ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
2 Florida State over 239 Idaho 73.5 to 0.0
80-90% chance of victory:
136 Buffalo over 244 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 14.0
82 Southeast Louisiana over 228 Nicholls State 45.5 to 14.0
7 Alabama over 91 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 7.0
106 Appalachian State over 229 Western Carolina 49.0 to 17.5
6 Oregon over 60 Arizona 45.5 to 24.5
118 Arkansas State over 223 Georgia State 42.0 to 17.5
93 Liberty over 218 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 14.0
8 Clemson over 135 The Citadel 49.0 to 17.5
50 Southern California over 171 Colorado 38.5 to 14.0
92 Brown over 232 Columbia 31.5 to 10.5
205 Delaware State over 233 Morgan State 31.5 to 17.5
96 Bowling Green over 236 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
32 Eastern Washington over 152 Portland State 49.0 to 28.0
206 Florida Atlantic over 237 New Mexico State 38.5 to 21.0
74 Marshall over 246 Florida International 45.5 to 17.5
22 Fresno State over 199 New Mexico 56.0 to 24.5
12 Georgia over 132 Kentucky 42.0 to 17.5
55 Georgia Tech over 214 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 17.5
126 Southern Illinois over 213 Indiana State 31.5 to 17.5
100 Jacksonville State over 235 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 17.5
76 McNeese State over 204 Lamar 42.0 to 21.0
26 Louisville over 186 Memphis 35.0 to 3.5
67 Miami - Florida over 168 Virginia 38.5 to 21.0
10 Wisconsin over 78 Minnesota 35.0 to 17.5
94 Bethune - Cookman over 219 Florida A&M 35.0 to 14.0
9 North Dakota State over 182 South Dakota 45.5 to 3.5
95 California Poly over 220 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 17.5
65 Northern Iowa over 211 Western Illinois 35.0 to 7.0
3 Ohio State over 114 Indiana 63.0 to 24.5
120 Pennsylvania over 167 Cornell 35.0 to 21.0
111 Samford over 210 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
23 Boise State over 108 San Diego State 35.0 to 21.0
169 Middle Tennessee State over 241 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0
28 Stanford over 154 California 45.5 to 17.5
25 Eastern Illinois over 155 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 24.5
197 Tennessee Tech over 251 Austin Peay 42.0 to 21.0
61 Utah State over 117 Colorado State 38.5 to 28.0
173 Bucknell over 243 Virginia Military 28.0 to 7.0
59 Duke over 179 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
16 Harvard over 149 Yale 42.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
162 Air Force over 200 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 28.0
139 Rice over 222 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 24.5
48 Central Florida over 122 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
203 Central Michigan over 240 Massachusetts 28.0 to 17.5
140 Holy Cross over 191 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
51 Lehigh over 113 Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
58 Mississippi State over 127 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
151 North Carolina A&T over 208 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 17.5
80 Stony Brook over 128 Albany 31.5 to 21.0
141 Temple over 195 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
63 Utah over 129 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
227 Weber State over 245 Idaho State 45.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
177 Ohio over 187 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
19 Northern Illinois over 79 Toledo 45.5 to 38.5
97 Navy over 131 San Jose State 31.5 to 24.5
15 Arizona State over 44 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0
20 Sam Houston State over 116 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5
87 Fordham over 144 Colgate 31.5 to 28.0
41 Princeton over 99 Dartmouth 31.5 to 28.0
234 Campbell over 248 Davidson 31.5 to 28.0
70 Florida over 39 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 21.0
42 Cincinnati over 35 Houston 35.0 to 31.5
133 Iowa State over 165 Kansas 28.0 to 21.0
14 Kansas State over 18 Oklahoma 35.0 to 28.0
4 Texas A&M over 11 Louisiana State 42.0 to 35.0
88 Maryland over 85 Boston College 31.5 to 24.5
176 Mercer over 230 Stetson 28.0 to 21.0
17 Missouri over 38 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
101 Monmouth over 119 Duquesne 24.5 to 21.0
31 Montana over 86 Montana State 35.0 to 28.0
138 Eastern Kentucky over 170 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
146 South Carolina State over 217 Norfolk State 24.5 to 14.0
43 East Carolina over 123 North Carolina State 38.5 to 28.0
158 North Texas over 159 Texas - San Antonio 24.5 to 21.0
36 Michigan State over 62 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
29 Notre Dame over 52 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
53 Villanova over 75 Delaware 35.0 to 24.5
54 Oregon State over 68 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
224 Gardner - Webb over 238 Presbyterian 28.0 to 24.5
125 Illinois over 172 Purdue 35.0 to 31.5
66 Richmond over 84 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
157 Sacramento State over 201 California - Davis 28.0 to 24.5
13 South Carolina over 34 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 24.5
150 Southern Utah over 137 Northern Arizona 21.0 to 21.0
110 Southern Methodist over 192 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
83 Pittsburgh over 103 Syracuse 24.5 to 24.5
57 Vanderbilt over 107 Tennessee 35.0 to 24.5
24 Towson over 64 James Madison 31.5 to 24.5
174 Wyoming over 198 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
40 Youngstown State over 69 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
160 Bryant over 161 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 31.5
134 Furman over 130 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5
189 Hampton over 184 Howard 28.0 to 24.5
33 Michigan over 71 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
175 Louisiana Tech over 166 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
221 Morehead State over 216 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 31.5
27 Maine over 46 New Hampshire 31.5 to 28.0
21 Old Dominion over 56 North Carolina 38.5 to 38.5
143 Stephen F. Austin over 193 Northwestern State 42.0 to 42.0
1 Baylor over 5 Oklahoma State 45.5 to 45.5
49 Nebraska over 77 Penn State 28.0 to 28.0
178 Prairie View over 180 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 45.5 to 45.5
147 Robert Morris over 153 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 24.5
188 Northeast Louisiana over 196 South Alabama 28.0 to 24.5
163 Western Kentucky over 185 Texas State - San Marcos 24.5 to 24.5
215 Tulane over 212 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
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