ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
94 Navy over 199 Army 42.0 to 24.5
11 North Dakota State over 40 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
19 Towson over 27 Eastern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
31 Eastern Washington over 43 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 31.5
21 New Hampshire over 101 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
61 East Carolina over 161 Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
3 Oregon over 24 Texas 38.5 to 24.5
5 Texas A&M over 90 Duke 49.0 to 24.5
9 Louisiana State over 60 Iowa 31.5 to 17.5
6 Alabama over 14 Oklahoma 31.5 to 21.0
1 Florida State over 23 Auburn 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
26 Boise State over 62 Oregon State 35.0 to 28.0
41 Arizona over 84 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5
51 Mississippi State over 121 Rice 35.0 to 21.0
2 Baylor over 38 Central Florida 38.5 to 24.5
12 Georgia over 52 Nebraska 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
112 Colorado State over 134 Washington State 31.5 to 31.5
129 San Diego State over 148 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
128 Louisiana - Lafayette over 209 Tulane 35.0 to 24.5
85 Bowling Green over 87 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5
48 Brigham Young over 45 Washington 28.0 to 24.5
86 Maryland over 104 Marshall 35.0 to 28.0
18 Kansas State over 34 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
37 Louisville over 44 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0
22 North Carolina over 55 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0
32 Notre Dame over 98 Rutgers 28.0 to 17.5
20 Arizona State over 47 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0
94 Navy over 154 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
29 Georgia Tech over 54 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
166 North Texas over 174 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5
8 South Carolina over 16 Wisconsin 28.0 to 21.0
15 Stanford over 30 Michigan State 21.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 13 Clemson 38.5 to 35.0
7 Oklahoma State over 25 Missouri 38.5 to 28.0
39 Houston over 72 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
89 Ball State over 118 Arkansas State 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
57 Southern California over 35 Fresno State 31.5 to 31.5
69 Utah State over 49 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
103 Minnesota over 97 Syracuse 24.5 to 24.5
36 California - Los Angeles over 63 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
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