ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
7 Oregon over 68 Arizona 45.5 to 28.0
182 Akron over 244 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
73 Eastern Kentucky over 250 Austin Peay 42.0 to 10.5
45 Princeton over 237 Columbia 45.5 to 21.0
35 East Carolina over 229 Southern Methodist 49.0 to 14.0
39 New Hampshire over 213 Elon 35.0 to 17.5
1 Florida State over 155 Wake Forest 42.0 to 14.0
12 Georgia over 148 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 17.5
65 McNeese State over 249 Nicholls State 56.0 to 14.0
33 Georgia Southern over 238 New Mexico State 45.5 to 21.0
80 Northern Illinois over 225 Kent State 38.5 to 14.0
13 Oklahoma State over 133 Iowa State 42.0 to 21.0
144 Texas State - San Marcos over 240 Idaho 42.0 to 24.5
43 West Virginia over 178 Kansas 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
27 Brigham Young over 106 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
49 Fordham over 94 Lafayette 38.5 to 31.5
111 Bethune - Cookman over 223 Delaware State 31.5 to 14.0
4 Clemson over 52 North Carolina State 45.5 to 28.0
89 Colorado State over 196 Tulsa 42.0 to 24.5
64 Dayton over 242 Davidson 38.5 to 17.5
67 Eastern Washington over 235 Idaho State 56.0 to 35.0
44 Coastal Carolina over 172 Furman 31.5 to 17.5
6 Harvard over 139 Georgetown 35.0 to 17.5
41 Georgia Tech over 60 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 28.0
59 Jacksonville State over 204 Tennessee - Martin 42.0 to 21.0
36 Kansas State over 103 Texas Tech 38.5 to 28.0
183 Louisiana - Lafayette over 234 Georgia State 38.5 to 28.0
149 Middle Tennessee State over 224 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5
58 Montana over 200 North Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
10 Wisconsin over 101 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
71 Brown over 233 Rhode Island 31.5 to 10.5
186 Norfolk State over 251 Savannah State 35.0 to 14.0
21 Southern California over 54 Arizona State 35.0 to 24.5
123 Southern Illinois over 176 South Dakota 31.5 to 24.5
100 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 239 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
159 Marist over 248 Valparaiso 35.0 to 14.0
16 North Dakota State over 162 Western Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
56 Albany over 98 James Madison 31.5 to 21.0
127 Appalachian State over 199 South Alabama 31.5 to 21.0
132 Bowling Green over 154 Buffalo 38.5 to 31.5
129 California Poly over 193 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
76 Cincinnati over 145 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
51 Oregon State over 190 Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
34 Illinois State over 55 South Dakota State 35.0 to 28.0
40 Northern Iowa over 151 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
147 Jackson State over 209 Prairie View 38.5 to 28.0
158 Louisiana Tech over 195 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
8 Ohio State over 61 Maryland 38.5 to 31.5
236 Morehead State over 245 Campbell 38.5 to 24.5
160 Northern Arizona over 232 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
206 Western Carolina over 243 Presbyterian 35.0 to 24.5
86 Monmouth over 187 Robert Morris 28.0 to 17.5
164 San Jose State over 218 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 21.0
113 Southeast Louisiana over 194 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
75 Tennessee State over 197 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
170 Butler over 247 Stetson 38.5 to 24.5
3 Baylor over 47 Texas 38.5 to 28.0
2 Texas Christian over 11 Oklahoma 31.5 to 24.5
161 Texas - San Antonio over 221 New Mexico 38.5 to 28.0
214 Texas Southern over 241 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
126 Western Kentucky over 201 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
177 Florida Atlantic over 216 Florida International 24.5 to 24.5
72 Houston over 53 Central Florida 31.5 to 28.0
105 Fresno State over 93 San Diego State 35.0 to 31.5
25 Louisville over 97 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
173 Abilene Christian over 230 Lamar 45.5 to 35.0
198 Alabama A&M over 202 Grambling 31.5 to 28.0
121 Arkansas State over 163 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
120 Ball State over 180 Army 35.0 to 31.5
32 California - Los Angeles over 31 Utah 31.5 to 28.0
131 Colgate over 143 Holy Cross 24.5 to 21.0
87 Yale over 181 Cornell 35.0 to 28.0
114 Dartmouth over 146 Pennsylvania 31.5 to 24.5
150 Illinois over 156 Purdue 31.5 to 28.0
246 Incarnate Word over 252 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 24.5
83 Jacksonville over 108 Drake 31.5 to 24.5
19 South Carolina over 90 Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
18 Villanova over 74 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
208 Miami - Ohio over 207 Massachusetts 28.0 to 24.5
15 Michigan State over 20 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
14 Texas A&M over 50 Mississippi State 35.0 to 28.0
57 Youngstown State over 112 Missouri State 35.0 to 31.5
29 Boise State over 92 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
220 North Carolina Central over 219 Howard 28.0 to 28.0
117 North Carolina A&T over 140 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
70 Marshall over 124 Old Dominion 38.5 to 35.0
188 Portland State over 205 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
96 Rutgers over 84 Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
122 Montana State over 217 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5
134 Samford over 166 Mercer 42.0 to 38.5
136 Central Arkansas over 192 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 35.0
30 Florida over 115 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
228 Tennessee Tech over 226 Murray State 31.5 to 31.5
116 Towson over 130 Stony Brook 24.5 to 21.0
77 Virginia over 66 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 28.0
95 Toledo over 168 Western Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
135 Wofford over 152 The Citadel 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
118 Alcorn State over 85 Alabama State 31.5 to 31.5
125 Navy over 153 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
9 Louisiana State over 24 Auburn 31.5 to 31.5
102 Bryant over 88 Bucknell 28.0 to 24.5
169 Central Michigan over 157 Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
107 Sacred Heart over 128 Delaware 28.0 to 28.0
189 Morgan State over 212 Florida A&M 21.0 to 21.0
203 North Carolina - Charlot over 211 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 35.0
137 Indiana over 109 North Texas 35.0 to 35.0
119 Liberty over 99 Richmond 28.0 to 28.0
5 Alabama over 28 Mississippi 28.0 to 28.0
37 Virginia Tech over 82 North Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
22 Notre Dame over 17 Stanford 21.0 to 21.0
174 Rice over 165 Hawaii 28.0 to 28.0
227 Southern over 215 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 31.5
141 Washington State over 138 California 35.0 to 35.0
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