2011 Week 13 (22-26 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

  78 Western Michigan          over  205 Akron                      52.5 to 14.0
   8 Boise State               over   89 Wyoming                    56.0 to  7.0
   2 Oregon                    over   61 Oregon State               52.5 to 14.0
  55 Southern Mississippi      over  185 Memphis                    52.5 to 10.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   1 Louisiana State           over   10 Arkansas                   42.0 to 21.0
  62 Northern Illinois         over  136 Eastern Michigan           49.0 to 24.5
  20 Utah                      over   97 Colorado                   38.5 to 10.5
  83 Hawaii                    over  174 Tulane                     42.0 to 14.0
  52 Louisiana Tech            over  139 New Mexico State           42.0 to 17.5
  58 San Diego State           over  160 Nevada - Las Vegas         42.0 to 14.0
  16 Missouri                  over  129 Kansas                     45.5 to 14.0
   5 Oklahoma                  over   44 Iowa State                 45.5 to 14.0
   9 Southern California       over   48 California - Los Angeles   38.5 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  47 Toledo                    over  100 Ball State                 45.5 to 31.5
  27 Miami - Florida           over   81 Boston College             28.0 to  3.5
  38 Temple                    over  117 Kent State                 28.0 to  7.0
  42 Arizona                   over   92 Louisiana - Lafayette      45.5 to 24.5
   3 Alabama                   over   56 Auburn                     35.0 to 14.0
  75 Purdue                    over  138 Indiana                    38.5 to 24.5
  11 Michigan                  over   33 Ohio State                 31.5 to 14.0
  43 Mississippi State         over  106 Mississippi                35.0 to 14.0
  25 Baylor                    over   71 Texas Tech                 49.0 to 35.0
  40 North Carolina            over   94 Duke                       38.5 to 21.0
  57 North Carolina State      over   93 Maryland                   31.5 to 14.0
   6 Stanford                  over   18 Notre Dame                 42.0 to 24.5
   7 Wisconsin                 over   29 Penn State                 35.0 to 10.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  73 Ohio                      over   90 Miami - Ohio               31.5 to 21.0
  13 Texas A&M                 over   21 Texas                      31.5 to 21.0
  77 Central Florida           over  104 Texas - El Paso            31.5 to 21.0
  30 Nebraska                  over   39 Iowa                       35.0 to 21.0
  37 South Florida             over   63 Louisville                 24.5 to 14.0
  12 Houston                   over   31 Tulsa                      45.5 to 42.0
  34 West Virginia             over   53 Pittsburgh                 38.5 to 28.0
  70 Air Force                 over  133 Colorado State             35.0 to 21.0
  88 Fresno State              over   96 San Jose State             35.0 to 28.0
  50 Tennessee                 over   95 Kentucky                   24.5 to 14.0
  86 Florida International     over  158 Middle Tennessee State     35.0 to 21.0
  35 Illinois                  over  108 Minnesota                  28.0 to 14.0
  15 Michigan State            over   64 Northwestern               31.5 to 17.5
  23 South Carolina            over   36 Clemson                    35.0 to 28.0
  74 Southern Methodist        over  116 Rice                       28.0 to 17.5
 105 Western Kentucky          over  132 Troy State                 31.5 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  22 Arizona State             over   26 California                 28.0 to 21.0
 123 Buffalo                   over  120 Bowling Green              24.5 to 24.5
  45 Rutgers                   over   85 Connecticut                24.5 to 17.5
  32 Florida                   over   24 Florida State              28.0 to 21.0
 149 Alabama - Birmingham      over  181 Florida Atlantic           31.5 to 24.5
  14 Georgia                   over   41 Georgia Tech               35.0 to 28.0
 102 Marshall                  over   91 East Carolina              31.5 to 28.0
 217 Grambling                 over  223 Southern                   24.5 to 24.5
  46 Cincinnati                over   79 Syracuse                   31.5 to 24.5
  60 Nevada - Reno             over   69 Utah State                 38.5 to 35.0
  19 Virginia Tech             over   51 Virginia                   24.5 to 17.5
  54 Vanderbilt                over   68 Wake Forest                28.0 to 24.5
  59 Washington                over   66 Washington State           38.5 to 35.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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