ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 77 Mississippi 45.5 to 7.0
31 North Carolina over 187 Idaho 45.5 to 10.5
122 William & Mary over 229 Georgia State 38.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
113 Sam Houston State over 239 Texas Southern 45.5 to 14.0
8 Stanford over 58 Washington 35.0 to 17.5
57 Brigham Young over 118 Hawaii 38.5 to 21.0
43 Harvard over 140 Holy Cross 38.5 to 14.0
82 Air Force over 155 Colorado State 38.5 to 21.0
201 Alabama A&M over 221 Grambling 31.5 to 17.5
207 Alabama State over 240 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
107 Appalachian State over 173 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
148 Bowling Green over 181 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
53 California - Los Angeles over 151 Colorado 35.0 to 21.0
66 Connecticut over 142 Buffalo 35.0 to 14.0
145 Duquesne over 211 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 21.0
191 Eastern Illinois over 237 Austin Peay 45.5 to 24.5
138 Furman over 209 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
7 Georgia over 44 Tennessee 42.0 to 21.0
87 Georgia Southern over 125 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
34 Georgia Tech over 162 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 17.5
219 Howard over 245 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
11 South Carolina over 79 Kentucky 31.5 to 14.0
88 Lehigh over 168 Fordham 35.0 to 14.0
4 Louisiana State over 119 Towson 49.0 to 7.0
56 Ohio over 171 Massachusetts 38.5 to 17.5
24 Boise State over 160 New Mexico 38.5 to 10.5
52 Northwestern over 124 Indiana 38.5 to 21.0
1 Oregon over 132 Washington State 59.5 to 14.0
39 Purdue over 98 Marshall 42.0 to 24.5
114 Lafayette over 204 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
149 Southern Illinois over 194 Indiana State 28.0 to 17.5
15 Texas Christian over 91 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 14.0
3 Florida State over 55 South Florida 35.0 to 17.5
167 Tennessee State over 210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 14.0
33 Nevada - Reno over 183 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 21.0
104 Northeast Louisiana over 216 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
89 Utah State over 159 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
226 North Carolina A&T over 234 Morgan State 31.5 to 21.0
62 Tulsa over 153 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 28.0
78 Albany over 120 Monmouth 31.5 to 21.0
30 Arizona over 41 Oregon State 28.0 to 21.0
84 Arkansas State over 103 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
195 Drake over 235 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
100 East Carolina over 123 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
74 Wofford over 152 Elon 35.0 to 21.0
106 Brown over 174 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
158 Bethune - Cookman over 214 Hampton 28.0 to 21.0
96 Houston over 139 Rice 49.0 to 35.0
193 Sacramento State over 231 Idaho State 35.0 to 24.5
37 Penn State over 76 Illinois 21.0 to 14.0
20 Texas Tech over 61 Iowa State 35.0 to 24.5
218 Jackson State over 232 Prairie View 38.5 to 28.0
189 Jacksonville over 215 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
184 Jacksonville State over 217 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 24.5
94 Maine over 101 Villanova 24.5 to 21.0
29 Miami - Florida over 40 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
18 Nebraska over 25 Wisconsin 35.0 to 24.5
144 Northern Arizona over 198 Portland State 42.0 to 28.0
73 Northern Illinois over 147 Central Michigan 45.5 to 24.5
188 Florida A&M over 230 Southern 35.0 to 21.0
129 Troy State over 208 South Alabama 31.5 to 21.0
97 Illinois State over 165 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
150 South Dakota State over 203 Missouri State 28.0 to 17.5
45 Louisville over 99 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
131 Eastern Kentucky over 180 Tennessee - Martin 24.5 to 17.5
9 Texas A&M over 60 Arkansas 49.0 to 28.0
170 Wagner over 212 Bryant 31.5 to 17.5
13 West Virginia over 27 Baylor 49.0 to 35.0
60-70% chance of victory:
23 Clemson over 51 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
128 Cornell over 166 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
197 Dayton over 222 Butler 24.5 to 17.5
19 Arizona State over 32 California 28.0 to 24.5
179 California - Davis over 185 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
21 Missouri over 35 Central Florida 24.5 to 24.5
199 Columbia over 196 Princeton 24.5 to 21.0
127 Dartmouth over 135 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 17.5
69 Fresno State over 67 San Diego State 35.0 to 31.5
68 Iowa over 64 Minnesota 21.0 to 17.5
110 Kent State over 108 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5
220 Southeast Louisiana over 243 Lamar 31.5 to 21.0
177 McNeese State over 176 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
17 Ohio State over 36 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
178 Murray State over 192 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 35.0
182 New Mexico State over 202 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 28.0
54 North Dakota State over 93 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
26 Virginia Tech over 42 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
10 Oklahoma State over 12 Texas 45.5 to 35.0
206 Sacred Heart over 205 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
121 Central Arkansas over 175 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 31.5
154 The Citadel over 164 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 24.5
50 Louisiana Tech over 85 Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
90 Wake Forest over 95 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
80 Western Michigan over 86 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
157 Akron over 146 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 28.0
115 Stony Brook over 143 Army 35.0 to 31.5
236 Davidson over 228 Presbyterian 28.0 to 28.0
105 Montana over 136 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 28.0
156 North Texas over 186 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 24.5
126 Louisiana - Lafayette over 111 Florida International 31.5 to 31.5
102 Navy over 92 San Jose State 31.5 to 31.5
59 Delaware over 83 New Hampshire 35.0 to 35.0
137 North Dakota over 112 California Poly 31.5 to 31.5
81 Old Dominion over 109 Richmond 38.5 to 35.0
190 South Carolina State over 172 Norfolk State 28.0 to 24.5
116 Montana State over 141 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
134 Colgate over 161 Yale 28.0 to 24.5
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