ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 76 Navy over 144 Army 35.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 187 Jackson State over 208 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 24.5 45 North Dakota State over 73 Wofford 28.0 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 110 Eastern Washington over 113 Illinois State 35.0 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 97 Montana State over 88 Sam Houston State 24.5 to 24.5 77 Old Dominion over 72 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 35.0
ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 15 Boise State over 57 Washington 31.5 to 17.5 30 Virginia Tech over 56 Rutgers 21.0 to 14.0 25 Arizona State over 76 Navy 35.0 to 21.0 11 Oklahoma State over 66 Purdue 45.5 to 24.5 7 Florida over 52 Louisville 31.5 to 14.0 1 Alabama over 9 Notre Dame 24.5 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 59 Central Florida over 98 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5 54 Fresno State over 86 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5 32 Cincinnati over 99 Duke 42.0 to 24.5 49 Texas Tech over 90 Minnesota 38.5 to 28.0 19 West Virginia over 55 Syracuse 42.0 to 28.0 17 Texas Christian over 28 Michigan State 24.5 to 17.5 3 Louisiana State over 20 Clemson 35.0 to 24.5 16 Southern California over 37 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 24.5 34 Vanderbilt over 44 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0 13 Florida State over 41 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5 8 Georgia over 42 Nebraska 38.5 to 24.5 12 South Carolina over 21 Michigan 28.0 to 21.0 2 Oregon over 18 Kansas State 45.5 to 31.5 29 Pittsburgh over 61 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5 60 Arkansas State over 89 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 36 Arizona over 65 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 31.5 87 San Jose State over 108 Bowling Green 24.5 to 21.0 22 Baylor over 43 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 31.5 95 Air Force over 124 Rice 31.5 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 64 Utah State over 69 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5 35 Brigham Young over 62 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5 101 East Carolina over 107 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 35.0 132 Central Michigan over 138 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0 104 Ohio over 116 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0 23 Texas over 24 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0 51 Tulsa over 53 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5 38 Mississippi State over 47 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0 6 Wisconsin over 4 Stanford 31.5 to 31.5 5 Oklahoma over 10 Texas A&M 38.5 to 35.0
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