ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
2 Florida State over 95 North Carolina State 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
108 Marshall over 223 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 24.5
57 Mississippi State over 158 Kentucky 35.0 to 17.5
38 Notre Dame over 170 Air Force 35.0 to 14.0
86 Ball State over 212 Akron 42.0 to 24.5
5 Alabama over 71 Tennessee 45.5 to 14.0
17 Georgia Southern over 152 Appalachian State 42.0 to 24.5
52 Auburn over 208 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 10.5
159 Tennessee - Martin over 252 Austin Peay 38.5 to 10.5
68 Duquesne over 163 Bryant 35.0 to 24.5
42 Lehigh over 198 Bucknell 35.0 to 14.0
98 California Poly over 160 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
50 Central Florida over 185 Connecticut 38.5 to 14.0
29 Coastal Carolina over 245 Virginia Military 59.5 to 17.5
35 Arizona over 154 Colorado 42.0 to 24.5
96 Brown over 171 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
157 Dartmouth over 220 Columbia 28.0 to 17.5
137 Drake over 251 Valparaiso 49.0 to 10.5
8 Harvard over 76 Princeton 42.0 to 24.5
12 North Dakota State over 197 Indiana State 45.5 to 7.0
7 Oklahoma State over 123 Iowa State 42.0 to 17.5
113 Jacksonville over 246 Davidson 45.5 to 17.5
1 Baylor over 174 Kansas 59.5 to 17.5
39 Kansas State over 93 West Virginia 38.5 to 24.5
9 Louisiana State over 149 Furman 42.0 to 10.5
15 Clemson over 99 Maryland 38.5 to 24.5
25 Miami - Florida over 144 Wake Forest 38.5 to 14.0
60 Mississippi over 241 Idaho 52.5 to 14.0
46 Montana State over 209 California - Davis 38.5 to 14.0
80 Dayton over 181 Morehead State 45.5 to 24.5
103 Alabama State over 230 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 14.0
85 Nevada - Reno over 199 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 24.5
56 McNeese State over 236 Nicholls State 45.5 to 14.0
26 Old Dominion over 226 Norfolk State 45.5 to 17.5
37 Northern Illinois over 234 Eastern Michigan 56.0 to 17.5
122 Ohio over 242 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 14.0
4 Ohio State over 72 Penn State 42.0 to 21.0
3 Oregon over 33 California - Los Angeles 45.5 to 28.0
53 Delaware over 200 Rhode Island 38.5 to 17.5
67 Sacred Heart over 130 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
11 Sam Houston State over 207 Northwestern State 52.5 to 17.5
120 Eastern Kentucky over 225 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
189 Southern Utah over 243 Idaho State 45.5 to 17.5
32 Louisville over 146 South Florida 38.5 to 21.0
90 Jacksonville State over 186 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 21.0
31 Georgia Tech over 167 Virginia 38.5 to 21.0
81 Washington over 161 California 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
110 Central Arkansas over 140 Stephen F. Austin 45.5 to 31.5
169 Louisiana Tech over 235 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
88 Liberty over 222 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 21.0
114 Colorado State over 204 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
66 Michigan State over 101 Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
92 Illinois State over 172 South Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
24 Nebraska over 87 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
18 Towson over 118 Richmond 35.0 to 21.0
124 San Jose State over 176 Wyoming 35.0 to 24.5
216 North Carolina Central over 249 Savannah State 42.0 to 24.5
125 Southeast Louisiana over 214 Lamar 31.5 to 17.5
128 Tulsa over 201 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
156 Missouri State over 215 Western Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
21 Boise State over 48 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
109 Bethune - Cookman over 141 South Carolina State 24.5 to 17.5
75 Toledo over 145 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
148 Mercer over 238 Campbell 35.0 to 24.5
188 North Carolina A&T over 228 Florida A&M 21.0 to 14.0
129 Colgate over 187 Georgetown 35.0 to 28.0
239 Texas Southern over 250 Grambling 28.0 to 21.0
184 Hampton over 183 Delaware State 24.5 to 24.5
138 Holy Cross over 143 Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0
206 Howard over 221 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
73 Iowa over 62 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
139 Buffalo over 190 Kent State 28.0 to 21.0
135 Marist over 202 Stetson 35.0 to 24.5
213 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 240 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 24.5
10 Missouri over 16 South Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
40 Montana over 47 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 24.5
78 Pittsburgh over 133 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
79 Abilene Christian over 247 New Mexico State 45.5 to 21.0
104 North Carolina over 117 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0
210 Northeast Louisiana over 217 Georgia State 28.0 to 21.0
20 Oklahoma over 19 Texas Tech 35.0 to 31.5
116 Pennsylvania over 142 Yale 24.5 to 17.5
147 Portland State over 178 North Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
151 Rice over 182 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
69 Rutgers over 58 Houston 38.5 to 35.0
91 San Diego over 155 Butler 35.0 to 21.0
36 Fresno State over 115 San Diego State 38.5 to 31.5
70 Northern Iowa over 106 South Dakota State 28.0 to 24.5
194 Southern over 219 Alcorn State 31.5 to 24.5
63 Southern California over 44 Utah 24.5 to 21.0
127 Southern Methodist over 162 Temple 31.5 to 24.5
180 North Texas over 227 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
107 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 131 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
97 Tennessee State over 41 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
6 Texas A&M over 51 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 31.5
34 Texas Christian over 43 Texas 31.5 to 24.5
179 Texas State - San Marcos over 168 South Alabama 24.5 to 21.0
64 Villanova over 65 Maine 28.0 to 24.5
74 Virginia Tech over 77 Duke 28.0 to 21.0
205 Elon over 232 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
175 Western Kentucky over 164 Troy State 35.0 to 28.0
45 James Madison over 94 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
112 Wofford over 82 Samford 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
105 Louisiana - Lafayette over 132 Arkansas State 31.5 to 31.5
193 North Carolina - Charlot over 218 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 24.5
248 Houston Baptist over 244 Incarnate Word 24.5 to 21.0
237 Massachusetts over 224 Western Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
136 Jackson State over 121 Prairie View 35.0 to 35.0
22 Oregon State over 30 Stanford 31.5 to 28.0
89 Stony Brook over 54 New Hampshire 28.0 to 28.0
196 Texas - San Antonio over 177 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 31.5
166 Robert Morris over 195 Wagner 21.0 to 21.0
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