Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 6.26 12.0-1.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Alabama 2 1 7.39 12.0-0.0 4.6-7.4 IA Indep Notre Dame 3 2 6.22 11.0-1.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Florida 4 2 6.12 12.0-0.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 5 3 5.94 11.0-1.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Kansas State 6 4 5.57 11.0-2.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 Stanford 7 4 5.33 10.0-2.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 8 4 5.30 11.0-1.0 5.7-6.3 IA PAC_12 Oregon 9 4 5.25 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Georgia 10 4 5.11 10.0-2.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC Texas A&M 11 4 5.01 10.0-2.0 5.0-7.0 IA SEC South Carolina 12 4 4.94 10.0-2.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Louisiana State 13 4 4.55 11.0-2.0 6.5-6.5 IA ACC Florida State 14 4 4.39 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 15 5 4.11 10.0-2.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC Clemson 16 5 4.09 9.0-3.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 17 5 3.53 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 18 5 3.51 10.0-2.0 6.5-5.5 IA Big_East Louisville 19 5 3.09 9.0-3.0 5.9-6.1 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 20 5 3.03 8.0-4.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 21 6 2.84 8.0-4.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Michigan 22 8 2.83 12.0-1.0 9.2-3.8 IA MAC Northern Illinois 23 9 2.75 10.0-2.0 7.2-4.8 IA MWC Boise State 24 13 2.55 11.0-2.0 8.5-4.5 IA MAC Kent State 25 13 2.41 8.0-4.0 5.6-6.4 IA SEC Vanderbilt 26 13 2.34 7.0-5.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Southern California 27 13 2.32 9.0-3.0 6.7-5.3 IA Big_East Rutgers 28 14 2.29 8.0-4.0 5.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Penn State 29 13 2.27 9.0-3.0 6.7-5.3 IA Big_East Cincinnati 30 14 2.24 10.0-2.0 7.8-4.2 IA WAC San Jose State 31 13 2.24 7.0-5.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Baylor 32 13 2.23 7.0-5.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 West Virginia 33 13 2.18 7.0-5.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Arizona 34 14 2.17 10.0-2.0 7.8-4.2 IA WAC Utah State 35 13 2.11 7.0-5.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Washington 36 13 2.08 7.0-5.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 37 13 2.08 7.0-5.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Miami - Florida 38 14 2.06 10.0-3.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Tulsa 39 14 1.98 7.0-5.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 40 15 1.97 8.0-4.0 6.0-6.0 IA SEC Mississippi State 41 14 1.93 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 42 14 1.93 9.0-3.0 7.1-4.9 IA MWC Fresno State 43 14 1.83 7.0-5.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 44 14 1.79 9.0-3.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Ball State 45 13 1.74 7.0-5.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_East Syracuse 46 14 1.69 7.0-5.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 47 11 1.56 9.0-3.0 7.4-4.6 IA MWC San Diego State 48 11 1.46 6.0-6.0 4.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Iowa State 49 11 1.43 8.0-4.0 6.6-5.4 IA ACC North Carolina 50 10 1.34 9.0-3.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Toledo 51 9 1.13 7.0-5.0 5.9-6.1 IA ACC North Carolina State 52 10 1.10 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 53 10 1.10 9.0-4.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Central Florida 54 10 1.07 6.0-6.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC Mississippi 55 12 0.90 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 56 12 0.80 6.0-6.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 57 12 0.79 8.0-4.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA East Carolina 58 13 0.70 5.0-7.0 4.3-7.7 IA SEC Missouri 59 14 0.59 6.0-6.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Virginia Tech 60 12 0.52 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IA Indep Brigham Young 61 14 0.34 8.0-4.0 7.7-4.3 IA Indep Navy 62 14 0.30 6.0-6.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC Duke 63 16 0.21 6.0-6.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 64 15 0.18 8.0-4.0 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Bowling Green 65 14 0.17 8.0-4.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 66 14 0.15 6.0-6.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 67 16 0.08 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Georgia Tech 68 18 -0.07 8.0-4.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 69 16 -0.08 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 70 17 -0.14 8.0-4.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 71 17 -0.14 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Tennessee 72 15 -0.45 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA ACC Wake Forest 73 17 -0.48 7.0-5.0 7.5-4.5 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 74 16 -0.51 8.0-4.0 8.5-3.5 IA MAC Ohio 75 16 -0.53 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA PAC_12 Utah 76 16 -0.81 4.0-8.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Arkansas 77 16 -0.90 6.0-6.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 78 16 -0.99 7.0-5.0 8.0-4.0 IA Sun_Belt Western Kentucky 79 14 -1.14 5.0-7.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_East Connecticut 80 14 -1.24 4.0-8.0 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Maryland 81 16 -1.31 4.0-7.0 5.3-5.7 IA Big_East Temple 82 16 -1.32 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC Virginia 83 17 -1.38 3.0-9.0 4.4-7.6 IA PAC_12 California 84 17 -1.42 6.0-4.0 7.4-2.6 IA WAC Texas - San Antonio 85 16 -1.65 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Central Michigan 86 16 -1.66 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IA MWC Air Force 87 16 -1.67 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IA CUSA Rice 88 15 -1.77 4.0-8.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Iowa 89 16 -1.81 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Auburn 90 16 -1.81 4.0-8.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Indiana 91 15 -1.94 3.0-9.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Washington State 92 13 -2.27 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_East South Florida 93 13 -2.33 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Marshall 94 16 -2.75 2.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA SEC Kentucky 95 16 -2.95 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA CUSA Houston 96 17 -2.95 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IA MWC Wyoming 97 17 -2.96 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 98 16 -2.98 2.0-*** 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Boston College 99 16 -2.98 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Buffalo 100 17 -3.07 4.0-8.0 7.1-4.9 IA MWC Colorado State 101 17 -3.11 5.0-7.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 102 18 -3.22 1.0-*** 4.2-7.8 IA Big_12 Kansas 103 18 -3.45 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 104 19 -3.46 3.0-9.0 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 105 16 -3.51 2.0-*** 5.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Illinois 106 14 -3.66 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Western Michigan 107 15 -3.72 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA WAC Texas State - San Marcos 108 13 -3.75 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA MWC Hawaii 109 14 -3.92 4.0-9.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC New Mexico 110 10 -4.05 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 111 12 -4.05 4.0-8.0 8.1-3.9 IA CUSA Memphis 112 11 -4.07 1.0-*** 5.1-6.9 IA PAC_12 Colorado 113 12 -4.39 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 114 10 -4.89 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 115 10 -5.04 2.0-*** 7.0-5.0 IA Indep Army 116 10 -5.09 3.0-9.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 117 12 -5.57 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA CUSA Tulane 118 10 -5.69 1.0-*** 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Idaho 119 10 -5.71 2.0-*** 7.7-5.3 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 120 10 -5.82 1.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA MAC Massachusetts 121 9 -6.49 1.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Akron 122 9 -6.72 2.0-*** 8.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 123 9 -6.80 1.0-*** 7.8-4.2 IA WAC New Mexico State 124 9 -6.81 0.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 14 2.40 12.0-1.0 9.6-3.4 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 19 1.93 11.0-2.0 9.1-3.9 IAA Colonial Old Dominion 3 13 1.47 10.0-1.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Patriot Lehigh 4 12 1.15 11.0-2.0 9.9-3.1 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 5 13 1.01 10.0-3.0 9.0-4.0 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 6 13 0.93 10.0-2.0 9.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 7 15 0.83 9.0-2.0 8.2-2.8 IAA NE Albany 8 13 0.47 8.0-2.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Ivy Harvard 9 15 0.43 7.0-4.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Colonial Towson 10 16 0.38 8.0-4.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Southern Wofford 11 15 0.32 8.0-3.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Richmond 12 17 0.29 9.0-3.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 13 16 0.20 8.0-4.0 7.8-4.2 IAA Colonial Villanova 14 18 0.10 8.0-4.0 7.9-4.1 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 15 18 -0.12 9.0-3.0 9.1-2.9 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 16 19 -0.15 9.0-3.0 9.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 17 19 -0.18 9.0-4.0 9.2-3.8 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 18 17 -0.26 7.0-3.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Ivy Brown 19 22 -0.29 9.0-4.0 9.3-3.7 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 20 18 -0.39 7.0-3.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 21 19 -0.41 7.0-4.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Colonial James Madison 22 17 -0.47 8.0-3.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 23 17 -0.48 8.0-4.0 8.5-3.5 IAA Southern Appalachian State 24 18 -0.52 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 25 19 -0.66 8.0-4.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Patriot Colgate 26 23 -0.66 9.0-2.0 9.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 27 18 -0.68 7.0-4.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Southern The Citadel 28 21 -0.81 8.0-3.0 8.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 29 19 -0.85 7.0-3.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Pioneer San Diego 30 18 -0.87 8.0-3.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 31 19 -0.92 9.0-4.0 9.9-3.1 IAA NE Wagner 32 20 -0.93 9.0-3.0 9.9-2.1 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 33 16 -0.94 6.0-4.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 34 16 -1.01 6.0-4.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Southern Samford 35 15 -1.15 6.0-4.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 36 23 -1.16 8.0-3.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 37 19 -1.40 7.0-3.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Drake 38 19 -1.43 6.0-4.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 39 20 -1.58 7.0-3.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Butler 40 19 -1.69 8.0-5.0 9.7-3.3 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 41 17 -1.72 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 42 15 -1.78 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Patriot Fordham 43 18 -1.80 6.0-5.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 44 16 -1.86 6.0-5.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 45 18 -1.91 7.0-3.0 8.9-1.1 IAA SWAC Alabama State 46 15 -2.00 6.0-4.0 8.0-2.0 IAA MEAC Howard 47 14 -2.02 5.0-5.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Ivy Princeton 48 19 -2.03 7.0-5.0 9.0-3.0 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 49 14 -2.11 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 50 14 -2.15 5.0-6.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Colonial Maine 51 15 -2.18 6.0-4.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Southland McNeese State 52 18 -2.22 6.0-4.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 53 19 -2.36 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA NE Monmouth 54 22 -2.38 6.0-4.0 8.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 55 17 -2.60 6.0-5.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 56 16 -2.69 4.0-6.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Colonial Delaware 57 17 -2.71 4.0-6.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 58 17 -2.80 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Liberty 59 18 -2.85 5.0-4.0 7.8-1.2 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 60 19 -2.94 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 61 21 -2.97 6.0-5.0 9.0-2.0 IAA Pioneer Dayton 62 17 -2.99 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Patriot Lafayette 63 16 -3.01 4.0-6.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 64 23 -3.03 7.0-5.0 10.0-2.0 IAA SWAC Jackson State 65 19 -3.07 6.0-5.0 9.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Delaware State 66 18 -3.12 4.0-6.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 67 17 -3.13 4.0-6.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Ivy Cornell 68 20 -3.18 5.0-6.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 69 22 -3.31 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 70 21 -3.32 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Patriot Georgetown 71 21 -3.33 5.0-5.0 8.3-1.7 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 72 19 -3.38 5.0-6.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Montana 73 20 -3.38 5.0-6.0 8.4-2.6 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 74 21 -3.50 5.0-6.0 8.5-2.5 IAA NE Duquesne 75 15 -3.73 4.0-6.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 76 19 -3.82 5.0-5.0 8.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 77 13 -3.83 3.0-6.0 6.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 78 13 -3.83 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 79 11 -3.95 3.0-7.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Ivy Columbia 80 16 -3.98 4.0-7.0 8.0-3.0 IAA NE Robert Morris 81 11 -4.20 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 82 12 -4.29 3.0-7.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Southland Northwestern State 83 11 -4.35 3.0-8.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Southern Furman 84 15 -4.45 4.0-7.0 8.4-2.6 IAA NE Bryant 85 9 -4.53 2.0-8.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Southern Elon 86 11 -4.63 3.0-8.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Patriot Bucknell 87 10 -4.74 2.0-9.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Colonial William & Mary 88 12 -4.89 4.0-7.0 8.9-2.1 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 89 10 -4.91 2.0-8.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 90 15 -4.94 4.0-7.0 8.9-2.1 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 91 10 -4.97 2.0-8.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Ivy Yale 92 13 -5.01 2.0-8.0 7.0-3.0 IAA NE Central Connecticut 93 10 -5.08 2.0-8.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 94 13 -5.19 3.0-7.0 8.2-1.8 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 95 12 -5.20 2.0-8.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 96 14 -5.38 3.0-7.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 97 14 -5.42 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 98 15 -5.44 4.0-7.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Pioneer Marist 99 15 -5.57 3.0-7.0 8.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Hampton 100 14 -5.63 2.0-8.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 101 16 -5.69 4.0-7.0 9.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Southern 102 12 -5.70 2.0-9.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 103 12 -5.72 2.0-8.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Southland Lamar 104 11 -5.97 1.0-*** 7.0-4.0 IAA Colonial Georgia State 105 11 -5.99 1.0-*** 7.0-4.0 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 106 11 -5.99 0.0-*** 6.0-4.0 IAA Southern Western Carolina 107 12 -6.01 2.0-8.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 108 15 -6.13 3.0-8.0 9.1-1.9 IAA SWAC Prairie View 109 12 -6.31 1.0-9.0 7.3-2.7 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 110 12 -6.34 2.0-9.0 8.3-2.7 IAA NE Sacred Heart 111 9 -6.39 1.0-9.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 112 11 -6.52 3.0-8.0 9.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Morgan State 113 8 -6.75 0.0-*** 6.7-4.3 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 114 9 -6.78 2.0-8.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Pioneer Davidson 115 9 -6.81 0.0-*** 6.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 116 9 -6.84 1.0-9.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 117 7 -7.09 0.0-*** 7.1-2.9 IAA Southland Nicholls State 118 7 -7.16 1.0-9.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 119 7 -7.19 0.0-*** 7.2-2.8 IAA MEAC Savannah State 120 6 -7.33 0.0-9.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Campbell 121 12 -7.39 2.0-9.0 9.4-1.6 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 122 3 -8.14 0.0-*** 8.1-1.9 IAA SWAC Grambling
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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