ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
41 Eastern Illinois over 250 Austin Peay 52.5 to 14.0
71 Cincinnati over 197 Temple 35.0 to 14.0
20 Arizona State over 179 Colorado 49.0 to 21.0
151 Arkansas State over 243 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5
186 Army over 240 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
90 Auburn over 226 Western Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
49 Montana over 208 California - Davis 35.0 to 10.5
26 California - Los Angeles over 147 California 49.0 to 21.0
99 California Poly over 217 Weber State 42.0 to 21.0
8 Clemson over 134 Boston College 45.5 to 17.5
32 Coastal Carolina over 219 Gardner - Webb 52.5 to 21.0
48 Lehigh over 231 Columbia 45.5 to 17.5
16 Harvard over 180 Cornell 45.5 to 21.0
88 Marshall over 200 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 24.5
61 Fordham over 190 Georgetown 42.0 to 24.5
21 Georgia Southern over 139 The Citadel 49.0 to 24.5
46 Houston over 209 Memphis 45.5 to 21.0
114 Bethune - Cookman over 220 Howard 38.5 to 14.0
10 Alabama over 137 Kentucky 42.0 to 10.5
6 Louisiana State over 45 Florida 31.5 to 21.0
53 Michigan State over 74 Indiana 38.5 to 24.5
1 Texas A&M over 67 Mississippi 49.0 to 28.0
58 Mississippi State over 167 Bowling Green 31.5 to 14.0
57 New Hampshire over 193 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
173 Northwestern State over 248 Nicholls State 42.0 to 21.0
14 North Dakota State over 182 Missouri State 42.0 to 3.5
30 Northern Illinois over 225 Akron 56.0 to 17.5
23 Northern Iowa over 126 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 17.5
11 Oklahoma over 56 Texas 35.0 to 24.5
119 Ohio over 205 Central Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
34 Nebraska over 143 Purdue 42.0 to 24.5
97 Sacred Heart over 171 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
9 Sam Houston State over 224 Lamar 56.0 to 14.0
215 Florida A&M over 251 Savannah State 42.0 to 21.0
39 Texas Christian over 201 Kansas 42.0 to 10.5
177 Texas State - San Marcos over 221 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 17.5
28 Texas Tech over 82 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
73 East Carolina over 198 Tulane 42.0 to 24.5
170 Charleston Southern over 244 Virginia Military 35.0 to 17.5
3 Oregon over 62 Washington 45.5 to 24.5
85 South Dakota State over 233 Western Illinois 31.5 to 10.5
131 Wofford over 206 Elon 38.5 to 14.0
18 Youngstown State over 146 Illinois State 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
13 Louisville over 52 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
78 Alabama State over 136 Prairie View 38.5 to 24.5
19 South Carolina over 83 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
86 Ball State over 163 Kent State 35.0 to 24.5
132 Holy Cross over 222 Bucknell 28.0 to 17.5
166 Butler over 246 Campbell 49.0 to 24.5
111 Drake over 241 Davidson 38.5 to 14.0
93 Duquesne over 189 Wagner 31.5 to 17.5
164 North Carolina A&T over 216 Hampton 28.0 to 17.5
214 Northern Colorado over 249 Idaho State 45.5 to 24.5
50 James Madison over 105 Richmond 31.5 to 17.5
66 Maryland over 145 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
75 Princeton over 133 Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
91 Monmouth over 144 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 24.5
100 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 157 Furman 35.0 to 21.0
60 Virginia Tech over 79 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 17.5
27 Wisconsin over 35 Northwestern 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
125 San Diego State over 165 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
161 South Carolina State over 188 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 24.5
142 Tennessee - Martin over 176 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 28.0
192 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 237 Texas Southern 35.0 to 24.5
55 Brigham Young over 47 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
124 San Jose State over 150 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0
160 South Florida over 194 Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
68 Delaware over 155 Albany 35.0 to 24.5
203 Delaware State over 212 Norfolk State 21.0 to 21.0
185 Alabama - Birmingham over 238 Florida International 35.0 to 28.0
15 Georgia over 17 Missouri 38.5 to 35.0
168 Troy State over 218 Georgia State 35.0 to 31.5
72 Jacksonville State over 113 Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
4 Baylor over 31 Kansas State 45.5 to 35.0
236 Massachusetts over 239 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
121 Mercer over 252 Valparaiso 42.0 to 14.0
149 Jackson State over 227 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 17.5
229 Alcorn State over 245 Grambling 31.5 to 21.0
196 Hawaii over 202 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 31.5
95 North Carolina State over 80 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
43 Eastern Washington over 158 North Dakota 42.0 to 28.0
204 North Texas over 213 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
29 Michigan over 84 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
102 San Diego over 156 Marist 35.0 to 21.0
159 Indiana State over 211 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
141 Murray State over 234 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 31.5
210 Southern over 235 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
135 Portland State over 199 Southern Utah 31.5 to 31.5
140 Tulsa over 191 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 31.5
22 Towson over 59 Villanova 31.5 to 24.5
24 Boise State over 64 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5
40 Oregon State over 120 Washington State 35.0 to 28.0
153 Buffalo over 207 Western Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
110 William & Mary over 109 Pennsylvania 24.5 to 21.0
148 Wyoming over 175 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
63 Southern California over 42 Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
89 Samford over 130 Appalachian State 31.5 to 28.0
103 Brown over 118 Bryant 24.5 to 24.5
108 Stony Brook over 104 Colgate 28.0 to 28.0
127 Yale over 128 Dartmouth 21.0 to 21.0
98 Duke over 115 Navy 28.0 to 28.0
107 Abilene Christian over 232 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 28.0
154 Northern Arizona over 181 Sacramento State 21.0 to 21.0
162 Southeast Louisiana over 116 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 38.5
123 Dayton over 184 Stetson 28.0 to 24.5
169 Rice over 195 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 28.0
36 Utah over 33 Stanford 31.5 to 28.0
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