ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
23 Arizona State over 234 Weber State 49.0 to 17.5
46 Northern Illinois over 242 Presbyterian 49.0 to 17.5
51 Utah over 249 Idaho State 49.0 to 14.0
50 Arizona over 194 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 24.5
171 Air Force over 247 Nicholls State 38.5 to 21.0
77 East Carolina over 223 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 21.0
32 Florida over 245 Idaho 42.0 to 7.0
6 North Dakota State over 121 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
17 Kansas State over 211 Stephen F. Austin 52.5 to 24.5
168 Middle Tennessee State over 252 Savannah State 42.0 to 17.5
2 Alabama over 75 West Virginia 38.5 to 21.0
29 Nebraska over 186 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 105 Navy 42.0 to 24.5
28 Notre Dame over 159 Rice 35.0 to 21.0
8 Oklahoma over 169 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 14.0
82 Old Dominion over 192 Hampton 45.5 to 28.0
3 Oregon over 200 South Dakota 52.5 to 17.5
49 Oregon State over 183 Portland State 42.0 to 24.5
80 Richmond over 235 Morehead State 45.5 to 21.0
22 Southern California over 61 Fresno State 38.5 to 28.0
145 South Florida over 240 Western Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
24 Texas over 147 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
25 Texas Christian over 129 Samford 35.0 to 17.5
45 Texas Tech over 157 Central Arkansas 45.5 to 24.5
10 Baylor over 137 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 28.0
80-90% chance of victory:
95 California Poly over 246 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
12 Boise State over 72 Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
153 San Jose State over 218 North Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
66 Vanderbilt over 130 Temple 35.0 to 24.5
202 Western Illinois over 250 Valparaiso 35.0 to 17.5
67 Houston over 195 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 24.5
15 Michigan State over 81 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 21.0
135 Colorado State over 201 Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
43 Auburn over 110 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
132 Bucknell over 241 Virginia Military 35.0 to 14.0
76 Bethune - Cookman over 236 Florida International 31.5 to 14.0
74 Fordham over 162 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
128 Furman over 230 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 14.0
27 Georgia Tech over 120 Wofford 38.5 to 21.0
59 Washington over 184 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
141 Indiana over 221 Indiana State 42.0 to 28.0
123 Jackson State over 182 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
55 Maine over 181 Norfolk State 31.5 to 14.0
198 Memphis over 248 Austin Peay 35.0 to 17.5
87 Marshall over 229 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 21.0
31 Michigan over 112 Appalachian State 38.5 to 21.0
57 Mississippi State over 228 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 14.0
21 Missouri over 104 South Dakota State 38.5 to 21.0
90 Monmouth over 206 Delaware State 31.5 to 17.5
111 Nevada - Reno over 172 Southern Utah 31.5 to 21.0
1 Florida State over 5 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 31.5
78 Northwestern over 179 California 35.0 to 24.5
16 Stanford over 180 California - Davis 38.5 to 14.0
53 Towson over 165 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 28.0
40 California - Los Angeles over 149 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
54 Montana over 185 Wyoming 35.0 to 28.0
20 Louisville over 47 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
13 South Carolina over 18 Texas A&M 38.5 to 35.0
79 Stony Brook over 140 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5
26 Brigham Young over 143 Connecticut 31.5 to 21.0
178 Alcorn State over 251 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 28.0
113 Duke over 196 Elon 35.0 to 24.5
88 Boston College over 210 Massachusetts 28.0 to 17.5
30 North Carolina over 83 Liberty 35.0 to 24.5
174 Purdue over 208 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
167 Prairie View over 232 Texas Southern 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
209 Akron over 207 Howard 31.5 to 28.0
213 North Carolina - Charlot over 238 Campbell 49.0 to 42.0
102 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 160 Central Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
56 Eastern Illinois over 100 Minnesota 31.5 to 31.5
150 Missouri State over 222 Northwestern State 35.0 to 28.0
101 Rutgers over 161 Washington State 31.5 to 28.0
125 Robert Morris over 124 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
156 Tulsa over 205 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5
37 Villanova over 97 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
69 Bowling Green over 146 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
175 Troy State over 227 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 35.0
116 Ball State over 126 Colgate 35.0 to 31.5
216 Morgan State over 244 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
173 Georgetown over 188 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
19 Georgia over 14 Clemson 35.0 to 35.0
73 Youngstown State over 131 Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
177 Sacramento State over 243 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 31.5
34 Iowa over 60 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 17.5
139 Kentucky over 163 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 24.5
231 Lamar over 225 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
154 Louisiana - Lafayette over 170 Southern 35.0 to 28.0
86 Maryland over 64 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
212 New Mexico over 220 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 31.5
35 Central Florida over 48 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
68 Pittsburgh over 89 Delaware 31.5 to 24.5
91 Sacred Heart over 93 Marist 31.5 to 24.5
122 San Diego State over 148 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 24.5
189 Texas State - San Marcos over 190 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 28.0
115 Coastal Carolina over 158 The Citadel 35.0 to 35.0
44 New Hampshire over 114 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
36 Virginia Tech over 63 William & Mary 24.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
197 Abilene Christian over 233 Georgia State 45.5 to 42.0
155 Wake Forest over 191 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 24.5
109 Holy Cross over 138 Albany 28.0 to 28.0
127 Arkansas State over 96 Montana State 31.5 to 31.5
84 Duquesne over 134 Buffalo 28.0 to 28.0
151 Ohio over 164 Kent State 28.0 to 28.0
7 Wisconsin over 9 Louisiana State 28.0 to 28.0
62 Georgia Southern over 99 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
92 Alabama State over 142 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 31.5
136 Southeast Louisiana over 107 Jacksonville 35.0 to 31.5
144 North Carolina A&T over 166 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
58 Utah State over 119 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
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