ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
16 Boise State over 56 Washington 31.5 to 17.5
25 Arizona State over 83 Navy 35.0 to 17.5
10 Oklahoma State over 67 Purdue 45.5 to 24.5
5 Florida over 50 Louisville 31.5 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 9 Notre Dame 24.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
55 Central Florida over 98 Ball State 35.0 to 24.5
57 Fresno State over 84 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5
32 Cincinnati over 97 Duke 38.5 to 24.5
48 Texas Tech over 88 Minnesota 38.5 to 28.0
29 Virginia Tech over 53 Rutgers 21.0 to 17.5
20 West Virginia over 58 Syracuse 38.5 to 28.0
18 Texas Christian over 28 Michigan State 24.5 to 17.5
3 Louisiana State over 19 Clemson 35.0 to 24.5
15 Southern California over 42 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 24.5
33 Vanderbilt over 44 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
12 Florida State over 41 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
7 Georgia over 34 Nebraska 38.5 to 24.5
13 South Carolina over 22 Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
2 Oregon over 17 Kansas State 45.5 to 31.5
35 Pittsburgh over 63 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
47 North Dakota State over 60 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 21.0
38 Arizona over 66 Nevada - Reno 42.0 to 35.0
87 San Jose State over 107 Bowling Green 24.5 to 21.0
24 Baylor over 43 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 35.0
94 Air Force over 124 Rice 35.0 to 28.0
47 North Dakota State over 69 Sam Houston State 24.5 to 21.0
65 Arkansas State over 90 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
69 Sam Houston State over 100 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 31.5
64 Utah State over 72 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
36 Brigham Young over 62 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5
99 East Carolina over 108 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 35.0
132 Central Michigan over 138 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
103 Ohio over 112 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0
21 Texas over 23 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0
54 Tulsa over 52 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
37 Mississippi State over 46 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
6 Stanford over 8 Wisconsin 31.5 to 31.5
4 Oklahoma over 11 Texas A&M 38.5 to 35.0
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