ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
42 Boise State over 224 Southern Mississippi 49.0 to 10.5
2 Oregon over 117 California 59.5 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
30 Georgia Tech over 91 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
153 North Carolina A&T over 205 Howard 31.5 to 14.0
73 Brigham Young over 197 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 10.5
210 Alabama A&M over 239 Texas Southern 31.5 to 17.5
78 Alabama State over 230 Alcorn State 42.0 to 14.0
1 Texas A&M over 80 Arkansas 49.0 to 24.5
5 Florida State over 140 Boston College 42.0 to 7.0
141 Bowling Green over 200 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
79 Sacred Heart over 215 Bucknell 31.5 to 17.5
11 Clemson over 166 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
35 Coastal Carolina over 225 Elon 49.0 to 21.0
7 Georgia Southern over 113 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 17.5
154 Temple over 246 Idaho 45.5 to 17.5
70 Illinois over 241 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 10.5
85 Jacksonville over 193 Butler 45.5 to 24.5
62 Jacksonville State over 147 Murray State 49.0 to 28.0
58 Florida over 155 Kentucky 31.5 to 10.5
44 Missouri over 162 Arkansas State 38.5 to 14.0
132 San Diego State over 242 New Mexico State 49.0 to 24.5
63 North Carolina over 119 East Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
71 North Carolina State over 219 Central Michigan 38.5 to 10.5
177 Northeast Louisiana over 222 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
22 Montana over 150 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 14.0
4 Ohio State over 24 Wisconsin 38.5 to 24.5
41 Oregon State over 172 Colorado 45.5 to 21.0
131 Samford over 227 Western Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
203 Delaware State over 251 Savannah State 49.0 to 21.0
9 North Dakota State over 95 South Dakota State 38.5 to 17.5
20 Youngstown State over 144 Southern Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
40 Miami - Florida over 189 South Florida 42.0 to 17.5
33 Towson over 108 Stony Brook 31.5 to 21.0
55 Texas Christian over 122 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 17.5
67 Vanderbilt over 148 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 21.0
171 Robert Morris over 247 Virginia Military 31.5 to 10.5
6 Oklahoma State over 99 West Virginia 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
56 Utah State over 114 San Jose State 31.5 to 21.0
12 Alabama over 45 Mississippi 35.0 to 21.0
98 Appalachian State over 182 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 17.5
29 Arizona State over 68 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5
231 California - Davis over 248 Idaho State 45.5 to 17.5
146 Colorado State over 184 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
120 Dayton over 156 Marist 28.0 to 14.0
26 Fresno State over 191 Hawaii 45.5 to 24.5
180 Morehead State over 243 Davidson 38.5 to 28.0
107 Nevada - Reno over 161 Air Force 38.5 to 28.0
32 Stanford over 123 Washington State 35.0 to 17.5
165 South Carolina State over 211 Hampton 31.5 to 17.5
129 Tennessee - Martin over 236 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 21.0
81 Tennessee over 190 South Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
82 California Poly over 125 Portland State 38.5 to 31.5
124 Tulsa over 135 Iowa State 28.0 to 28.0
97 Toledo over 118 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
168 Connecticut over 194 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
19 South Carolina over 66 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
115 Monmouth over 212 Columbia 31.5 to 21.0
127 Dartmouth over 160 Holy Cross 24.5 to 17.5
51 Delaware over 74 James Madison 31.5 to 28.0
121 Duke over 157 Troy State 42.0 to 31.5
36 Eastern Illinois over 96 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 31.5
134 Princeton over 173 Georgetown 28.0 to 24.5
10 Louisiana State over 18 Georgia 35.0 to 31.5
15 Harvard over 83 Brown 35.0 to 21.0
23 Lehigh over 49 New Hampshire 38.5 to 31.5
48 Iowa over 57 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0
175 Missouri State over 178 Illinois State 31.5 to 28.0
228 Norfolk State over 240 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
192 New Mexico over 204 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 28.0
145 Louisiana Tech over 206 Army 35.0 to 21.0
72 Montana State over 128 North Dakota 38.5 to 31.5
174 Southern Utah over 213 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
8 McNeese State over 43 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
16 Oklahoma over 46 Notre Dame 24.5 to 21.0
31 Old Dominion over 100 Albany 45.5 to 35.0
87 Pittsburgh over 112 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
201 North Carolina - Charlot over 238 Presbyterian 28.0 to 17.5
60 Northern Illinois over 116 Purdue 38.5 to 31.5
130 Central Connecticut over 223 Rhode Island 35.0 to 24.5
176 Rice over 207 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
50 Fordham over 136 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 28.0
13 Sam Houston State over 59 Eastern Washington 49.0 to 35.0
164 Jackson State over 216 Southern 35.0 to 24.5
86 Stephen F. Austin over 169 Prairie View 45.5 to 35.0
167 Indiana State over 181 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
76 Houston over 151 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 24.5
93 Wyoming over 188 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 21.0
137 The Citadel over 159 Furman 38.5 to 31.5
250 Campbell over 252 Valparaiso 38.5 to 31.5
69 Villanova over 94 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 21.0
139 Bryant over 186 Wagner 28.0 to 24.5
202 Sacramento State over 218 Weber State 31.5 to 28.0
214 South Dakota over 234 Western Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
90 Navy over 142 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
163 Kent State over 199 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
235 Grambling over 232 Lamar 24.5 to 24.5
110 Drake over 208 Mercer 31.5 to 28.0
75 Maine over 105 Richmond 24.5 to 21.0
209 Stetson over 138 San Diego 31.5 to 28.0
38 Arizona over 61 Washington 31.5 to 28.0
158 Yale over 126 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net