ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
3 Baylor over 151 Buffalo 52.5 to 28.0
2 Alabama over 235 Southern Mississippi 52.5 to 7.0
108 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 250 Austin Peay 42.0 to 10.5
52 Duke over 196 Kansas 38.5 to 21.0
9 Louisiana State over 170 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 14.0
76 Montana over 219 South Dakota 38.5 to 14.0
31 Northern Illinois over 224 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 17.5
16 North Dakota State over 247 Incarnate Word 52.5 to 14.0
27 Ohio State over 192 Kent State 38.5 to 10.5
5 Oklahoma State over 139 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 21.0
116 Old Dominion over 246 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 24.5
4 Oregon over 146 Wyoming 52.5 to 21.0
41 Southern Illinois over 211 Southeast Missouri State 42.0 to 21.0
7 Texas A&M over 228 Rice 59.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
17 Brigham Young over 106 Houston 35.0 to 17.5
114 Alabama State over 245 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 10.5
36 Arizona State over 201 Colorado 42.0 to 28.0
107 Colorado State over 202 California - Davis 31.5 to 17.5
100 Eastern Kentucky over 231 Morehead State 42.0 to 24.5
30 Pittsburgh over 227 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
75 Fordham over 220 Rhode Island 42.0 to 21.0
177 Western Michigan over 243 Idaho 35.0 to 24.5
47 San Diego over 206 Jacksonville 38.5 to 21.0
40 Michigan over 222 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 14.0
8 Mississippi over 157 Louisiana - Lafayette 45.5 to 21.0
26 Missouri over 68 Central Florida 42.0 to 24.5
56 Monmouth over 193 Wagner 38.5 to 14.0
179 Northern Colorado over 251 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 21.0
32 Notre Dame over 197 Purdue 38.5 to 17.5
6 Oklahoma over 66 Tennessee 42.0 to 24.5
89 Richmond over 188 Hampton 35.0 to 21.0
23 Stanford over 173 Army 38.5 to 21.0
13 Texas Christian over 81 Minnesota 35.0 to 21.0
20 Virginia Tech over 54 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
190 Alabama - Birmingham over 226 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 24.5
86 Ball State over 167 Indiana State 35.0 to 24.5
10 Southern California over 117 Boston College 31.5 to 21.0
142 Bowling Green over 183 Indiana 38.5 to 31.5
109 Coastal Carolina over 118 South Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
28 Florida over 80 Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
213 Gardner - Webb over 251 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 21.0
55 Iowa over 126 Iowa State 31.5 to 21.0
85 Lafayette over 159 Robert Morris 31.5 to 17.5
79 Marshall over 166 Ohio 38.5 to 24.5
62 Miami - Florida over 125 Arkansas State 31.5 to 21.0
131 Missouri State over 207 North Dakota 38.5 to 24.5
135 Furman over 239 Presbyterian 24.5 to 14.0
147 Southern over 218 Northwestern State 35.0 to 24.5
59 South Dakota State over 189 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
180 Texas - El Paso over 229 New Mexico State 35.0 to 28.0
69 Southeast Louisiana over 204 Tulane 38.5 to 24.5
74 William & Mary over 158 Norfolk State 24.5 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
215 Charleston Southern over 242 Campbell 31.5 to 21.0
110 North Texas over 149 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 24.5
46 Cincinnati over 83 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
60 Arizona over 101 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
200 Bethune - Cookman over 221 Grambling 24.5 to 17.5
130 Central Michigan over 182 Syracuse 31.5 to 21.0
35 Boise State over 150 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
143 Towson over 191 Delaware State 31.5 to 24.5
22 Dayton over 99 Duquesne 28.0 to 21.0
29 Nebraska over 140 Fresno State 38.5 to 31.5
175 Air Force over 237 Georgia State 31.5 to 21.0
39 Georgia Tech over 43 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 31.5
51 Northern Iowa over 155 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0
38 Illinois State over 121 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
138 Marist over 176 Georgetown 24.5 to 17.5
153 McNeese State over 199 Prairie View 42.0 to 31.5
34 Lehigh over 64 New Hampshire 38.5 to 35.0
122 North Carolina - Charlot over 223 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 31.5
58 Tennessee State over 94 Jackson State 31.5 to 28.0
53 Texas over 98 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 28.0
82 Mississippi State over 169 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0
21 Georgia over 37 South Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
73 North Carolina State over 186 South Florida 28.0 to 17.5
57 Texas State - San Marcos over 112 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
77 Texas Tech over 84 Arkansas 38.5 to 31.5
127 Utah State over 164 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
172 Vanderbilt over 216 Massachusetts 24.5 to 17.5
11 Louisville over 119 Virginia 35.0 to 24.5
232 Virginia Military over 240 Davidson 31.5 to 24.5
87 Washington over 152 Illinois 38.5 to 31.5
103 Drake over 187 Western Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
78 Youngstown State over 123 Butler 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
61 Maine over 102 Bryant 21.0 to 21.0
148 Delaware over 141 Colgate 24.5 to 24.5
124 North Carolina A&T over 181 Elon 28.0 to 24.5
198 Tulsa over 217 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 28.0
133 Holy Cross over 128 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 24.5
95 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 92 James Madison 28.0 to 28.0
19 West Virginia over 48 Maryland 31.5 to 31.5
144 Middle Tennessee State over 120 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 35.0
115 Central Arkansas over 137 Montana State 35.0 to 35.0
90 Rutgers over 67 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
194 Sacramento State over 205 Weber State 28.0 to 28.0
111 Sam Houston State over 107 Colorado State 35.0 to 35.0
185 Mercer over 236 Stetson 52.5 to 42.0
203 Abilene Christian over 230 Troy State 38.5 to 38.5
160 Washington State over 156 Portland State 38.5 to 35.0
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