ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
17 Louisville over 188 Temple 42.0 to 14.0
95 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 224 Western Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
101 Tennessee State over 240 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
147 Ohio over 206 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
12 Alabama over 219 Georgia State 49.0 to 7.0
4 Baylor over 81 West Virginia 49.0 to 24.5
162 Bowling Green over 234 Massachusetts 31.5 to 10.5
85 Brown over 180 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
165 Buffalo over 232 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
2 Oregon over 176 Colorado 59.5 to 14.0
123 Dayton over 242 Davidson 38.5 to 7.0
103 Bethune - Cookman over 201 Delaware State 31.5 to 17.5
119 Eastern Kentucky over 249 Austin Peay 45.5 to 10.5
63 Eastern Washington over 231 Weber State 45.5 to 21.0
58 Florida over 79 Arkansas 28.0 to 17.5
3 Florida State over 39 Maryland 42.0 to 17.5
132 Furman over 211 Elon 42.0 to 24.5
16 Harvard over 124 Holy Cross 42.0 to 21.0
40 Fresno State over 238 Idaho 56.0 to 24.5
118 North Dakota over 251 Idaho State 56.0 to 21.0
26 Youngstown State over 145 Indiana State 42.0 to 21.0
29 Texas Tech over 183 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0
34 Northern Illinois over 143 Kent State 38.5 to 24.5
141 Marist over 248 Valparaiso 49.0 to 14.0
57 Central Florida over 209 Memphis 38.5 to 14.0
36 Michigan over 94 Minnesota 38.5 to 21.0
43 Montana State over 121 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 21.0
37 Nebraska over 77 Illinois 38.5 to 24.5
208 Norfolk State over 252 Savannah State 45.5 to 14.0
5 Ohio State over 25 Northwestern 45.5 to 28.0
146 Prairie View over 243 Grambling 42.0 to 24.5
10 Oklahoma over 38 Texas Christian 35.0 to 21.0
102 Princeton over 223 Columbia 38.5 to 17.5
84 Sacred Heart over 203 Wagner 35.0 to 14.0
14 Georgia Southern over 114 Samford 38.5 to 21.0
18 South Carolina over 167 Kentucky 38.5 to 10.5
65 Cincinnati over 179 South Florida 38.5 to 21.0
75 Alabama State over 235 Texas Southern 42.0 to 14.0
110 Toledo over 205 Western Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
80 Virginia Tech over 105 North Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
53 North Carolina State over 196 Wake Forest 35.0 to 14.0
181 Wofford over 246 Presbyterian 35.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
127 Boston College over 193 Army 31.5 to 17.5
66 Penn State over 86 Indiana 38.5 to 24.5
168 Jackson State over 202 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0
76 James Madison over 144 Albany 31.5 to 17.5
156 Lafayette over 221 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
22 Miami - Florida over 44 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 24.5
69 East Carolina over 204 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0
64 Montana over 122 Portland State 42.0 to 21.0
220 New Mexico over 241 New Mexico State 38.5 to 28.0
9 North Dakota State over 23 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 14.0
6 Oklahoma State over 35 Kansas State 38.5 to 28.0
11 Old Dominion over 71 Liberty 49.0 to 31.5
175 Sacramento State over 217 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
73 Rutgers over 131 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 17.5
172 Southern Utah over 233 California - Davis 28.0 to 14.0
13 Clemson over 62 Syracuse 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
59 Texas over 92 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
151 Western Kentucky over 207 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0
24 Utah over 20 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 28.0
89 Nevada - Reno over 128 San Diego State 35.0 to 35.0
41 Utah State over 72 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
225 Alabama A&M over 236 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 14.0
166 Alabama - Birmingham over 213 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
61 Mississippi over 88 Auburn 28.0 to 24.5
82 California Poly over 150 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
174 Morehead State over 250 Campbell 49.0 to 31.5
148 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 184 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 35.0
133 Cornell over 134 Colgate 38.5 to 35.0
107 Jacksonville over 182 Drake 42.0 to 35.0
33 Lehigh over 67 Fordham 38.5 to 31.5
129 San Jose State over 195 Hawaii 31.5 to 24.5
199 North Carolina Central over 212 Howard 31.5 to 24.5
177 Illinois State over 230 Western Illinois 35.0 to 21.0
106 Louisiana - Lafayette over 160 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
78 Maine over 56 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
108 Marshall over 187 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 28.0
210 Central Michigan over 237 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
8 Louisiana State over 51 Mississippi State 31.5 to 21.0
97 Monmouth over 157 Robert Morris 31.5 to 21.0
214 Florida A&M over 239 Morgan State 31.5 to 21.0
125 Navy over 149 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5
21 Arizona State over 46 Notre Dame 31.5 to 28.0
194 North Carolina - Charlot over 226 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 17.5
111 Pennsylvania over 140 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
169 Missouri State over 215 South Dakota 21.0 to 14.0
96 South Dakota State over 142 Southern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
228 Southern Mississippi over 245 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
28 Stanford over 50 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
15 Georgia over 83 Tennessee 45.5 to 31.5
74 Jacksonville State over 136 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 24.5
171 Louisiana Tech over 190 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 35.0
120 Appalachian State over 164 The Citadel 35.0 to 31.5
30 Towson over 49 New Hampshire 35.0 to 28.0
161 Troy State over 192 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
185 North Texas over 198 Tulane 31.5 to 28.0
126 Tulsa over 186 Rice 38.5 to 28.0
27 Missouri over 55 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
60 Villanova over 100 William & Mary 24.5 to 14.0
113 Virginia over 117 Ball State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
137 Butler over 191 Stetson 35.0 to 31.5
116 California over 139 Washington State 31.5 to 31.5
70 McNeese State over 87 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 28.0
52 Michigan State over 54 Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
130 Murray State over 159 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 38.5
153 North Carolina A&T over 163 South Carolina State 17.5 to 17.5
109 Mercer over 158 San Diego 24.5 to 24.5
155 Southeast Louisiana over 178 Incarnate Word 31.5 to 28.0
91 Bryant over 112 Stony Brook 28.0 to 28.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net