52 Iowa over 129 Minnesota 38.5 to 21.0
107 Montana over 128 Weber State 35.0 to 28.0
55 Air Force over 194 New Mexico 56.0 to 21.0
49 Nevada - Reno over 139 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
172 Jackson State over 225 Prairie View 38.5 to 21.0
167 Bethune - Cookman over 242 North Carolina Central 49.0 to 17.5
163 North Dakota over 210 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
21 Notre Dame over 73 Navy 42.0 to 21.0
6 Wisconsin over 27 Ohio State 31.5 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 74 Washington State 63.0 to 17.5
135 Samford over 215 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5
96 Sam Houston State over 217 Lamar 45.5 to 10.5
43 San Diego State over 102 Wyoming 38.5 to 17.5
195 Hampton over 245 Savannah State 49.0 to 17.5
1 Stanford over 18 Southern California 42.0 to 24.5
89 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 125 Furman 31.5 to 21.0
153 Tennessee - Martin over 224 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 17.5
40 Texas over 119 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0
30 Texas Tech over 79 Iowa State 49.0 to 28.0
156 The Citadel over 235 Virginia Military 31.5 to 0.0
36 Utah over 60 Oregon State 28.0 to 14.0
209 Dayton over 246 Valparaiso 49.0 to 10.5
19 Arkansas over 57 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 21.0
101 Maine over 178 Villanova 31.5 to 17.5
170 Albany over 229 Wagner 38.5 to 21.0
87 Western Michigan over 118 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
75 Wofford over 175 Elon 42.0 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
138 Central Michigan over 184 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
108 Army over 211 Fordham 42.0 to 10.5
141 Brown over 183 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 17.5
35 California over 71 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0
115 California Poly over 146 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
148 Central Arkansas over 203 Southeast Louisiana 52.5 to 28.0
117 Eastern Washington over 158 Portland State 42.0 to 31.5
67 Hawaii over 123 Idaho 35.0 to 24.5
8 Oklahoma over 24 Kansas State 35.0 to 24.5
104 Miami - Ohio over 134 Buffalo 24.5 to 17.5
190 Monmouth over 199 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
181 Alabama State over 220 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 10.5
20 Nebraska over 22 Michigan State 28.0 to 21.0
105 New Hampshire over 147 Rhode Island 42.0 to 28.0
13 Georgia over 25 Florida 28.0 to 24.5
189 Norfolk State over 214 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 10.5
45 North Carolina over 63 Wake Forest 38.5 to 24.5
113 Northeast Louisiana over 145 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
7 Oklahoma State over 32 Baylor 56.0 to 35.0
198 Robert Morris over 221 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 14.0
133 Sacramento State over 149 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
208 Central Connecticut over 240 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 45.5 to 31.5
114 Southern Utah over 161 California - Davis 35.0 to 21.0
9 Texas A&M over 15 Missouri 31.5 to 24.5
46 Southern Mississippi over 94 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 21.0
144 Youngstown State over 174 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
65 Georgia Southern over 95 Appalachian State 35.0 to 31.5
197 Eastern Illinois over 216 Austin Peay 31.5 to 28.0
11 Clemson over 48 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 31.5
84 Northwestern over 124 Indiana 38.5 to 31.5
103 Bowling Green over 150 Kent State 24.5 to 17.5
53 Syracuse over 83 Louisville 21.0 to 14.0
202 Drake over 234 Marist 21.0 to 14.0
231 Texas Southern over 241 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
136 Colorado State over 165 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5
76 North Dakota State over 77 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
44 Penn State over 41 Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
204 Cornell over 233 Princeton 35.0 to 28.0
33 West Virginia over 59 Rutgers 31.5 to 24.5
223 Southern over 227 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
164 Stony Brook over 185 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
14 South Carolina over 39 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
154 Northwestern State over 180 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
226 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 222 Grambling 28.0 to 24.5
121 Louisiana - Lafayette over 137 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 38.5
169 Missouri State over 168 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
140 Murray State over 131 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
99 James Madison over 126 Old Dominion 28.0 to 28.0
127 Massachusetts over 152 Richmond 28.0 to 28.0
130 Illinois State over 157 Southern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
171 Stephen F. Austin over 173 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
200 Georgia State over 228 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 24.5
122 Towson over 111 Delaware 24.5 to 21.0
56 Tulsa over 50 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 28.0
34 Washington over 31 Arizona 35.0 to 35.0
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