ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
21 Northern Illinois over 214 Western Michigan 52.5 to 17.5
108 Ball State over 243 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 14.0
28 Central Florida over 194 South Florida 38.5 to 10.5
175 Central Michigan over 241 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 21.0
186 Florida Atlantic over 245 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
9 Louisiana State over 119 Arkansas 38.5 to 10.5
196 Ohio over 244 Massachusetts 31.5 to 17.5
8 Oregon over 92 Oregon State 49.0 to 21.0
6 Alabama over 39 Auburn 35.0 to 17.5
36 Boise State over 205 New Mexico 52.5 to 17.5
1 Florida State over 88 Florida 42.0 to 14.0
22 Kansas State over 203 Kansas 42.0 to 14.0
86 Louisiana - Lafayette over 201 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
2 Ohio State over 44 Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
35 Michigan State over 102 Minnesota 28.0 to 10.5
158 Middle Tennessee State over 229 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 17.5
94 San Diego State over 178 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
197 Southern over 239 Grambling 38.5 to 24.5
136 Rice over 200 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
70 Utah over 172 Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
73 Utah State over 159 Wyoming 38.5 to 21.0
55 Vanderbilt over 189 Wake Forest 31.5 to 10.5
57 Virginia Tech over 161 Virginia 35.0 to 17.5
15 Wisconsin over 76 Penn State 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
100 Toledo over 208 Akron 38.5 to 24.5
30 Washington over 122 Washington State 42.0 to 24.5
51 Brigham Young over 115 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
53 Mississippi State over 50 Mississippi 28.0 to 24.5
34 Texas over 40 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5
93 Bowling Green over 129 Buffalo 28.0 to 21.0
54 Houston over 103 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 28.0
38 East Carolina over 78 Marshall 42.0 to 38.5
41 Nebraska over 67 Iowa 28.0 to 21.0
20 Fresno State over 121 San Jose State 49.0 to 31.5
168 Troy State over 210 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 28.0
211 Alabama - Birmingham over 240 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 31.5
14 Arizona State over 25 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5
126 Colorado State over 188 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5
120 Rutgers over 167 Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
174 South Alabama over 217 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0
10 Georgia over 26 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 35.0
191 Hawaii over 198 Army 35.0 to 35.0
77 Northwestern over 125 Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
107 Indiana over 164 Purdue 38.5 to 31.5
5 Texas A&M over 18 Missouri 35.0 to 31.5
232 Idaho over 242 New Mexico State 42.0 to 35.0
16 North Carolina over 62 Duke 45.5 to 28.0
7 South Carolina over 11 Clemson 35.0 to 28.0
49 Southern California over 48 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
19 Stanford over 31 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0
4 Baylor over 37 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
157 Texas - San Antonio over 183 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
143 Tulsa over 190 North Texas 28.0 to 21.0
84 West Virginia over 104 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
52 Miami - Florida over 87 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 28.0
117 Tennessee over 147 Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
176 Memphis over 163 Temple 24.5 to 24.5
130 North Carolina State over 114 Maryland 28.0 to 28.0
75 Boston College over 110 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
140 Western Kentucky over 118 Arkansas State 28.0 to 28.0
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