ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 5 Ohio State over 73 Iowa 42.0 to 17.5 80-90% chance of victory: 26 Miami - Florida over 112 North Carolina 38.5 to 24.5 16 Louisville over 72 Central Florida 31.5 to 17.5 7 Alabama over 105 Arkansas 42.0 to 10.5 21 Arizona State over 64 Washington 38.5 to 28.0 3 Baylor over 91 Iowa State 52.5 to 24.5 109 Bethune - Cookman over 250 Savannah State 52.5 to 7.0 14 Boise State over 92 Nevada - Reno 49.0 to 24.5 137 Buffalo over 236 Massachusetts 31.5 to 14.0 32 Oregon State over 144 California 45.5 to 28.0 117 Jacksonville over 243 Campbell 42.0 to 17.5 40 Northern Illinois over 200 Central Michigan 42.0 to 21.0 61 Cincinnati over 194 Connecticut 35.0 to 10.5 2 Florida State over 11 Clemson 42.0 to 28.0 119 Pennsylvania over 219 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5 127 Dartmouth over 222 Bucknell 28.0 to 14.0 135 Marist over 246 Davidson 31.5 to 10.5 99 East Carolina over 220 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 21.0 39 Eastern Illinois over 224 Southeast Missouri State 49.0 to 21.0 114 Eastern Kentucky over 183 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 21.0 150 Ohio over 237 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0 46 Eastern Washington over 178 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5 101 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 205 Elon 38.5 to 21.0 31 Fresno State over 191 Nevada - Las Vegas 56.0 to 28.0 10 Harvard over 132 Lafayette 49.0 to 21.0 17 Wisconsin over 86 Illinois 35.0 to 17.5 143 Jackson State over 248 Grambling 42.0 to 10.5 22 Oklahoma over 187 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0 44 Lehigh over 195 Georgetown 42.0 to 14.0 59 Michigan State over 168 Purdue 38.5 to 10.5 6 Louisiana State over 76 Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0 158 Murray State over 252 Austin Peay 49.0 to 21.0 74 Utah State over 176 New Mexico 38.5 to 24.5 165 Rice over 245 New Mexico State 45.5 to 21.0 139 Northern Arizona over 244 Idaho State 52.5 to 17.5 42 Northern Iowa over 202 South Dakota 35.0 to 7.0 8 Oklahoma State over 35 Texas Christian 38.5 to 28.0 4 Oregon over 148 Washington State 56.0 to 14.0 106 Richmond over 209 Rhode Island 35.0 to 17.5 15 North Dakota State over 108 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 21.0 9 South Carolina over 80 Tennessee 42.0 to 21.0 1 Texas A&M over 70 Auburn 49.0 to 24.5 53 Maryland over 181 Wake Forest 35.0 to 17.5 48 Montana State over 230 Weber State 45.5 to 17.5 120 Wofford over 239 Western Carolina 49.0 to 14.0 90 Ball State over 225 Western Michigan 42.0 to 21.0 20 Youngstown State over 227 Western Illinois 49.0 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 96 Central Arkansas over 214 Lamar 31.5 to 14.0 125 Southern Methodist over 212 Memphis 31.5 to 21.0 29 Michigan over 85 Indiana 49.0 to 31.5 45 Montana over 79 California Poly 31.5 to 21.0 126 Southeast Louisiana over 197 Northwestern State 35.0 to 24.5 136 Prairie View over 232 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 21.0 67 Duquesne over 170 Robert Morris 31.5 to 17.5 145 Stephen F. Austin over 240 Nicholls State 45.5 to 28.0 182 Texas State - San Marcos over 217 Georgia State 31.5 to 17.5 185 Morehead State over 249 Valparaiso 52.5 to 35.0 60-70% chance of victory: 110 Louisiana - Lafayette over 154 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 31.5 78 Abilene Christian over 229 Incarnate Word 35.0 to 17.5 36 Towson over 128 Albany 35.0 to 24.5 30 Utah over 41 Arizona 31.5 to 31.5 75 Brown over 84 Princeton 31.5 to 24.5 89 Sacred Heart over 157 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5 116 Drake over 161 Butler 31.5 to 24.5 216 Florida A&M over 218 Howard 28.0 to 21.0 138 Appalachian State over 162 Furman 31.5 to 28.0 58 Georgia Tech over 63 Syracuse 31.5 to 28.0 115 Holy Cross over 146 Colgate 38.5 to 28.0 50 Brigham Young over 62 Houston 35.0 to 28.0 140 Illinois State over 171 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5 28 Coastal Carolina over 81 Liberty 35.0 to 31.5 156 Louisiana Tech over 190 North Texas 31.5 to 28.0 55 Maine over 98 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5 19 Sam Houston State over 54 McNeese State 35.0 to 31.5 210 Akron over 238 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 24.5 12 Missouri over 47 Florida 28.0 to 17.5 83 South Dakota State over 164 Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5 131 Monmouth over 166 Cornell 35.0 to 24.5 215 Norfolk State over 203 Hampton 24.5 to 21.0 179 North Carolina A&T over 193 Delaware State 24.5 to 17.5 213 North Carolina Central over 231 Morgan State 31.5 to 24.5 226 California - Davis over 234 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 21.0 49 Northwestern over 104 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5 37 Notre Dame over 60 Southern California 28.0 to 21.0 13 Old Dominion over 95 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 31.5 242 Presbyterian over 247 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0 172 Kent State over 184 South Alabama 28.0 to 24.5 188 Temple over 175 Army 28.0 to 28.0 94 Tennessee State over 133 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 21.0 208 Alcorn State over 228 Texas Southern 31.5 to 24.5 102 Toledo over 149 Navy 31.5 to 21.0 25 Georgia over 71 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 31.5 82 Duke over 142 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0 27 Texas Tech over 88 West Virginia 38.5 to 31.5 152 Wyoming over 153 Colorado State 31.5 to 31.5 69 Fordham over 129 Yale 24.5 to 21.0 50-60% chance of victory: 201 Southern over 211 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 31.5 173 Charleston Southern over 180 Colorado 28.0 to 28.0 107 Dayton over 93 San Diego 31.5 to 28.0 51 Villanova over 52 New Hampshire 31.5 to 31.5 159 North Dakota over 167 Sacramento State 31.5 to 28.0 18 California - Los Angeles over 34 Stanford 28.0 to 28.0
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