Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.62 14.0-1.0 6.4-8.6 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 2 2 7.63 13.0-1.0 5.4-8.6 IA ACC Florida State 3 2 6.51 13.0-2.0 6.5-8.5 IA PAC_12 Oregon 4 2 6.29 12.0-2.0 5.7-8.3 IA SEC Alabama 5 3 5.84 12.0-1.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 6 4 5.36 11.0-3.0 5.6-8.4 IA SEC Missouri 7 4 5.30 11.0-3.0 5.7-8.3 IA ACC Georgia Tech 8 3 5.22 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Baylor 9 4 5.02 10.0-3.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 10 4 4.98 11.0-2.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 11 6 4.44 12.0-2.0 7.6-6.4 IA MWC Boise State 12 5 4.34 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Clemson 13 6 4.20 11.0-3.0 6.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 14 6 4.19 10.0-3.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC Georgia 15 8 3.89 10.0-3.0 6.1-6.9 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 16 8 3.82 10.0-3.0 6.2-6.8 IA SEC Mississippi State 17 8 3.76 10.0-4.0 6.2-7.8 IA PAC_12 Arizona 18 9 3.70 9.0-4.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Mississippi 19 8 3.44 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_12 Utah 20 8 3.43 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA PAC_12 Southern California 21 9 3.37 9.0-4.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Kansas State 22 9 3.30 8.0-5.0 4.7-8.3 IA SEC Auburn 23 9 3.21 13.0-1.0 9.8-4.2 IA CUSA Marshall 24 9 3.10 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Louisville 25 10 3.05 11.0-3.0 7.9-6.1 IA MWC Colorado State 26 12 2.84 8.0-5.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Louisiana State 27 10 2.81 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 28 13 2.72 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 29 12 2.65 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA Indep Notre Dame 30 13 2.49 11.0-3.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Northern Illinois 31 15 2.42 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Texas A&M 32 16 2.30 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 33 16 2.27 8.0-5.0 5.7-7.3 IA PAC_12 Stanford 34 17 2.20 7.0-6.0 4.8-8.2 IA Big_12 West Virginia 35 15 2.18 10.0-3.0 7.8-5.2 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 36 14 2.12 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 37 14 2.06 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 38 14 2.02 7.0-6.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_Ten Maryland 39 14 1.99 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC North Carolina State 40 14 1.98 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IA ACC Duke 41 14 1.97 9.0-4.0 7.0-6.0 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 42 14 1.95 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Florida 43 16 1.82 10.0-4.0 8.2-5.8 IA MWC Utah State 44 17 1.81 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Tennessee 45 16 1.79 10.0-3.0 8.2-4.8 IA MWC Air Force 46 16 1.78 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 47 17 1.75 7.0-6.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Arkansas 48 17 1.67 7.0-6.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC South Carolina 49 17 1.59 9.0-4.0 7.4-5.6 IA MAC Toledo 50 16 1.27 8.0-5.0 6.7-6.3 IA Indep Brigham Young 51 16 1.27 7.0-6.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Virginia Tech 52 14 1.24 9.0-3.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 53 16 1.22 8.0-6.0 6.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Washington 54 15 1.17 7.0-6.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC Boston College 55 15 1.12 6.0-7.0 4.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Texas 56 13 1.05 8.0-5.0 6.9-6.1 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 57 13 1.02 9.0-4.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 58 14 0.91 6.0-7.0 5.1-7.9 IA ACC North Carolina 59 16 0.78 6.0-7.0 5.2-7.8 IA ACC Miami - Florida 60 15 0.74 9.0-5.0 8.3-5.7 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 61 15 0.70 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IA Indep Navy 62 15 0.69 7.0-6.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Iowa 63 16 0.62 7.0-6.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Penn State 64 18 0.31 8.0-5.0 7.7-5.3 IA CUSA Rice 65 19 0.24 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA Amer_Athl Houston 66 18 0.13 6.0-7.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Illinois 67 19 0.04 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Virginia 68 20 -0.11 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC Kentucky 69 21 -0.18 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA MAC Western Michigan 70 21 -0.21 5.0-7.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 California 71 23 -0.24 6.0-7.0 6.2-6.8 IA ACC Pittsburgh 72 21 -0.25 8.0-5.0 8.3-4.7 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 73 22 -0.26 7.0-6.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 74 21 -0.34 8.0-6.0 8.3-5.7 IA MAC Bowling Green 75 20 -0.41 5.0-7.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Michigan 76 20 -0.50 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 77 21 -0.55 6.0-6.0 6.5-5.5 IA Amer_Athl Temple 78 21 -0.56 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 79 21 -0.62 7.0-6.0 7.6-5.4 IA MWC San Diego State 80 22 -0.75 4.0-8.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 81 19 -0.76 7.0-5.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 82 20 -0.96 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 83 18 -1.11 7.0-6.0 8.1-4.9 IA MAC Central Michigan 84 20 -1.12 6.0-8.0 7.1-6.9 IA MWC Fresno State 85 18 -1.15 7.0-6.0 8.1-4.9 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 86 18 -1.24 6.0-6.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Ohio 87 17 -1.35 7.0-5.0 8.3-3.7 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 88 19 -1.39 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 89 19 -1.39 4.0-8.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Indiana 90 18 -1.43 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 91 17 -1.55 6.0-6.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Old Dominion 92 19 -1.70 3.0-9.0 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Kansas 93 19 -1.75 6.0-7.0 7.7-5.3 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 94 18 -1.83 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_12 Washington State 95 18 -1.84 3.0-9.0 4.8-7.2 IA ACC Syracuse 96 18 -1.93 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IA MWC Wyoming 97 15 -2.16 5.0-6.0 7.2-3.8 IA MAC Buffalo 98 18 -2.20 2.0-*** 4.2-7.8 IA Big_12 Iowa State 99 16 -2.27 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IA MAC Ball State 100 15 -2.33 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 101 17 -2.38 3.0-9.0 5.4-6.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 102 14 -2.49 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Akron 103 14 -2.55 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA ACC Wake Forest 104 14 -2.61 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Purdue 105 13 -2.65 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA Indep Army 106 14 -2.70 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 107 16 -2.76 3.0-9.0 5.8-6.2 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 108 15 -3.02 4.0-8.0 7.0-5.0 IA MWC New Mexico 109 12 -3.25 4.0-8.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 110 12 -3.27 2.0-*** 5.3-6.7 IA PAC_12 Colorado 111 12 -3.36 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC San Jose State 112 14 -3.58 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IA CUSA Florida International 113 15 -3.75 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 114 16 -3.94 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 115 18 -3.96 3.0-*** 7.0-6.0 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 116 15 -4.22 1.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 117 16 -4.27 2.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Connecticut 118 14 -4.28 4.0-8.0 8.3-3.7 IA CUSA North Texas 119 16 -4.32 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 120 16 -4.32 2.0-*** 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 121 16 -4.40 3.0-*** 7.4-5.6 IA MWC Hawaii 122 14 -4.43 2.0-*** 6.4-5.6 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 123 14 -4.44 2.0-9.0 6.4-4.6 IA MAC Kent State 124 15 -4.53 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Massachusetts 125 11 -4.90 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 126 6 -5.75 2.0-*** 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt New Mexico State 127 5 -5.85 1.0-*** 6.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Idaho 128 4 -5.86 1.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 5 5.43 15.0-1.0 9.6-6.4 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 5 4.54 10.0-0.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Harvard 3 6 4.26 13.0-2.0 8.7-6.3 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 4 6 4.20 12.0-2.0 7.8-6.2 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 5 10 3.24 11.0-3.0 7.8-6.2 IAA Colonial Villanova 6 12 2.85 12.0-2.0 9.2-4.8 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 7 11 2.83 11.0-3.0 8.2-5.8 IAA Patriot Fordham 8 9 2.77 8.0-2.0 5.2-4.8 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 9 16 2.40 9.0-2.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 10 14 2.36 8.0-2.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Yale 11 17 2.19 11.0-5.0 8.8-7.2 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 12 16 2.08 9.0-4.0 6.9-6.1 IAA Colonial James Madison 13 19 1.86 10.0-3.0 8.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 14 16 1.76 8.0-3.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Patriot Bucknell 15 17 1.50 8.0-3.0 6.5-4.5 IAA NE Sacred Heart 16 18 1.37 8.0-5.0 6.6-6.4 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 17 22 1.33 8.0-3.0 6.7-4.3 IAA Pioneer San Diego 18 17 1.23 9.0-5.0 7.8-6.2 IAA Colonial Richmond 19 17 1.08 8.0-2.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 20 14 0.97 10.0-4.0 9.0-5.0 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 21 13 0.93 7.0-3.0 6.1-3.9 IAA NE Bryant 22 16 0.73 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IAA Big_South Liberty 23 18 0.72 7.0-5.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Colonial William & Mary 24 17 0.46 9.0-5.0 8.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 25 21 0.41 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 26 23 0.32 8.0-3.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 27 19 0.32 8.0-3.0 7.7-3.3 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 28 20 0.22 8.0-6.0 7.8-6.2 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 29 20 0.17 7.0-5.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Albany 30 21 0.09 7.0-4.0 6.9-4.1 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 31 24 0.03 6.0-3.0 6.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Drake 32 24 0.02 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky Montana 33 22 0.01 9.0-3.0 9.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 34 17 -0.01 6.0-4.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 35 24 -0.04 8.0-4.0 8.0-4.0 IAA SWAC Southern 36 20 -0.07 8.0-3.0 8.1-2.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 37 20 -0.11 7.0-5.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 38 20 -0.13 6.0-4.0 6.1-3.9 IAA NE Wagner 39 19 -0.16 5.0-4.0 5.2-3.8 IAA Southern Samford 40 21 -0.20 6.0-4.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 41 21 -0.30 5.0-5.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Princeton 42 21 -0.38 6.0-6.0 6.4-5.6 IAA Colonial Delaware 43 19 -0.44 5.0-5.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Brown 44 24 -0.47 9.0-4.0 9.5-3.5 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 45 25 -0.61 7.0-5.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 46 20 -0.62 5.0-6.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Patriot Lafayette 47 21 -0.64 6.0-4.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Southland Lamar 48 22 -0.78 7.0-5.0 7.8-4.2 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 49 28 -0.81 7.0-5.0 7.8-4.2 IAA SWAC Grambling 50 19 -0.85 5.0-5.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Big_South Presbyterian 51 24 -0.88 5.0-6.0 5.9-5.1 IAA Colonial Maine 52 20 -1.09 5.0-6.0 6.1-4.9 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 53 25 -1.09 7.0-5.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 54 20 -1.15 5.0-7.0 6.2-5.8 IAA Patriot Colgate 55 18 -1.17 5.0-5.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Southern Western Carolina 56 19 -1.18 6.0-5.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Big_South Monmouth 57 22 -1.20 6.0-5.0 7.2-3.8 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 58 23 -1.29 6.0-5.0 7.3-3.7 IAA SWAC Alabama State 59 22 -1.31 5.0-7.0 6.3-5.7 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 60 20 -1.37 5.0-6.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 61 20 -1.37 6.0-6.0 7.4-4.6 IAA Southland Northwestern State 62 18 -1.45 5.0-5.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Southland McNeese State 63 20 -1.49 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 64 19 -1.55 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 65 17 -1.58 4.0-5.0 5.6-3.4 IAA Southern Wofford 66 21 -1.70 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IAA MEAC Morgan State 67 17 -1.75 3.0-6.0 4.7-4.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 68 23 -1.85 5.0-5.0 6.8-3.2 IAA SWAC Prairie View 69 21 -1.90 6.0-6.0 7.9-4.1 IAA Southland Central Arkansas 70 19 -1.91 4.0-8.0 5.9-6.1 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 71 18 -2.07 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA NE Duquesne 72 19 -2.26 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 73 17 -2.28 2.0-8.0 4.3-5.7 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 74 17 -2.31 5.0-7.0 7.3-4.7 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 75 19 -2.38 4.0-7.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 76 19 -2.43 4.0-7.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 77 17 -2.48 4.0-8.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 78 15 -2.51 3.0-8.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Patriot Lehigh 79 16 -2.54 3.0-8.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Patriot Georgetown 80 15 -2.63 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IAA Southern The Citadel 81 19 -2.78 4.0-8.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Towson 82 18 -2.85 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southland Abilene Christian 83 18 -2.95 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IAA Big_Sky North Dakota 84 20 -3.03 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer Marist 85 16 -3.05 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 86 14 -3.21 3.0-6.0 6.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 87 18 -3.23 3.0-6.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Stetson 88 12 -3.31 3.0-6.0 6.3-2.7 IAA Indep North Carolina - Charlot 89 11 -3.39 3.0-6.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Southern Mercer 90 15 -3.40 4.0-7.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Pioneer Campbell 91 16 -3.50 5.0-7.0 8.5-3.5 IAA SWAC Jackson State 92 16 -3.50 3.0-7.0 6.5-3.5 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 93 12 -3.52 4.0-7.0 7.5-3.5 IAA MEAC Howard 94 22 -3.79 2.0-7.0 5.8-3.2 IAA Pioneer Butler 95 19 -3.79 4.0-8.0 7.8-4.2 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 96 16 -3.80 1.0-9.0 4.8-5.2 IAA Ivy Cornell 97 20 -3.96 3.0-8.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 98 20 -3.97 3.0-9.0 7.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 99 15 -4.16 4.0-8.0 8.2-3.8 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 100 18 -4.17 2.0-7.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 101 16 -4.18 3.0-8.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 102 17 -4.18 1.0-*** 5.2-5.8 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 103 17 -4.31 1.0-9.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 104 16 -4.34 0.0-*** 4.3-5.7 IAA Ivy Columbia 105 17 -4.37 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IAA NE Central Connecticut 106 17 -4.38 3.0-8.0 7.4-3.6 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 107 17 -4.41 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 108 17 -4.44 1.0-*** 5.4-6.6 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 109 16 -4.55 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IAA Southern Furman 110 14 -4.80 1.0-9.0 5.8-4.2 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 111 15 -4.83 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 112 14 -5.00 1.0-*** 6.0-6.0 IAA Colonial Elon 113 12 -5.02 2.0-9.0 7.0-4.0 IAA MEAC Hampton 114 11 -5.08 1.0-*** 6.1-4.9 IAA NE Robert Morris 115 9 -5.20 2.0-9.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 116 9 -5.22 1.0-9.0 6.2-3.8 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 117 8 -5.52 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 118 6 -5.65 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IAA Southern Virginia Military 119 6 -5.69 2.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IAA MEAC Delaware State 120 5 -5.84 1.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 121 4 -6.61 0.0-*** 6.6-4.4 IAA MEAC Savannah State 122 4 -6.68 0.0-*** 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Davidson 123 3 -6.89 0.0-*** 6.9-4.1 IAA Southland Nicholls State 124 4 -6.98 1.0-*** 8.0-4.0 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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