ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Alabama over 46 Auburn 35.0 to 10.5 59 Central Florida over 199 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 14.0 80-90% chance of victory: 74 Toledo over 204 Akron 49.0 to 17.5 38 Cincinnati over 65 South Florida 28.0 to 17.5 40 Utah over 154 Colorado 35.0 to 14.0 39 Northern Illinois over 165 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 17.5 41 Washington over 131 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0 6 Florida State over 13 Florida 28.0 to 17.5 89 Houston over 201 Tulane 49.0 to 24.5 100 Louisiana - Lafayette over 203 South Alabama 42.0 to 17.5 54 Louisville over 66 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5 43 Brigham Young over 207 New Mexico State 38.5 to 7.0 34 North Carolina over 84 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0 52 Northwestern over 97 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5 58 Utah State over 197 Idaho 45.5 to 17.5 28 Virginia Tech over 76 Virginia 35.0 to 14.0 35 Vanderbilt over 98 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 4 Louisiana State over 47 Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5 23 Nebraska over 60 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0 88 Ball State over 147 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5 108 Bowling Green over 145 Buffalo 28.0 to 21.0 146 Colorado State over 190 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0 25 Miami - Florida over 103 Duke 38.5 to 21.0 57 Fresno State over 96 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5 8 Georgia over 33 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 24.5 143 Hawaii over 175 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 21.0 37 Michigan State over 93 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5 48 North Carolina State over 69 Boston College 31.5 to 21.0 12 Ohio State over 21 Michigan 35.0 to 24.5 75 Purdue over 137 Indiana 42.0 to 28.0 45 Tulsa over 107 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0 62 Tennessee over 79 Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5 17 Texas over 20 Texas Christian 31.5 to 21.0 10 Texas A&M over 31 Missouri 38.5 to 24.5 148 Western Kentucky over 166 North Texas 31.5 to 24.5 56 San Diego State over 113 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 106 East Carolina over 119 Marshall 35.0 to 31.5 95 Kent State over 111 Ohio 31.5 to 24.5 5 Stanford over 32 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 21.0 18 Clemson over 16 South Carolina 35.0 to 28.0 26 Mississippi State over 64 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5 22 Baylor over 55 Texas Tech 49.0 to 35.0 2 Oregon over 19 Oregon State 38.5 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 36 Arizona over 27 Arizona State 35.0 to 31.5 136 Central Michigan over 161 Massachusetts 28.0 to 28.0 50 Syracuse over 63 Temple 31.5 to 28.0 133 Florida International over 112 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0 30 West Virginia over 44 Iowa State 35.0 to 31.5 128 Southern Mississippi over 157 Memphis 31.5 to 28.0 141 Middle Tennessee State over 129 Troy State 31.5 to 31.5 228 Southern over 231 Grambling 28.0 to 28.0 7 Oklahoma over 3 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 38.5 11 Wisconsin over 24 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0 53 Pittsburgh over 42 Rutgers 21.0 to 17.5 67 Louisiana Tech over 87 San Jose State 35.0 to 35.0 15 Southern California over 9 Notre Dame 28.0 to 24.5 130 Texas - El Paso over 115 Rice 31.5 to 31.5 193 Texas - San Antonio over 178 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
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