ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
32 Brigham Young over 198 Idaho 45.5 to 7.0
126 California Poly over 240 Idaho State 56.0 to 14.0
12 Clemson over 84 Maryland 42.0 to 14.0
70 Georgia Southern over 230 Howard 45.5 to 3.5
186 Jacksonville over 244 Campbell 45.5 to 10.5
3 Louisiana State over 42 Mississippi State 31.5 to 10.5
110 Maine over 211 Georgia State 38.5 to 14.0
145 Bethune - Cookman over 246 Savannah State 45.5 to 7.0
17 Texas over 46 Iowa State 31.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 6 Texas A&M 35.0 to 21.0
76 Appalachian State over 132 Furman 38.5 to 21.0
60 Arizona over 160 Colorado 45.5 to 21.0
13 Notre Dame over 79 Boston College 31.5 to 14.0
2 Oregon over 52 California 49.0 to 24.5
187 Drake over 217 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
173 Eastern Illinois over 221 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
101 Eastern Washington over 196 California - Davis 38.5 to 17.5
7 Florida over 112 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 7.0
18 Boise State over 158 Hawaii 42.0 to 14.0
55 Iowa over 87 Purdue 31.5 to 17.5
153 Jacksonville State over 238 Austin Peay 49.0 to 17.5
24 Michigan over 51 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
152 Monmouth over 212 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 21.0
100 Montana State over 181 Portland State 42.0 to 24.5
97 San Jose State over 204 New Mexico State 35.0 to 17.5
59 North Dakota State over 127 South Dakota State 31.5 to 14.0
69 Sam Houston State over 215 Northwestern State 42.0 to 17.5
54 Rutgers over 117 Army 31.5 to 17.5
163 San Diego over 219 Morehead State 42.0 to 21.0
15 South Carolina over 36 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
78 Northern Iowa over 188 South Dakota 31.5 to 14.0
168 Stephen F. Austin over 235 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 24.5
8 Stanford over 29 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
43 Central Florida over 139 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 17.5
56 Louisiana Tech over 190 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 21.0
41 Texas Tech over 115 Kansas 42.0 to 17.5
95 Towson over 210 Rhode Island 42.0 to 14.0
149 The Citadel over 239 Virginia Military 38.5 to 10.5
21 California - Los Angeles over 130 Washington State 42.0 to 17.5
129 Youngstown State over 220 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
134 Western Kentucky over 185 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
64 Toledo over 109 Ball State 42.0 to 28.0
81 Ohio over 107 Bowling Green 28.0 to 17.5
74 Arkansas State over 124 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
4 Florida State over 38 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
45 Pittsburgh over 77 Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
241 Alcorn State over 242 Texas Southern 31.5 to 24.5
10 Georgia over 50 Auburn 31.5 to 21.0
94 Western Michigan over 151 Buffalo 31.5 to 24.5
116 Samford over 174 Elon 28.0 to 21.0
214 Florida A&M over 225 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 21.0
170 Georgetown over 178 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
201 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 233 Grambling 31.5 to 17.5
16 Wisconsin over 104 Indiana 42.0 to 21.0
182 Jackson State over 213 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 21.0
25 Nebraska over 23 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
125 Wyoming over 200 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
227 Norfolk State over 228 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
28 North Carolina over 48 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 28.0
141 Northern Arizona over 147 Southern Utah 24.5 to 21.0
176 North Texas over 203 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
5 Oklahoma over 44 Baylor 49.0 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma State over 34 West Virginia 45.5 to 31.5
27 Harvard over 108 Pennsylvania 38.5 to 21.0
159 Coastal Carolina over 232 Presbyterian 42.0 to 21.0
86 Richmond over 103 Delaware 28.0 to 21.0
58 San Diego State over 91 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5
193 Alabama State over 229 Southern 28.0 to 21.0
19 Southern California over 35 Arizona State 42.0 to 28.0
90 Southern Methodist over 121 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
39 Cincinnati over 93 Temple 35.0 to 24.5
118 Wagner over 144 Holy Cross 28.0 to 17.5
179 Weber State over 207 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
88 Wofford over 114 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
161 Cornell over 208 Columbia 35.0 to 28.0
223 Delaware State over 222 Hampton 21.0 to 21.0
150 Eastern Kentucky over 154 Murray State 35.0 to 28.0
143 Central Michigan over 191 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
234 Lamar over 237 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
82 Lehigh over 106 Colgate 42.0 to 35.0
99 Stony Brook over 164 Liberty 31.5 to 24.5
177 Dayton over 209 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
83 Kent State over 131 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
37 Vanderbilt over 71 Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
224 Prairie View over 236 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
189 South Carolina State over 218 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 17.5
75 North Carolina State over 72 Wake Forest 28.0 to 24.5
89 Old Dominion over 119 William & Mary 35.0 to 28.0
40 Louisville over 65 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
67 Navy over 135 Troy State 38.5 to 31.5
30 Miami - Florida over 57 Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
26 Utah over 49 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
167 Yale over 162 Princeton 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
202 Akron over 192 Massachusetts 31.5 to 31.5
120 Marshall over 156 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 31.5
184 Central Connecticut over 166 Bryant 31.5 to 31.5
226 Gardner - Webb over 231 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 28.0
140 Nevada - Las Vegas over 165 Colorado State 28.0 to 28.0
105 Brown over 123 Dartmouth 21.0 to 17.5
155 Duquesne over 133 Albany 24.5 to 21.0
175 Fordham over 157 Lafayette 31.5 to 31.5
61 Tulsa over 80 Houston 38.5 to 38.5
96 Illinois over 85 Minnesota 24.5 to 24.5
199 Memphis over 197 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
66 Nevada - Reno over 63 Fresno State 38.5 to 35.0
183 Robert Morris over 206 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
22 Missouri over 47 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0
172 Tennessee - Martin over 205 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 31.5
20 Texas Christian over 11 Kansas State 31.5 to 31.5
171 McNeese State over 194 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 28.0
243 Davidson over 245 Valparaiso 31.5 to 28.0
68 James Madison over 92 Villanova 24.5 to 24.5
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