ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 9 North Dakota State over 47 New Hampshire 35.0 to 14.0 118 Louisiana - Lafayette over 212 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5 56 East Carolina over 161 Ohio 38.5 to 28.0 4 Oregon over 24 Texas 42.0 to 28.0 7 Texas A&M over 85 Duke 49.0 to 28.0 49 Mississippi State over 131 Rice 35.0 to 21.0 10 Louisiana State over 60 Iowa 31.5 to 17.5 6 Alabama over 14 Oklahoma 31.5 to 21.0 1 Florida State over 25 Auburn 45.5 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 23 Boise State over 62 Oregon State 35.0 to 28.0 9 North Dakota State over 19 Towson 35.0 to 24.5 28 Notre Dame over 106 Rutgers 31.5 to 17.5 38 Arizona over 84 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5 2 Baylor over 33 Central Florida 42.0 to 28.0 12 Georgia over 50 Nebraska 38.5 to 28.0 5 Oklahoma State over 20 Missouri 38.5 to 28.0 60-70% chance of victory: 19 Towson over 37 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 35.0 116 Colorado State over 134 Washington State 31.5 to 31.5 127 San Diego State over 147 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5 35 Northern Illinois over 69 Utah State 31.5 to 28.0 48 Brigham Young over 42 Washington 28.0 to 24.5 89 Maryland over 90 Marshall 35.0 to 31.5 18 Kansas State over 29 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 36 Louisville over 43 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 28.0 22 North Carolina over 53 Cincinnati 31.5 to 28.0 15 Arizona State over 46 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5 87 Navy over 154 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5 26 Georgia Tech over 52 Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0 167 North Texas over 174 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5 8 South Carolina over 16 Wisconsin 28.0 to 21.0 17 Stanford over 34 Michigan State 21.0 to 17.5 3 Ohio State over 13 Clemson 38.5 to 35.0 40 Houston over 73 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0 91 Ball State over 120 Arkansas State 35.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 55 Southern California over 30 Fresno State 31.5 to 31.5 83 Pittsburgh over 96 Bowling Green 24.5 to 24.5 105 Minnesota over 98 Syracuse 24.5 to 24.5 32 California - Los Angeles over 61 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
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