ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
9 Alabama over 221 Florida Atlantic 42.0 to 10.5
140 Arkansas over 246 Nicholls State 42.0 to 17.5
3 Baylor over 206 Northwestern State 56.0 to 17.5
39 Florida over 234 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
1 Florida State over 175 The Citadel 49.0 to 10.5
84 Georgia Southern over 252 Savannah State 49.0 to 10.5
21 Louisville over 183 Murray State 45.5 to 17.5
106 Marshall over 201 Rhode Island 42.0 to 24.5
17 Nebraska over 118 McNeese State 45.5 to 24.5
38 Arizona State over 226 New Mexico 45.5 to 24.5
160 Northeast Louisiana over 243 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
4 Oklahoma State over 154 Missouri State 49.0 to 21.0
5 Texas A&M over 218 Lamar 63.0 to 28.0
16 Wisconsin over 180 Western Illinois 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
163 Appalachian State over 242 Campbell 31.5 to 10.5
131 Central Arkansas over 228 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 24.5
41 Clemson over 104 South Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
74 Dayton over 210 Georgetown 35.0 to 14.0
105 Holy Cross over 230 Morgan State 35.0 to 17.5
142 Illinois State over 208 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 21.0
23 Kansas State over 120 Iowa State 35.0 to 24.5
136 Jackson State over 250 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 21.0
178 Kansas over 224 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0
58 Lehigh over 161 James Madison 35.0 to 17.5
12 Louisiana State over 69 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 24.5
64 Miami - Florida over 168 Florida A&M 35.0 to 17.5
96 Rutgers over 240 Howard 38.5 to 14.0
34 Georgia Tech over 194 Tulane 42.0 to 24.5
15 Oklahoma over 156 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
137 Utah State over 247 Idaho State 38.5 to 17.5
14 North Dakota State over 217 Weber State 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
114 Nevada - Reno over 173 Washington State 38.5 to 31.5
109 Buffalo over 190 Army 38.5 to 28.0
36 Auburn over 101 San Jose State 42.0 to 28.0
45 Boise State over 113 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
37 Iowa over 82 Ball State 31.5 to 24.5
63 Kentucky over 141 Ohio 38.5 to 24.5
83 Louisiana - Lafayette over 177 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 24.5
80 Eastern Kentucky over 222 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 17.5
51 Minnesota over 128 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 24.5
33 Mississippi State over 148 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 24.5
32 Northern Illinois over 138 Northwestern 38.5 to 24.5
10 Ohio State over 24 Virginia Tech 35.0 to 24.5
2 Oregon over 6 Michigan State 38.5 to 28.0
40 Penn State over 122 Akron 35.0 to 21.0
111 South Dakota State over 187 California Poly 28.0 to 14.0
55 Southeast Louisiana over 165 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5
26 Maryland over 174 South Florida 38.5 to 21.0
22 Texas over 25 Brigham Young 31.5 to 24.5
75 Texas Tech over 193 Texas - El Paso 38.5 to 28.0
66 Duke over 236 Troy State 45.5 to 24.5
52 Utah over 123 Fresno State 38.5 to 28.0
31 Mississippi over 157 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5
54 West Virginia over 115 Towson 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
30 Arizona over 95 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 31.5
7 Pittsburgh over 78 Boston College 35.0 to 24.5
112 Alabama State over 99 Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
155 Bowling Green over 232 Virginia Military 42.0 to 28.0
130 California over 144 Sacramento State 35.0 to 28.0
61 California - Los Angeles over 100 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
98 Central Connecticut over 134 Albany 31.5 to 24.5
103 Eastern Illinois over 107 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
121 Wagner over 213 Florida International 24.5 to 17.5
59 Oregon State over 149 Hawaii 28.0 to 24.5
150 Houston over 231 Grambling 31.5 to 17.5
132 Marist over 181 Bucknell 28.0 to 21.0
29 North Carolina over 65 San Diego State 42.0 to 31.5
81 North Carolina State over 102 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
169 Robert Morris over 233 North Dakota 24.5 to 17.5
67 Sacred Heart over 92 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
153 Alcorn State over 239 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
211 Stephen F. Austin over 248 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 31.5
42 Temple over 91 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
43 Tennessee over 62 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
60 Richmond over 129 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
172 Wake Forest over 207 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 14.0
79 Washington over 87 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 31.5
135 Wyoming over 159 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
110 Youngstown State over 117 Duquesne 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
209 Abilene Christian over 189 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 35.0
116 Stony Brook over 164 Connecticut 17.5 to 17.5
205 Delaware over 223 Delaware State 28.0 to 24.5
195 New Mexico State over 212 Georgia State 31.5 to 31.5
108 William & Mary over 171 Hampton 24.5 to 21.0
76 Western Kentucky over 88 Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
192 Tennessee Tech over 204 Indiana State 24.5 to 24.5
176 Kent State over 188 South Alabama 28.0 to 28.0
198 Colorado over 216 Massachusetts 21.0 to 21.0
147 Furman over 199 Mercer 38.5 to 35.0
225 Nevada - Las Vegas over 220 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 28.0
126 Liberty over 146 Norfolk State 24.5 to 24.5
85 North Carolina A&T over 86 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
167 North Texas over 166 Southern Methodist 21.0 to 17.5
28 Notre Dame over 20 Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
133 Central Michigan over 179 Purdue 31.5 to 31.5
50 South Carolina over 46 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
13 Stanford over 8 Southern California 28.0 to 28.0
127 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 139 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 24.5
35 Toledo over 27 Missouri 38.5 to 35.0
68 Villanova over 53 Fordham 35.0 to 35.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net